Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot
Women's Strawweight★ Performance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Julia Polastri
BrazilJulia Polastri
“Psycho”
14-6-0
RESULT

Julia Polastri def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 2:56
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
PolandKarolina Kowalkiewicz
16-10-0
Saturday, October 11, 2025
Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Julia Polastri defeated Karolina Kowalkiewicz by TKO in round 3 (2:56) in the Women's Strawweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot, held Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Fight stats

Julia Polastri
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
0
Knockdowns
0
137 of 253
Significant strikes
72 of 192
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
38%
142 of 261
Total strikes
75 of 196
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 4
-
Takedown accuracy
25%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:46
Control time
0:31
Significant strikes by target
85 of 193
Head
24 of 121
42 of 49
Body
36 of 57
10 of 11
Leg
12 of 14
123 of 233
Distance
71 of 189
14 of 20
Clinch
1 of 3
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
53 of 93
Sig. str.
22 of 61
58 of 101
Total str.
25 of 64
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:46
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
46 of 96
Sig. str.
30 of 68
46 of 96
Total str.
30 of 69
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:31
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
38 of 64
Sig. str.
20 of 63
38 of 64
Total str.
20 of 63
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Julia Polastri
-558
85% implied win probability
Open: -347Best: -500
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
+419
19% implied win probability
Open: +274Best: +471

Average moneyline across 20 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJulia PolastriKarolina Kowalkiewicz
4casters-546+471
4Cx-546+463
Bet105-544+416
BetAnything-650+385
BetMGM-550+400
BetOnline-600+425
BetRivers-590+430
BetUS-600+425
Betway-500+350
Bookmaker-555+394
Bovada-535+405
Caesars-550+400
Circa-510+400
Cloudbet-518+418
DraftKings-550+410
FanDuel-590+430
MyBookie-625+430
Pinnacle-540+414
Stake-556+440
SXBet-545+471

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Julia Polastri vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz?

Julia Polastri defeated Karolina Kowalkiewicz by TKO in round 3 (2:56) in the Women's Strawweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot, held Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Julia Polastri 58%42% Karolina Kowalkiewicz

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Women's Strawweight roster (78 fighters)

Julia Polastri
Striking Technician
7 edges
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Complete Fighter
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

92Power64
98Speed80
95Precision76
90Durability86
94Engine97
49Wrestling65
54Ground69

Biggest edge Karolina Kowalkiewicz, Submissions +32

Attribute by attribute

Julia Polastri is on the left of every row, Karolina Kowalkiewicz on the right.
87Punch power56
96Kick power72
98Punch speed88
97Kick speed72
95Accuracy76
49Takedowns65
51Ground striking49
56Submissions88
94Chin98
86Body strength73
94Cardio97

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

14-6-0
Record
16-10-0
1682
Power Index rating
1626
0
Win Streak
0
28
Age
40
5'2"
157 cm
Height
5'3"
160 cm
63"
160 cm
Reach
64"
163 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Weight Class
Women's Strawweight
Brazil
Nationality
Poland

Striking Profile

6.22
SLpM
5.54
56%
Str. Acc.
42%
5.18
SApM
5.77
59%
Str. Def.
56%

Grappling Profile

0.62
TD Avg.
0.36
80%
TD Acc.
23%
57%
TD Def.
74%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Julia Polastri · 2-3
  • L
    Talita Alencar
    UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs Zalal · Apr 25, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    Karolina Kowalkiewicz
    UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:56 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    Loopy Godinez
    UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Erceg · Mar 29, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    Cory McKenna
    UFC Fight Night: Royval vs Taira · Oct 12, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    Josefine Knutsson
    UFC Fight Night: Perez vs Taira · Jun 15, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
Karolina Kowalkiewicz · 2-3
  • L
    Julia Polastri
    UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 2:56 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    Denise Gomes
    UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Prates · Nov 9, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    Iasmin Lucindo
    UFC 301: Pantoja vs Erceg · May 4, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    Diana Belbita
    UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs Green · Oct 7, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    Vanessa Demopoulos
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Hill · May 20, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight

Career Averages

Based on 5 fights · 19 fights
90.8
Avg sig. strikes
73.4
0.60
Avg takedowns
0.32
1:47
Avg control time
1:22
137
Career high strikes
141
3
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Julia Polastri
Strike target
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
59%
Head
61%
27%
Body
27%
14%
Leg
12%
Julia Polastri
Strike position
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
81%
Distance
79%
13%
Clinch
18%
6%
Ground
3%