Smith vs Erosa Result & Stats: Smith wins by TKO R1 · UFC Fight Night, Sat, Nov 10, 2018

UFCUFC Fight Night: The Korean Zombie vs Rodriguez

Devonte SmithWIN

“King Kage” · 11-4-0

RESULT

TKO

ROUND 1 · 0:46

Lightweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Julian Erosa

“Juicy J” · 31-13-0

Saturday, November 10, 2018Pepsi Center, Denver, United States

Devonte Smith defeated Julian Erosa by TKO in round 1 (0:46) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: The Korean Zombie vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, November 10, 2018 at Pepsi Center, Denver.

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The result

Devonte SmithWIN

def. Julian Erosa

TKO

Round 1 · 0:46

Referee: Tim Mills
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Devonte SmithJulian Erosa

44%Power Index✗ Missed56%

67%Market · 4 sportsbooks✓ Called it33%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Devonte Smith

-244

71% implied win probability · Open: -240

Julian Erosa

+187

35% implied win probability · Open: +186

Line Movement

Devonte SmithJulian Erosa

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Devonte Smith dropped Julian Erosa once.
Devonte Smith out-landed Julian Erosa 13 to 4 in significant strikes.

Tale of the tape

8-1-0

Record

22-5-0

Age

5'9" · 175 cm

Height

6'1" · 185 cm

76" · 193 cm

Reach

74" · 188 cm

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Win Streak

1738

Power Index

1782

4-1

Last 5

4-1

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Devonte SmithJulian Erosa

Knockdowns

13 / 19

Significant strikes

4 / 7

68%

Sig. strike accuracy

57%

13 / 19

Total strikes

4 / 7

0 / 0

Takedowns

0 / 0

0:03

Control time

0:00

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Devonte SmithJulian Erosa

969%

Head

125%

215%

Body

125%

215%

Leg

250%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Devonte Smith

69%31%

Julian Erosa

100%

DistanceClinchGround

Range × target

Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell

Devonte Smith13 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

66/10

11/1

22/2

Clinch

Ground

33/5

11/1

Julian Erosa4 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

11/4

11/1

22/2

Clinch

Ground

Betting Odds

Devonte Smith

-244

71% implied win probability

Open: -240

Julian Erosa

+187

35% implied win probability

Open: +186

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Devonte SmithJulian Erosa

Sportsbook	Devonte Smith	Julian Erosa
Bookmaker	-230	+184
Bovada	-240	+190
sports-interaction	-270	+195
unibet	-240	+180

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

Julian Erosa absorbs 6.31 significant strikes a minute, more than 97% of UFC fighters.
Devonte Smith lands 4.55 significant strikes a minute, more than 81% of UFC fighters.
Julian Erosa lands 6.18 significant strikes a minute, more than 96% of UFC fighters.
Devonte Smith stops 86% of takedowns, better than 90% of UFC fighters.

Style & credentials

Devonte Smith

No background on record

Camp · FactoryX Muay Thai

Julian Erosa

MMABJJ

—Black belt · BJJ
2016Featherweight ChampionshipPrime Fighting
2014Lightweight ChampionshipCageSport
2012Featherweight ChampionshipCageSport

Camp · Xtreme Couture · Las Vegas, Nevada, US

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

63%

Head

66%

19%

Body

24%

18%

Leg

10%

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Devonte Smithlast 1 fight

11%89%

Julian Erosalast 8 fights

67%19%14%

DistanceClinchGround

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Devonte Smith Julian Erosa

Strikes landed / min

4.556.18

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Good · better than 81% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Elite · better than 96% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

3.916.31

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Below avg · better than 34% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Poor · better than 3% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.351.73

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Poor · better than 16% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Good · better than 65% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

25%44%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Below avg · better than 20% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Good · better than 64% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

86%62%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Elite · better than 90% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Average · better than 45% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.300.70

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Devonte Smith · Average · better than 40% of UFC fightersJulian Erosa · Good · better than 68% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1490 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

4.55

Strikes landed / min

6.18

3.91

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

6.31

0.35 / 1.4

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.73 / 3.9

25%

Takedown accuracy

44%

86%

Takedown defence

62%

0:30

Control time / fight

1:08

0.30

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.70

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Devonte Smith7 UFC fights · 197 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

47%92/235

9%18/31

17%34/37

Clinch

10%19/26

8%16/17

1%2/2

Ground

7%13/20

2%3/3

0%0/0

Julian Erosa18 UFC fights · 848 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

54%459/1243

15%130/202

10%85/100

Clinch

7%58/96

7%60/70

0%3/3

Ground

6%51/56

0%2/2

0%0/1

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Devonte Smith9 of 9 ended early · 100%0 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

