Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Carlos Felipe
Boi
11-2-0
RESULT

Carlos Felipe def. Justin Tafa (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Justin Tafa
Bad Man
7-5-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, January 16, 2021
UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Carlos Felipe defeated Justin Tafa by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Heavyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Kattar, held Saturday, January 16, 2021 at UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Carlos Felipe won the decision.

Fight stats

Carlos Felipe
Justin Tafa
0
Knockdowns
0
77 of 142
Significant strikes
86 of 148
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
58%
77 of 142
Total strikes
109 of 171
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 2
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:41
Control time
1:53
Significant strikes by target
46 of 103
Head
50 of 107
28 of 36
Body
20 of 24
3 of 3
Leg
16 of 17
64 of 128
Distance
74 of 133
13 of 14
Clinch
12 of 15
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
9 of 29
Sig. str.
26 of 47
9 of 29
Total str.
26 of 47
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
35 of 61
Sig. str.
34 of 53
35 of 61
Total str.
34 of 53
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:41
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
33 of 52
Sig. str.
26 of 48
33 of 52
Total str.
49 of 71
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
1:53

Judges' Scorecards

#FelipeTafa
1910
2109
3109
Total2928
#FelipeTafa
1910
2109
3910
Total2829
#FelipeTafa
1910
2109
3109
Total2928

Media Scores

4
Felipe
-
16
Tafa
29-28 Tafa×1629-28 Felipe×4
All 20 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

14%
Felipe
4%
Draw
82%
Tafa
166 fan scorecards submitted
29-28 Tafa74.7%29-28 Felipe14.5%30-27 Tafa7.2%29-29 Draw3.6%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
98%
Tafa
R2
90%
Felipe
R3
80%
Tafa

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Carlos Felipe
-202
67% implied win probability
Open: -210Best: -186
Justin Tafa
+160
38% implied win probability
Open: +165Best: +180

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

SportsbookCarlos FelipeJustin Tafa
BetOnline-191+166
Bookmaker-201+162
Bovada-200+160
Cloudbet-200+169
DraftKings-200+143
FanDuel-186+144
MyBookie-200+160
Pinnacle-199+169
sportsbetio-233+155
sports-interaction-235+180
unibet-190+155

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa?

Carlos Felipe defeated Justin Tafa by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Heavyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Kattar, held Saturday, January 16, 2021 at UFC Fight Island, Abu Dhabi. The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Carlos Felipe won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa?

The judges scored it 29-28, 28-29, 29-28, Carlos Felipe won the decision.

Was Carlos Felipe vs Justin Tafa a robbery?

Many scored it for Justin Tafa: 82% of 166 fan cards scored it for Justin Tafa; 80% of 20 media scores picked Justin Tafa. The judges gave it to Carlos Felipe.

Full robbery index
Referee
Herb Dean
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Carlos Felipe 43%57% Justin Tafa

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Heavyweight roster (149 fighters)

Carlos Felipe
Complete Fighter
5 edges
Justin Tafa
Knockout Artist
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

84Power98
68Speed95
73Precision90
91Durability88
86Engine55
57Wrestling45
50Ground57

Biggest edge Carlos Felipe, Cardio +31

Attribute by attribute

Carlos Felipe is on the left of every row, Justin Tafa on the right.
76Punch power98
91Kick power98
65Punch speed95
70Kick speed94
73Accuracy90
57Takedowns45
48Ground striking64
51Submissions49
96Chin93
85Body strength82
86Cardio55

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

11-2-0
Record
7-5-0 (1 NC)
1614
Power Index rating
1662
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
32
6'0"
183 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
75"
191 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Heavyweight
Weight Class
Heavyweight
Brazil
Nationality
New Zealand

Striking Profile

4.88
SLpM
4.05
45%
Str. Acc.
54%
5.60
SApM
5.11
50%
Str. Def.
47%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
0%
TD Acc.
0%
72%
TD Def.
53%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Carlos Felipe · 1-4
  • L
    ACA 200 · Feb 6, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    ACA 189: Abdulvakhabov vs Bagov · Jul 11, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • L
    ACA 187: Matmuratov vs Polpudnikov · Jun 6, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 4:17 · Heavyweight
  • L
    ACA 181: Tumenov vs Vagaev · Nov 2, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • L
    ACA 173: Frolov vs Yankovskiy · Mar 29, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
Justin Tafa · 2-2
  • L
    UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 · Feb 8, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:35 · Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 293: Adesanya vs Strickland · Sep 9, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:22 · Heavyweight
  • NC
    UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Topuria · Jun 24, 2023
    · R1 · 0:29 · Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 284: Makhachev vs Volkanovski · Feb 11, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:06 · Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 5 fights · 9 fights
73.2
Avg sig. strikes
24.6
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.00
0:43
Avg control time
0:29
94
Career high strikes
86
0
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Carlos Felipe
Strike target
Justin Tafa
63%
Head
58%
30%
Body
28%
7%
Leg
14%
Carlos Felipe
Strike position
Justin Tafa
87%
Distance
85%
11%
Clinch
12%
2%
Ground
4%