Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Julio Arce
RESULT

Julio Arce def. Julian Erosa (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 1:49
Julian Erosa
Juicy J
31-14-0
Sunday, May 19, 2019
Blue Cross Arena, Rochester, United States

Julio Arce defeated Julian Erosa by TKO in round 3 (1:49) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Lee, held Sunday, May 19, 2019 at Blue Cross Arena, Rochester.

Fight stats

Julio Arce
Julian Erosa
1
Knockdowns
0
74 of 160
Significant strikes
43 of 160
46%
Sig. strike accuracy
27%
74 of 160
Total strikes
46 of 164
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:13
Control time
0:33
Significant strikes by target
61 of 142
Head
23 of 129
12 of 17
Body
15 of 24
1 of 1
Leg
5 of 7
71 of 155
Distance
39 of 151
2 of 4
Clinch
4 of 9
1 of 1
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
14 of 43
Sig. str.
12 of 49
14 of 43
Total str.
14 of 51
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:07
Ctrl
0:11
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
34 of 72
Sig. str.
21 of 74
34 of 72
Total str.
22 of 76
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:05
Ctrl
0:22
ROUND 3
1
KD
0
26 of 45
Sig. str.
10 of 37
26 of 45
Total str.
10 of 37
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:01
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Julio Arce
-785
89% implied win probability
Open: -474Best: -730
Julian Erosa
+497
17% implied win probability
Open: +330Best: +525

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Julio ArceJulian Erosa
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%May 6May 10May 14May 19May 6, 9:09 AM UTC · Julio Arce -450 (82%)May 6, 11:03 AM UTC · Julio Arce -400 (80%)May 7, 2:33 AM UTC · Julio Arce -450 (82%)May 7, 10:45 PM UTC · Julio Arce -452 (82%)May 9, 9:27 AM UTC · Julio Arce -450 (82%)May 12, 11:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -460 (82%)May 12, 1:39 PM UTC · Julio Arce -476 (83%)May 13, 12:45 PM UTC · Julio Arce -490 (83%)May 13, 11:48 PM UTC · Julio Arce -507 (84%)May 14, 4:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -520 (84%)May 14, 5:36 AM UTC · Julio Arce -557 (85%)May 14, 10:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -558 (85%)May 14, 2:09 PM UTC · Julio Arce -570 (85%)May 14, 7:27 PM UTC · Julio Arce -570 (85%)May 15, 2:57 AM UTC · Julio Arce -590 (86%)May 15, 5:18 AM UTC · Julio Arce -590 (86%)May 15, 12:57 PM UTC · Julio Arce -623 (86%)May 15, 1:03 PM UTC · Julio Arce -590 (86%)May 15, 1:06 PM UTC · Julio Arce -623 (86%)May 15, 1:09 PM UTC · Julio Arce -590 (86%)May 15, 1:12 PM UTC · Julio Arce -623 (86%)May 16, 12:18 AM UTC · Julio Arce -623 (86%)May 16, 12:57 AM UTC · Julio Arce -623 (86%)May 16, 4:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -658 (87%)May 16, 6:18 AM UTC · Julio Arce -658 (87%)May 16, 8:09 AM UTC · Julio Arce -658 (87%)May 16, 12:09 PM UTC · Julio Arce -681 (87%)May 16, 7:33 PM UTC · Julio Arce -730 (88%)May 16, 8:39 PM UTC · Julio Arce -730 (88%)May 17, 7:27 AM UTC · Julio Arce -755 (88%)May 17, 8:57 AM UTC · Julio Arce -756 (88%)May 17, 1:09 PM UTC · Julio Arce -757 (88%)May 17, 1:27 PM UTC · Julio Arce -756 (88%)May 17, 5:00 PM UTC · Julio Arce -775 (89%)May 17, 9:39 PM UTC · Julio Arce -786 (89%)May 17, 10:24 PM UTC · Julio Arce -767 (88%)May 17, 11:18 PM UTC · Julio Arce -770 (89%)May 18, 5:21 AM UTC · Julio Arce -784 (89%)May 18, 5:24 AM UTC · Julio Arce -789 (89%)May 18, 5:27 AM UTC · Julio Arce -770 (89%)May 18, 5:30 AM UTC · Julio Arce -789 (89%)May 18, 7:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -790 (89%)May 18, 12:39 PM UTC · Julio Arce -792 (89%)May 18, 7:39 PM UTC · Julio Arce -791 (89%)May 18, 7:42 PM UTC · Julio Arce -792 (89%)May 18, 7:45 PM UTC · Julio Arce -791 (89%)May 19, 1:48 AM UTC · Julio Arce -785 (89%)May 19, 1:51 AM UTC · Julio Arce -791 (89%)May 19, 1:54 AM UTC · Julio Arce -785 (89%)May 6, 9:09 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +325 (24%)May 6, 11:03 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +300 (25%)May 7, 2:33 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +325 (24%)May 7, 10:45 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +312 (24%)May 9, 9:27 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +315 (24%)May 12, 11:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +322 (24%)May 12, 1:39 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +330 (23%)May 13, 12:45 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +338 (23%)May 13, 11:48 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +347 (22%)May 14, 4:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +354 (22%)May 14, 5:36 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +371 (21%)May 14, 10:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +371 (21%)May 14, 2:09 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +378 (21%)May 14, 7:27 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +379 (21%)May 15, 2:57 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +391 (20%)May 15, 5:18 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +390 (20%)May 15, 12:57 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +406 (20%)May 15, 1:03 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +390 (20%)May 15, 1:06 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +406 (20%)May 15, 1:09 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +390 (20%)May 15, 1:12 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +406 (20%)May 16, 12:18 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +408 (20%)May 16, 12:57 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +406 (20%)May 16, 4:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +425 (19%)May 16, 6:18 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +426 (19%)May 16, 8:09 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +425 (19%)May 16, 12:09 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +438 (19%)May 16, 7:33 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +470 (18%)May 16, 8:39 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +471 (18%)May 17, 7:27 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +484 (17%)May 17, 8:57 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +484 (17%)May 17, 1:09 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +484 (17%)May 17, 1:27 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +484 (17%)May 17, 5:00 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +501 (17%)May 17, 9:39 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +508 (16%)May 17, 10:24 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +495 (17%)May 17, 11:18 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +496 (17%)May 18, 5:21 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +503 (17%)May 18, 5:24 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +506 (17%)May 18, 5:27 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +496 (17%)May 18, 5:30 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +506 (17%)May 18, 7:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +506 (17%)May 18, 12:39 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +507 (16%)May 18, 7:39 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +501 (17%)May 18, 7:42 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +507 (16%)May 18, 7:45 PM UTC · Julian Erosa +501 (17%)May 19, 1:48 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +506 (17%)May 19, 1:51 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +501 (17%)May 19, 1:54 AM UTC · Julian Erosa +497 (17%)-785+497
SportsbookJulio ArceJulian Erosa
Bookmaker-800+500
Bovada-850+525
sports-interaction-730+465
unibet-770+500

