Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs Song
Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
Xiao Long
ChinaXiao Long
27-11-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Xiao Long vs Francesco Nuzzi

Francesco Nuzzi
ItalyFrancesco Nuzzi
“Berserker”
11-2-0 (2 NC)
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Oriental Sports Center, Pudong District, China

Win probability

Xiao Long 59%41% Francesco Nuzzi

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

27-11-0
Record
11-2-0 (2 NC)
1659
Power Index rating
1597
0
Win Streak
0
28
Age
29
5'8"
173 cm
Height
-
70"
178 cm
Reach
-
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
China
Nationality
Italy

Striking Profile

5.06
SLpM
0.00
47%
Str. Acc.
0%
3.85
SApM
0.00
50%
Str. Def.
0%

Grappling Profile

0.74
TD Avg.
0.00
27%
TD Acc.
0%
82%
TD Def.
0%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Xiao Long · 2-3
  • L
    Cody Garbrandt
    UFC 326: Holloway vs Oliveira 2 · Mar 7, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    SuYoung You
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Quang Le
    UFC Macau: Yan vs Figueiredo · Nov 23, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 1:28 · Bantamweight
  • L
    ChangHo Lee
    UFC Saudi Arabia · Jun 22, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Shuya Kamikubo
    Road to UFC · Aug 27, 2023
    Majority Decision · Bantamweight
Francesco Nuzzi · 3-1
  • NC
    Manoel Silva
    Cage Warriors 204 · Apr 11, 2026
    No Contest · R1 · 3:35 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Lucas Rodrigues
    Cage Warriors 195 · Oct 4, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 3:53 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Mando Gutierrez
    Professional Fighters League - 2025 PFL World Tournament 2: First Round · Apr 11, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 4:13 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Nico Colapinto
    Messapicum FC 9 · Jul 22, 2023
    Submission · Featherweight
  • W
    Farbod Nezhad
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 2: 2023 Regular Season · Jul 7, 2023
    Knockout · R1 · 1:52 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 4 fights · 0 fights
70.5
Avg sig. strikes
-
0.75
Avg takedowns
-
1:58
Avg control time
-
87
Career high strikes
-
2
Career high TDs
-

Strike Distribution

Xiao Long
Strike target
Francesco Nuzzi
56%
Head
-
24%
Body
-
21%
Leg
-
Xiao Long
Strike position
Francesco Nuzzi
69%
Distance
-
28%
Clinch
-
2%
Ground
-

Betting Odds

Xiao Long
-180
64% implied win probability
Open: -184Best: -163
Francesco Nuzzi
+148
40% implied win probability
Open: +151Best: +163

Average moneyline across 22 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Xiao LongFrancesco Nuzzi
40%50%60%70%Aug 21Aug 22Aug 23Aug 25Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -169 (63%)Aug 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -173 (63%)Aug 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -179 (64%)Aug 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -183 (65%)Aug 21, 10:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -179 (64%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -177 (64%)Aug 22, 8:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -176 (64%)Aug 22, 2:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -179 (64%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -182 (65%)Aug 22, 6:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 22, 8:51 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 23, 4:20 AM UTC · Xiao Long -182 (65%)Aug 23, 4:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 24, 12:52 AM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 24, 2:59 AM UTC · Xiao Long -180 (64%)Aug 24, 10:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 24, 4:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 24, 6:50 PM UTC · Xiao Long -181 (64%)Aug 24, 8:57 PM UTC · Xiao Long -179 (64%)Aug 24, 10:51 PM UTC · Xiao Long -180 (64%)Aug 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Xiao Long -179 (64%)Aug 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Xiao Long -180 (64%)Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +146 (41%)Aug 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +140 (42%)Aug 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +144 (41%)Aug 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +146 (41%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 21, 10:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +148 (40%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +147 (40%)Aug 22, 8:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +147 (40%)Aug 22, 2:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +149 (40%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 22, 6:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 22, 8:51 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +149 (40%)Aug 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 23, 4:20 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 23, 4:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 23, 10:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 24, 12:52 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 24, 2:59 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 24, 10:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 24, 4:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 24, 6:50 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +151 (40%)Aug 24, 8:57 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +150 (40%)Aug 24, 10:51 PM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +148 (40%)Aug 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +149 (40%)Aug 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Francesco Nuzzi +148 (40%)-180+148
SportsbookXiao LongFrancesco Nuzzi
4casters-188+133
4Cx-192+130
Bet105-174+148
BetAnything-175+145
BetMGM-190+155
BetOnline-175+153
BetRivers-182+145
BetUS-175+146
Betway-188+150
Bookmaker-180+155
Bovada-180+155
Caesars-175+145
Circa-180+155
DraftKings-175+145
FanDuel-196+152
HardRockBet-180+145
Kalshi-163+163
MyBookie-183+142
Pinnacle-174+148
ProphetX-180+140
Stake-179+145
YouWager-175+153

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io