Ebersole vs Waldburger Result & Stats: Ebersole wins by UD · UFC on FX, Fri, Jun 22, 2012

UFCUFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida

Brian EbersoleWIN

“Bad Boy” · 51-18-1 (1 NC)

UDTKOSD

RESULT

Unanimous Decision

ROUND 3 · 5:00

Welterweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

TJ Waldburger

“The Modern Day Warrior” · 16-9-0

TKOTKOSUB

Friday, June 22, 2012Ocean Casino Resort, Atlantic City, United States

Brian Ebersole defeated TJ Waldburger by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida, held Friday, June 22, 2012 at Ocean Casino Resort, Atlantic City. The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Brian Ebersole won the decision.

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The result

Brian EbersoleWIN

def. TJ Waldburger

Unanimous Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Judges29-2829-2829-28

Referee: Kevin Mulhall
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Brian EbersoleTJ Waldburger

57%Power Index✓ Called it43%

67%Market · 4 sportsbooks✓ Called it33%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Brian Ebersole

-230

70% implied win probability · Open: -257

TJ Waldburger

+187

35% implied win probability · Open: +205

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

TJ Waldburger dropped Brian Ebersole once.
Brian Ebersole out-landed TJ Waldburger 39 to 18 in significant strikes.
Brian Ebersole controlled TJ Waldburger for 8:16 of the fight.
Brian Ebersole landed 66% of significant strikes to TJ Waldburger's 44%.

Tale of the tape

51-18-1 (1 NC)

Record

16-9-0

Age

6'0" · 183 cm

Height

5'11" · 180 cm

73" · 185 cm

Reach

75" · 191 cm

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Win Streak

1761

Power Index

1713

1-4

Last 5

2-3

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Brian EbersoleTJ Waldburger

Knockdowns

39 / 59

Significant strikes

18 / 41

66%

Sig. strike accuracy

44%

90 / 118

Total strikes

33 / 59

2 / 5

Takedowns

1 / 1

40%

Takedown accuracy

100%

Submission attempts

8:16

Control time

1:45

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Brian EbersoleTJ Waldburger

2974%

Head

950%

615%

Body

633%

410%

Leg

317%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Brian Ebersole

36%15%49%

TJ Waldburger

72%22%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

Range × target

Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell

Brian Ebersole39 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

99/18

11/5

44/6

Clinch

22/3

44/5

Ground

1818/21

11/1

TJ Waldburger18 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

88/30

22/2

33/3

Clinch

44/5

Ground

11/1

Judges' Scorecards

Jon Bilyk

#	Ebersole	Waldburger
1
2
3

Total2928

Vincent Sinclair

#	Ebersole	Waldburger
1
2
3

Total2928

Jose Tabora

#	Ebersole	Waldburger
1
2
3

Total2928

The commission did not release round-by-round scores for this fight.

Media Scores

Brian Ebersole

TJ Waldburger

●29-28 Ebersole×4●29-28 Waldburger×2

All 6 media scorecards

MMAJunkie.com29-28Ebersole
Dave Doyle · MMAFighting.com29-28Ebersole
Chris Nelson · Sherdog.com29-28Ebersole
Mike Whitman · Sherdog.com29-28Ebersole
MMAWeekly.com29-28Waldburger
TJ DeSantis · Sherdog.com29-28Waldburger

Fan Scorecards

7 fan scorecards submitted

71%

Brian Ebersole

29%

Draw

TJ Waldburger

●29-28 Ebersole71.4%●29-29 Draw28.6%

Fans' round-by-round verdict

100%

Waldburger

71%

Ebersole

100%

Ebersole

Betting Odds

Brian Ebersole

-230

70% implied win probability

Open: -257Best: -215

TJ Waldburger

+187

35% implied win probability

Open: +205Best: +195

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Brian Ebersole	TJ Waldburger
Bookmaker	-220	+180
Bovada	-250	+195
Pinnacle	-215	+193
sports-interaction	-240	+180

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

TJ Waldburger lands 3.03 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 87% of UFC fighters.
TJ Waldburger's last two losses were both stopped early.

