Women's StrawweightTITLE FIGHT5 rounds scheduled
16-5-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m
Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, United States
Win probability
Mackenzie Dern 51%49% Gillian Robertson
Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Fight DNA
Head to headUFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.
Mackenzie Dern
Submission Ace
9 edges
Gillian Robertson
Submission Ace
2 edges
Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap
Style shape
91Power70
91Speed70
90Precision53
92Durability70
93Engine78
90Wrestling96
95Ground96
Biggest edge Mackenzie Dern, Accuracy +37
Attribute by attribute
Mackenzie Dern is on the left of every row, Gillian Robertson on the right.
92Punch power59
90Kick power81
92Punch speed56
89Kick speed83
90Accuracy53
90Takedowns96
92Ground striking95
98Submissions97
93Chin78
90Body strength62
93Cardio78
Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.
Tale of the Tape
16-5-0
Record
17-8-0
1748
Power Index rating
1740
3
Win Streak
5
33
Age
31
5'4"
163 cm
Height
5'5"
165 cm
63"
160 cm
Reach
63"
160 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Weight Class
Women's Strawweight
United States / Brazil
Nationality
Canada
Striking Profile
3.47
SLpM
2.71
41%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.93
SApM
2.86
51%
Str. Def.
56%
Grappling Profile
0.93
TD Avg.
2.76
18%
TD Acc.
40%
37%
TD Def.
38%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.90
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Mackenzie Dern · 3-2
- WUFC 321: Aspinall vs Gane · Oct 25, 2025Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025Submission · R3 · 4:56 · Women's Strawweight
- L
- WUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Nurmagomedov · Aug 3, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
- LUFC 298: Volkanovski vs Topuria · Feb 17, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
Gillian Robertson · 5-0
- WUFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Vallejos · Mar 14, 2026Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo · May 3, 2025TKO · R2 · 2:07 · Women's Strawweight
- WUFC Fight Night: Magny vs Prates · Nov 9, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
- WUFC 303: Pereira vs Procházka 2 · Jun 29, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
- W
Common Opponents
Career Averages
Based on 16 fights · 20 fights
49.1
Avg sig. strikes
28.0
0.88
Avg takedowns
1.90
3:59
Avg control time
5:08
126
Career high strikes
77
3
Career high TDs
5
Strike Distribution
Mackenzie Dern
Strike target
Gillian Robertson
75%
Head
67%
14%
Body
16%
11%
Leg
17%
Mackenzie Dern
Strike position
Gillian Robertson
73%
Distance
50%
10%
Clinch
4%
17%
Ground
46%
Betting Odds
Mackenzie Dern
-217
68% implied win probability
Open: -235Best: -190
Gillian Robertson
+181
36% implied win probability
Open: +161Best: +194
Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Mackenzie Dern | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | -202 | +183 |
| 4Cx | -207 | +179 |
| Bet105 | -222 | +187 |
| BetAnything | -213 | +178 |
| BetMGM | -220 | +180 |
| BetOnline | -213 | +182 |
| BetRivers | -233 | +185 |
| BetUS | -215 | +178 |
| Betway | -225 | +175 |
| Bookmaker | -226 | +180 |
| Bovada | -225 | +185 |
| Caesars | -230 | +190 |
| Circa | -200 | +175 |
| Cloudbet | -238 | +180 |
| DraftKings | -225 | +185 |
| FanDuel | -245 | +186 |
| HardRockBet | -230 | +185 |
| Kalshi | -203 | +194 |
| MyBookie | -226 | +173 |
| Pinnacle | -222 | +187 |
| Polymarket | -194 | +186 |
| ProphetX | -190 | +168 |
| Stake | -217 | +180 |
| SXBet | -214 | +169 |
| YouWager | -213 | +182 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io