Keiichiro Nakamura defeated Sebastian Szalay by TKO in round 3 (3:48) in the Road to 4 Featherweight bout of UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2, held Sunday, February 1, 2026 at Afterpay Arena, Sydney Olympic Park.
Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Where it landed
Significant strikes landed by target in this fight
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Range × target
Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round · the judges' scores under each
Bars share one scale across rounds. Each chip is one judge's score for the round, coloured by who they gave it to.
Judges' Scorecards
| # | Nakamura | Szalay |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Nakamura | Szalay |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
| # | Nakamura | Szalay |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | 9 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Keiichiro Nakamura | Sebastian Szalay |
|---|---|---|
| 4casters | +109 | -116 |
| 4Cx | +107 | -118 |
| Bet105 | +108 | -121 |
| BetAnything | +105 | -135 |
| BetMGM | +110 | -135 |
| BetOnline | +105 | -125 |
| BetRivers | +1100 | -5000 |
| BetUS | +110 | -130 |
| Betway | +110 | -138 |
| Bookmaker | +112 | -132 |
| Bovada | +102 | -122 |
| Caesars | +110 | -130 |
| Cloudbet | +113 | -127 |
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
| FanDuel | +112 | -132 |
| HardRockBet | +105 | -130 |
| MyBookie | +110 | -135 |
| Pinnacle | +118 | -133 |
| Polymarket | +117 | -122 |
| Stake | +111 | -120 |
| SXBet | +113 | -127 |
Odds are for information only.
Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API
Insights
- Sebastian Szalay lands 5.72 significant strikes a minute, more than 94% of UFC fighters.
- Keiichiro Nakamura absorbs 5.72 significant strikes a minute, more than 94% of UFC fighters.
- Sebastian Szalay spends 95% of fight time at distance.
- Keiichiro Nakamura spends 95% of fight time at distance.
Style & credentials
No background on record
Camp · Ex-Fight · JapanNo background on record
Camp · Luistro Combat Academy · AustraliaSig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ranked against 1483 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
Recent form · last 5
- WSebastian SzalayUFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 · Feb 1, 2026TKO · R3 · 3:48 · Road to 4 Featherweight
- W
- WEoh Jin ParkRoad to UFC · May 22, 2025TKO · R2 · 2:24 · Featherweight
- WYusuke KagiyamaPOUNDOUT 1 · Oct 5, 2024TKO · R1 · 4:28 · Featherweight
- WShun MurataGrachan 66 · Dec 16, 2023TKO · R1 · 3:51 · Featherweight
Full record · 9 fightsShow less
- WTaisei OtsukiGrachan 65: 15 Years Anniversary · Oct 15, 2023TKO · R1 · 3:23 · Featherweight
- WMasaya IshizukaGrachan / Kiwami · Mar 19, 2023TKO · R1 · 3:50 · Featherweight
- WTomomitsu HinumaEXFIGHT.7 · Dec 11, 2022TKO · R1 · 1:19 · Featherweight
- LYu KarinoPound Storm · Apr 24, 2022SUB · R3 · 4:28 · Featherweight
- LUFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2 · Feb 1, 2026TKO · R3 · 3:48 · Road to 4 Featherweight
- W
- WBaergeng JieleyisiRoad to UFC · May 22, 2025Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
- WTasar MaloneEternal MMA 92 · Feb 8, 2025Split Decision · Featherweight
- WDimps GilliesEternal MMA 87 · Aug 17, 2024Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
Full record · 12 fightsShow less
- WGabriel SchluppEternal MMA 86 · Jun 22, 2024Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
- WDan JonesEternal MMA 80 · Oct 28, 2023Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
- WJoe DavisEternal MMA 78 · Sep 8, 2023TKO · R1 · 1:28 · Featherweight
- WMizuho MatsuyamaEternal MMA 68 · Aug 20, 2022Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
- WDavid KrielEternal MMA 60 · Jun 5, 2021SUB · R1 · 4:14 · Featherweight
- LAbdalla BiaydaEternal MMA 56 · Feb 13, 2021Unanimous Decision · Featherweight
- WDarcy BalhasAustralian FC 23 · Dec 1, 2019Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
Frequently asked questions
Who won Keiichiro Nakamura vs Sebastian Szalay?
Keiichiro Nakamura defeated Sebastian Szalay by TKO in round 3 (3:48) in the Road to 4 Featherweight bout of UFC 325: Volkanovski vs Lopes 2, held Sunday, February 1, 2026 at Afterpay Arena, Sydney Olympic Park.