Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
Allan Nascimento
Puro Osso
22-7-0
RESULT

Mitch Raposo def. Allan Nascimento (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Mitch Raposo
Saturday, June 20, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Mitch Raposo defeated Allan Nascimento by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi, held Saturday, June 20, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Mitch Raposo won the decision.

Fight stats

Allan Nascimento
Mitch Raposo
1
Knockdowns
0
58 of 142
Significant strikes
38 of 89
41%
Sig. strike accuracy
43%
98 of 195
Total strikes
54 of 108
0 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 1
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
4:21
Control time
0:47
Significant strikes by target
28 of 96
Head
29 of 80
21 of 31
Body
9 of 9
9 of 15
Leg
0 of 0
41 of 123
Distance
37 of 88
10 of 11
Clinch
1 of 1
7 of 8
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
14 of 54
Sig. str.
15 of 32
15 of 56
Total str.
17 of 34
0 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:24
Ctrl
0:14
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
20 of 48
Sig. str.
19 of 48
20 of 50
Total str.
20 of 49
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:26
Ctrl
0:12
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
24 of 40
Sig. str.
4 of 9
63 of 89
Total str.
17 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
3:31
Ctrl
0:21

Judges' Scorecards

#NascimentoRaposo
1910
2910
3109
Total2829
#NascimentoRaposo
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#NascimentoRaposo
1910
2910
3109
Total2829

Media Scores

3
Nascimento
-
6
Raposo
29-28 Raposo×629-28 Nascimento×3
All 9 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

52%
Nascimento
6%
Draw
42%
Raposo
33 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Nascimento45.5%29-28 Raposo42.4%30-27 Nascimento3%29-27 Nascimento3%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
94%
Raposo
R2
52%
Nascimento
R3
91%
Nascimento

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Allan Nascimento
-101
50% implied win probability
Open: -217Best: +650
Mitch Raposo
+123
45% implied win probability
Open: +157Best: +160

Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.

SportsbookAllan NascimentoMitch Raposo
4casters-146+142
4Cx-151+138
Bet105-146+130
BetAnything-155+125
BetMGM-170+140
BetOnline-159+139
BetRivers+650-1667
BetUS-145+122
Betway-175+140
Bookmaker-165+144
Bovada-185+160
Caesars-145+122
Circa+128-148
Cloudbet-154+125
DraftKings-148+124
FanDuel-168+142
HardRockBet-165+135
Kalshi+285-285
MyBookie-153+124
Pinnacle-149+132
Polymarket-156+144
ProphetX-148+138
Stake-143+127
SXBet-172+134
YouWager-155+135

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo?

Mitch Raposo defeated Allan Nascimento by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi, held Saturday, June 20, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Mitch Raposo won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo?

The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Mitch Raposo won the decision.

Was Allan Nascimento vs Mitch Raposo a robbery?

Many scored it for Allan Nascimento: 52% of 33 fan cards scored it for Allan Nascimento; 67% of 9 media scores picked Mitch Raposo. The judges gave it to Mitch Raposo.

Full robbery index
Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Allan Nascimento 44%56% Mitch Raposo

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Flyweight roster (107 fighters)

Allan Nascimento
Submission Ace
4 edges
Mitch Raposo
Complete Fighter
7 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

81Power76
81Speed92
64Precision70
72Durability77
85Engine95
90Wrestling93
80Ground76

Biggest edge Mitch Raposo, Punch speed +31

Attribute by attribute

Allan Nascimento is on the left of every row, Mitch Raposo on the right.
64Punch power69
97Kick power82
63Punch speed94
98Kick speed89
64Accuracy70
90Takedowns93
63Ground striking76
97Submissions75
80Chin75
63Body strength79
85Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

22-7-0
Record
11-3-0
1619
Power Index rating
1660
0
Win Streak
2
34
Age
27
5'8"
173 cm
Height
5'5"
165 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
64"
163 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Brazil
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

3.20
SLpM
1.91
51%
Str. Acc.
38%
2.53
SApM
2.92
53%
Str. Def.
60%

Grappling Profile

1.04
TD Avg.
1.98
20%
TD Acc.
36%
41%
TD Def.
68%
0.90
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Allan Nascimento · 4-1
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs Onama · Nov 1, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:13 · Catchweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Klein · May 31, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Imavov · Jan 14, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 3:16 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs Rakić · May 14, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
Mitch Raposo · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Horiguchi · Jun 20, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    UFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
  • W
    Cage Titans 63 · Jan 27, 2024
    TKO · R4 · 3:03 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 6 fights · 4 fights
28.7
Avg sig. strikes
27.3
0.83
Avg takedowns
1.75
3:59
Avg control time
1:31
58
Career high strikes
38
2
Career high TDs
6

Strike Distribution

Allan Nascimento
Strike target
Mitch Raposo
42%
Head
71%
26%
Body
26%
33%
Leg
4%
Allan Nascimento
Strike position
Mitch Raposo
76%
Distance
98%
8%
Clinch
2%
16%
Ground
0%