Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez
Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
Jovan Leka
SerbiaJovan Leka
14-2-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Jovan Leka vs Max Gimenis

Max Gimenis
BrazilMax Gimenis
6-2-0
Saturday, August 1, 2026
Belgrade Arena, BG, Serbia

UFCalendar model win probability

Jovan Leka 49%51% Max Gimenis

What drove this number

  • Age & prime
    24.4Age33.3
    in prime0.3y past prime
  • Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
    13.0Career wins6.0
    87%Career win rate75%
    15.0Career fights8.0
  • Layoff & stance
    -Layoff266.0
    0.0Southpaw matchup0.0
    0.0Switch stance0.0
  • Opposition level (Power Index)(small sample, gap discounted)
    -UFCalendar Power Index rating1458.0
    -Power Index trend (last 3)-97.0
  • UFC record(small sample, gap discounted)
    0.0UFC experience1.0
    0.0Win streak0.0
    0.0UFC wins0.0

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Jovan Leka 76%24% Max Gimenis

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

14-2-0
Record
6-2-0
1793
Power Index rating
1597
2
Win Streak
0
24
Age
33
6'4"
193 cm
Height
6'2"
188 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
75"
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Heavyweight
Weight Class
Heavyweight
Serbia
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

1.96
SLpM
3.21
70%
Str. Acc.
42%
0.98
SApM
9.64
50%
Str. Def.
47%

Grappling Profile

0.86
TD Avg.
0.00
100%
TD Acc.
0%
55%
TD Def.
0%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jovan Leka · 5-0
  • W
    Alexander Poppeck
    UFC Fight Night: Medić vs Rodriguez · Aug 1, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 2:22 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Danilo Suzart
    ARMMADA 17 · Apr 11, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 1:20 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Charlie Milner
    BRAVE CF 104 · Feb 14, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 2:36 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Azamat Nuftillaev
    DWCS 9.10 · Oct 14, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Genadi Jorjoliani
    ARMMADA 13 · Jul 4, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 4:30 · Heavyweight
Max Gimenis · 3-2
  • L
    Josh Hokit
    UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown · Nov 8, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:56 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Diego Peclat
    Shogun Fights 30 · Mar 29, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:27 · Heavyweight
  • W
    John Ott
    Shogun Fights 29 · Oct 5, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:45 · Heavyweight
  • L
    Nick Rodriguez
    Craig Jones Invitational 1 · Aug 16, 2024
    Submission · R2 · 1:45 · Super Heavyweight
  • W
    Cameron Graham
    Shogun Fights 28 · Mar 30, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 2 fights · 1 fight
17.0
Avg sig. strikes
3.0
0.50
Avg takedowns
0.00
3:50
Avg control time
0:00
24
Career high strikes
3
1
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Jovan Leka
Strike target
Max Gimenis
88%
Head
0%
3%
Body
33%
9%
Leg
67%
Jovan Leka
Strike position
Max Gimenis
47%
Distance
100%
9%
Clinch
0%
44%
Ground
0%

Betting Odds

Jovan Leka
-104
51% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: -104
Max Gimenis
+100
50% implied win probability
Open: -3233Best: +100

Average moneyline across 1 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Jovan LekaMax Gimenis
50%60%70%80%90%100%Jul 19Jul 20Jul 21Jul 22Jul 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -1900 (95%)Jul 20, 12:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -1329 (93%)Jul 20, 10:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -1329 (93%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -1011 (91%)Jul 20, 2:51 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -1011 (91%)Jul 20, 6:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -1011 (91%)Jul 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -900 (90%)Jul 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 21, 8:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -900 (90%)Jul 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -733 (88%)Jul 21, 2:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 22, 6:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 22, 8:50 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -1011 (91%)Jul 22, 10:51 AM UTC · Jovan Leka -809 (89%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Jovan Leka -104 (51%)Jul 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -1900 (95%)Jul 20, 12:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -1567 (94%)Jul 20, 10:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -1329 (93%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -426 (81%)Jul 20, 2:51 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -456 (82%)Jul 20, 6:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -488 (83%)Jul 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -488 (83%)Jul 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -456 (82%)Jul 21, 8:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -456 (82%)Jul 21, 10:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis -488 (83%)Jul 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -456 (82%)Jul 21, 2:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -456 (82%)Jul 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis -426 (81%)Jul 22, 6:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis +117 (46%)Jul 22, 8:50 AM UTC · Max Gimenis +117 (46%)Jul 22, 10:51 AM UTC · Max Gimenis +117 (46%)Jul 22, 10:50 PM UTC · Max Gimenis +100 (50%)-104+100
SportsbookJovan LekaMax Gimenis
Polymarket-104+100

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io