Style & credentials

Brian Ebersole

No background on record

Camp · Tiger Muay Thai

TJ Waldburger

No background on record

Camp · Grapplers Lair Fight Team

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

59%

Head

63%

17%

Body

17%

24%

Leg

20%

Time in position

Where their significant strikes are thrown

Brian Ebersolelast 8 fights

59%17%24%

TJ Waldburgerlast 8 fights

49%17%34%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Brian Ebersole TJ Waldburger

Strikes landed / min

2.322.02

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Poor · better than 18% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Poor · better than 10% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.142.39

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Good · better than 82% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.703.03

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Good · better than 63% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Elite · better than 87% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

23%46%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Below avg · better than 20% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Good · better than 70% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

61%40%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Average · better than 45% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Poor · better than 15% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.104.80

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Brian Ebersole · Below avg · better than 24% of UFC fightersTJ Waldburger · Elite · better than 100% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1500 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

2.32

Strikes landed / min

2.02

2.14

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.39

1.70 / 7.4

Takedowns landed / 15 min

3.03 / 6.6

23%

Takedown accuracy

46%

61%

Takedown defence

40%

4:11

Control time / fight

2:37

0.10

Submission attempts / 15 min

4.80

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Brian Ebersole8 UFC fights · 241 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

29%71/226

11%26/54

19%45/72

Clinch

7%18/33

4%10/16

6%14/15

Ground

22%53/72

2%4/4

0%0/0

TJ Waldburger7 UFC fights · 107 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

28%30/109

7%7/8

18%19/22

Clinch

5%5/10

9%10/12

2%2/3

Ground

29%31/50

1%1/1

2%2/2

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Brian Ebersole43 of 69 ended early · 62%26 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

38 early stoppages have no logged time

TJ Waldburger21 of 25 ended early · 84%4 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

14 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Brian Ebersole1-4

L
Steve Kennedy
Hex Fight Series 6 · Jun 24, 2016
Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
L
Omari Akhmedov
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · Jun 6, 2015
TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
John Howard
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
Rick Story
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · Nov 16, 2013
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
James Head
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · Jul 21, 2012
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Full record · 70 fights

W
TJ Waldburger
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · Jun 22, 2012
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Claude Patrick
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · Dec 10, 2011
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Dennis Hallman
UFC 133: Evans vs. Ortiz · Aug 6, 2011
TKO · R1 · 4:28 · Welterweight
W
Chris Lytle
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · Feb 27, 2011
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Hamish Robertson
Australia Regional · Jan 29, 2011
TKO
W
Carlos Newton
Impact FC 1 · Jul 10, 2010
Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
W
Martin van Staden
Fight Force Cage Fighting · Apr 15, 2010
Submission
W
Ian James Schaffa
Australia Regional · Dec 20, 2009
Submission
W
Jai Bradney
Australia Regional · May 9, 2009
DEC
W
Shannon Forrester
Xtreme Fighting Championships · Mar 14, 2009
TKO
W
Shane Nix
Cage Fighting Championship · Nov 7, 2008
TKO
L
Hector Lombard
Cage Fighting Championship · Sep 12, 2008
Submission
W
Wade Henderson
Cage Fighting Championship · May 23, 2008
Submission
W
Dylan Andrews
Cage Fighting Championship · Feb 15, 2008
TKO
W
Gordon Graff
KOTC: Rumble In The Cage · Oct 5, 2007
Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
W
Jon Valuri
Shooto · May 26, 2007
DEC
L
Alex Schoenauer
IFL 10: Los Angeles · Mar 17, 2007
Split Decision · Light Heavyweight
W
David Frendin
Xtreme Fighting Championships · Nov 10, 2006
TKO
L
Kyle Noke
Xtreme Fighting Championships · Oct 13, 2006
DEC
NC
Shannon Ritch
California Regional · Sep 9, 2006
NC · R1 · 3:46
W
Andrew Varney
Legends of Fighting Championship · Jul 28, 2006
DEC
W
Alex Serdyukov
California Regional · May 13, 2006
DEC
W
Matt Horwich
Strikeforce: Shamrock vs. Gracie · Mar 9, 2006
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
W
Andy Foster
Fight Party · Feb 11, 2006
Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
L
Masanori Suda
Shooto · Jan 29, 2005
Submission
W
TBA
Mexico Regional · Dec 17, 2004
Submission
W
Nick Thompson
Mississippi Regional · Sep 24, 2004
TKO
L
John Renken
Mississippi Regional · Sep 24, 2004
DEC
L
Ed Herman
SportFight 5 · Aug 28, 2004
Submission · Middleweight
W
Alexey Veselovzorov
Euphoria 1: Russia vs. USA 1 · Mar 13, 2004
TKO · R3 · 2:26 · Light Heavyweight
W
Todd Carney
King Of The Rockies 2004 · Jan 3, 2004
Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
W
Shane Tate
Mexico Regional · Dec 28, 2003
TKO
W
Emanuel Newton
Mexico Regional · Nov 15, 2003
TKO
D
Brad Lynde
Freestyle Combat Challenge · Oct 18, 2003
DEC
W
Chris Fontaine
Mexico Regional · Sep 27, 2003
DEC
L
Tony Fryklund
Danger Zone · Apr 12, 2003
Submission
W
David Harris
Mexico Regional · Jan 30, 2003
DEC
W
Shannon Ritch
Mexico Regional · Oct 26, 2002
TKO
L
Bret Bergmark
California Regional · Sep 28, 2002
DEC
W
Tom Martini
Minnesota Regional · Sep 7, 2002
Submission
W
Shane Schartzer
Mexico Regional · Aug 31, 2002
Submission
W
Rene Hernandez
Mexico Regional · Aug 31, 2002
Submission
W
Joel Blanton
Minnesota Regional · Aug 24, 2002
TKO
W
Dan Hart
Cage Rage · Aug 17, 2002
TKO
W
Nathan McCabe
Revolution FC 1 · Jul 13, 2002
TKO · R1 · 2:15 · Middleweight
W
Rich Guerin
Mexico Regional · Apr 26, 2002
DEC
W
Chris Gates
Mexico Regional · Apr 26, 2002
Submission
W
Edwin Aguilar
Mexico Regional · Apr 26, 2002
Submission
L
Jay Massey
Indiana Regional · Apr 13, 2002
Submission
W
TBA
Minnesota Regional · Mar 2, 2002
Submission
W
Jamie Schell
Minnesota Regional · Mar 2, 2002
TKO
W
TBA
Minnesota Regional · Dec 8, 2001
Submission
L
Kerry Schall
Minnesota Regional · Dec 8, 2001
Submission
L
Stephan Bonnar
Ironheart Crown 3 · Nov 10, 2001
Submission · R1 · 0:51 · Light Heavyweight
W
TBA
Cage Rage · Oct 20, 2001
Submission
W
TBA
Cage Rage · Oct 20, 2001
Submission
L
Adrian Serrano
Indiana Regional · Sep 29, 2001
Submission
W
Josh Hoover
Indiana Regional · May 21, 2001
Submission
W
Darrell Smith
Indiana Regional · May 21, 2001
Submission
W
Eddie Sanchez
Indiana Regional · Apr 30, 2001
DEC
L
Jay Massey
Indiana Regional · Nov 18, 2000
Submission
W
Jeremy Morrison
Indiana Regional · Jul 28, 2000
Submission
W
TBA
Indiana Regional · Jun 26, 2000
Submission
W
Jose Garcia
Illinois Regional · Jun 10, 2000
Submission
L
Chris Albandia
Illinois Regional · Feb 24, 2000
DEC