Julian Erosa21 of 27 ended early · 78%6 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Devonte Smith4-1

W
Joseph Lowry
Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series 16· Aug 7, 2018
Knockout · R1 · 2:52 · Lightweight
W
Justin Edwards
Alliance MMA· Mar 3, 2018
TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Lightweight
W
Nick Gehrts
V3 Fights 65· Nov 18, 2017
TKO · R4 · 1:03 · Lightweight
W
Damonte Robinson
IT Fight Series 74· Jul 29, 2017
Submission · R1 · 2:35 · Lightweight
L
John Gunther
Big Guns 22· Jan 28, 2017
TKO · R3 · 2:29 · Lightweight

Full record · 9 fights

W
Xavier Nash
Pinnacle FC 14· Sep 2, 2016
TKO · R3 · 0:50 · Lightweight
W
Fred Stonehouse
GOTC MMA 21· Jun 4, 2016
TKO · R1 · 3:01 · Lightweight
W
Mike Wiseman
Caged Madness 40· Jan 16, 2016
TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Lightweight
W
John Mosley
Caged Madness 38· Sep 26, 2015
TKO · R1 · 4:29 · Lightweight

Julian Erosa4-1

W
Jamall Emmers
Dana White's Tuesday Night Contender Series 11· Jun 26, 2018
Knockout · R2 · 1:10 · Featherweight
W
Bryan Nuro
CageSport 48· Dec 16, 2017
Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
W
Erick Sánchez
GKO 11· Nov 4, 2017
TKO · R2 · 4:36 · Featherweight
L
Bobby McIntyre
CageSport 46· Jul 15, 2017
TKO · R1 · 3:28 · Lightweight
W
Justin Harrington
CageSport 45· Apr 22, 2017
TKO · R1 · 4:09 · Lightweight

Full record · 27 fights

W
Justin Harrington
CageSport 44· Feb 25, 2017
Submission · R1 · 2:23 · Lightweight
L
Paddy Pimblett
Cage Warriors· Nov 12, 2016
Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
W
Austin Springer
Prime Fighting 8· Oct 8, 2016
TKO · R2 · 3:15 · Featherweight
W
Daniel Swain
KOTC: Battle Zone· May 19, 2016
TKO · R2 · 5:00 · Catchweight
L
Teruto Ishihara
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz· Mar 5, 2016
TKO · R2 · 0:34 · Featherweight
W
Marcin Wrzosek
The Ultimate Fighter Finale: Team McGregor vs Teab Faber· Dec 11, 2015
SD · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
W
Drew Brokenshire
CageSport 34· Feb 21, 2015
Submission · R3 · 4:35 · Featherweight
W
Harrison Bevens
CageSport 33· Dec 13, 2014
TKO · R2 · 2:10 · Lightweight
W
Ryan Mulvihill
KOTC: Seek and Destroy· May 22, 2014
Submission · R2 · 4:17 · Lightweight
W
Mike Joy
CageSport 29· Feb 8, 2014
TKO · R2 · 2:28 · Catchweight
L
Lee Morrison
CageSport 25· Jul 6, 2013
Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
W
Jason Gybels
CageSport 24· Apr 27, 2013
Submission · R2 · 3:49 · Catchweight
L
Drew Brokenshire
CageSport 22· Dec 1, 2012
Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
W
Jason Gybels
CageSport 21· Sep 29, 2012
TKO · R1 · 4:46 · Lightweight
W
Ryan Mulvihill
CageSport 19· Apr 28, 2012
Submission · R4 · 1:48 · Featherweight
W
Jerome Jones
CageSport 18· Feb 25, 2012
Submission · R2 · 4:30 · Lightweight
W
Matt Coble
CageSport 17· Dec 3, 2011
Submission · R3 · 3:37 · Lightweight
W
Ernesto Toscano
CageSport 16· Oct 1, 2011
Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
W
John Martinez
LOTC 12: Sicilia vs.Swain· Jun 10, 2011
TKO · R3 · 3:24
W
Ryan Mulvihill
CageSport 14· Apr 22, 2011
Submission · R2 · 1:23
W
Omar Avelar
CageSport 13· Feb 19, 2011
Submission · R2 · 2:32
W
Angel Diaz
CageSport 12· Oct 2, 2010
TKO · R1 · 2:16 · Lightweight

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Devonte Smith vs Julian Erosa?

Devonte Smith defeated Julian Erosa by TKO in round 1 (0:46) in the Lightweight bout of UFC Fight Night: The Korean Zombie vs Rodriguez, held Saturday, November 10, 2018 at Pepsi Center, Denver.

Get this bout's result and round-by-round stats as JSON with the MMA Fight Data API →