Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Tom Breese
United KingdomTom Breese
12-3-0
RESULT

Tom Breese def. Keita Nakamura (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Keita Nakamura
JapanKeita Nakamura
“K-Taro”
34-10-2 (1 NC)
Saturday, February 27, 2016
The O2, London, United Kingdom

Tom Breese defeated Keita Nakamura by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping, held Saturday, February 27, 2016 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 29-28, Tom Breese won the decision.

Fight stats

Tom Breese
Keita Nakamura
0
Knockdowns
0
32 of 59
Significant strikes
6 of 16
54%
Sig. strike accuracy
38%
88 of 121
Total strikes
16 of 27
0 of 0
Takedowns
3 of 6
-
Takedown accuracy
50%
1
Submission attempts
1
1
Reversals
1
6:25
Control time
4:00
Significant strikes by target
26 of 50
Head
4 of 9
4 of 7
Body
2 of 5
2 of 2
Leg
0 of 2
13 of 31
Distance
6 of 15
9 of 11
Clinch
0 of 1
10 of 17
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
15 of 25
Sig. str.
6 of 12
25 of 35
Total str.
9 of 16
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
1:20
Ctrl
0:50
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
12 of 20
Sig. str.
0 of 2
37 of 46
Total str.
1 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
1
3:25
Ctrl
1:15
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
5 of 14
Sig. str.
0 of 2
26 of 40
Total str.
6 of 8
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
1
Sub. att
0
1:40
Ctrl
1:55

Judges' Scorecards

Howard Hughes
#BreeseNakamura
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Andy Roberts
#BreeseNakamura
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
Paul Sutherland
#BreeseNakamura
1109
2109
3910
Total2928

Media Scores

13
Breese
-
0
Nakamura
●29-28 Breese×8●30-27 Breese×3●30-28 Breese×2
All 13 media scorecards▾

Fan Scorecards

43%
Breese
57%
Nakamura
28 fan scorecards submitted
●29-28 Nakamura42.9%●30-27 Breese25%●30-27 Nakamura14.3%●29-28 Breese10.7%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
54%
Nakamura
R2
71%
Breese
R3
57%
Nakamura

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Tom Breese
-1271
93% implied win probability
Open: -700Best: -1200
Keita Nakamura
+725
12% implied win probability
Open: +450Best: +750

Average moneyline across 2 sportsbooks.

SportsbookTom BreeseKeita Nakamura
Bookmaker-1350+750
Bovada-1200+700

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tom Breese vs Keita Nakamura?

Tom Breese defeated Keita Nakamura by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping, held Saturday, February 27, 2016 at The O2, London. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 29-28, Tom Breese won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Tom Breese vs Keita Nakamura?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 29-28, Tom Breese won the decision.

Was Tom Breese vs Keita Nakamura a robbery?

Many scored it for Keita Nakamura: 57% of 28 fan cards scored it for Keita Nakamura; 100% of 13 media scores picked Tom Breese. The judges gave it to Tom Breese.

Full robbery index →
Referee
Leon Roberts
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Tom Breese 47%53% Keita Nakamura

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Tom Breese
Knockout Artist
6 edges
Keita Nakamura
Complete Fighter
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power79
91Speed81
94Precision83
70Durability88
61Engine86
55Wrestling92
87Ground83

Biggest edge Keita Nakamura, Takedowns +37

Attribute by attribute

Tom Breese is on the left of every row, Keita Nakamura on the right.
94Punch power95
95Kick power63
96Punch speed94
85Kick speed67
94Accuracy83
55Takedowns92
78Ground striking72
95Submissions94
72Chin95
68Body strength80
61Cardio86

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

12-3-0
Record
34-10-2 (1 NC)
1762
Power Index rating
1781
0
Win Streak
0
34
Age
42
6'3"
191 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
73"
185 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
United Kingdom
Nationality
Japan

Striking Profile

3.34
SLpM
2.23
50%
Str. Acc.
36%
2.81
SApM
3.20
60%
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
1.65
0%
TD Acc.
48%
70%
TD Def.
63%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Tom Breese · 2-3
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    UAE Warriors 67 · Jan 31, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 2:58 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
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  • W
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    Submission · R1 · 1:39 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
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    FNC 21: Batur vs. Andryszak · Feb 15, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:30 · Catchweight
  • W
    Renato Rangel
    Levels Fight League 14 · Oct 27, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
Keita Nakamura · 2-3
  • L
    Roberto Satoshi de Souza
    Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 9 · Mar 23, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 1:43 · Lightweight
  • W
    Kiichi Kunimoto
    Rizin FF - Rizin 41 · Apr 1, 2023
    Knockout · R2 · 0:49 · Welterweight
  • L
    Lorenz Larkin
    Bellator 237 · Dec 28, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
  • W
    Marcos Yoshio de Souza
    Rizin FF - Rizin 19: Lightweight Grand Prix 1st Round · Oct 12, 2019
    TKO · R1 · 1:18 · Welterweight
  • L
    Sultan Aliev
    UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Oleinik · Apr 20, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 9 fights · 11 fights
23.5
Avg sig. strikes
30.6
0.00
Avg takedowns
1.64
1:07
Avg control time
2:09
62
Career high strikes
57
0
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Tom Breese
Strike target
Keita Nakamura
67%
Head
79%
26%
Body
15%
7%
Leg
6%
Tom Breese
Strike position
Keita Nakamura
74%
Distance
79%
13%
Clinch
11%
13%
Ground
10%