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Julio Arce vs Julian Erosa?

Julio Arce defeated Julian Erosa by TKO in round 3 (1:49) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs Lee, held Sunday, May 19, 2019 at Blue Cross Arena, Rochester.

Referee
Keith Peterson
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Julio Arce 51%49% Julian Erosa

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Julio Arce
Volume Striker
6 edges
Julian Erosa
Grappling Specialist
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

60Power64
86Speed60
94Precision64
93Durability85
96Engine95
51Wrestling91
71Ground92

Biggest edge Julian Erosa, Takedowns +40

Attribute by attribute

Julio Arce is on the left of every row, Julian Erosa on the right.
51Punch power66
69Kick power62
96Punch speed63
75Kick speed56
94Accuracy64
51Takedowns91
53Ground striking88
88Submissions95
92Chin93
94Body strength76
96Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-6-0
Record
31-14-0
1781
Power Index rating
1771
1
Win Streak
0
36
Age
37
5'7"
170 cm
Height
6'1"
185 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
74"
188 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Style Matchup

-
vs
MMABJJ
Julio Arce

No background on record

Julian Erosa
  • Black belt · BJJ
  • 2016Featherweight Championship · Prime Fighting
  • 2014Lightweight Championship · CageSport
  • 2012Featherweight Championship · CageSport

Camp Xtreme Couture · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Striking Profile

4.36
SLpM
6.18
36%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.05
SApM
6.31
68%
Str. Def.
48%

Grappling Profile

0.46
TD Avg.
1.73
28%
TD Acc.
43%
96%
TD Def.
61%
0.30
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Julio Arce · 4-1
  • W
    PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2 · Jul 18, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    PFL Pittsburgh: Eblen vs. Battle · Mar 28, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Victory Fighting League · Oct 24, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Victory Fighting League · Aug 15, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Atlantic City · Mar 30, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:00 · Featherweight
Julian Erosa · 3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 3:33 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Burns vs Morales · May 17, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:15 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs Cortez · Jul 13, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 4:49 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs Namajunas · Mar 23, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 2:15 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 13 fights · 19 fights
53.8
Avg sig. strikes
47.8
0.31
Avg takedowns
0.89
0:43
Avg control time
1:12
127
Career high strikes
155
1
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Julio Arce
Strike target
Julian Erosa
73%
Head
66%
23%
Body
24%
4%
Leg
10%
Julio Arce
Strike position
Julian Erosa
87%
Distance
78%
10%
Clinch
16%
3%
Ground
6%