TJ Waldburger2-3

L
Mike Pyle
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · Feb 22, 2014
TKO · R3 · 4:03 · Welterweight
L
Adlan Amagov
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos III · Oct 19, 2013
TKO · R1 · 3:00 · Welterweight
W
Nick Catone
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · Dec 15, 2012
Submission · R2 · 1:04 · Welterweight
L
Brian Ebersole
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · Jun 22, 2012
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Jake Hecht
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · Mar 3, 2012
Submission · R1 · 0:55 · Welterweight

Full record · 25 fights

W
Mike Stumpf
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · Sep 17, 2011
Submission · R1 · 3:52 · Welterweight
L
Johny Hendricks
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · Mar 26, 2011
TKO · R1 · 1:35 · Welterweight
W
David Mitchell
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · Sep 15, 2010
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Pat Healy
Shark Fights · Sep 12, 2009
DEC
W
Shannon Ritch
Shark Fights · May 2, 2009
Submission
W
Andrew Chappelle
Supreme Warrior Championship · Feb 21, 2009
TKO
L
Ricardo Funch
Texas Regional · Jun 14, 2008
TKO
L
Pete Spratt
Texas Regional · Oct 13, 2007
TKO
W
Pete Spratt
King of Kombat · Sep 7, 2007
Submission
W
Jeff Lindsay
Oklahoma Regional · Jun 23, 2007
Submission
L
Josh Neer
IFC 30: Road To Global Domination · Mar 4, 2007
TKO · R1 · 0:24 · Welterweight
W
Jeff Lindsay
Oklahoma Regional · Dec 2, 2006
Submission
W
Brian Foster
Oklahoma Regional · Sep 23, 2006
Submission
W
TBA
Louisiana Regional · Sep 17, 2006
Submission
W
Jeremiah O'Neal
Texas Regional · Aug 19, 2006
Submission
W
TBA
Texas Regional · Jun 24, 2006
Submission
L
Todd Moore
Renegades Extreme Fighting · Mar 25, 2006
DEC
W
TBA
Texas Regional · Feb 18, 2006
Submission
W
TBA
Renegades Extreme Fighting · Feb 10, 2006
Submission
L
TBA
Texas Regional · Nov 26, 2005
TKO

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Brian Ebersole vs TJ Waldburger?

What were the judges' scorecards for Brian Ebersole vs TJ Waldburger?

The judges scored it 29-28, 29-28, 29-28, Brian Ebersole won the decision.

Was Brian Ebersole vs TJ Waldburger a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 67% of 6 media scores picked Brian Ebersole.

Full robbery index →