Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Jake Matthews
The Celtic Kid
23-8-0
RESULT

Jake Matthews def. Francisco Prado (Unanimous Decision)

Unanimous Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Saturday, February 8, 2025
Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park, Australia

Jake Matthews defeated Francisco Prado by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2, held Saturday, February 8, 2025 at Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Jake Matthews won the decision.

Fight stats

Jake Matthews
Francisco Prado
0
Knockdowns
0
68 of 184
Significant strikes
59 of 146
37%
Sig. strike accuracy
40%
95 of 215
Total strikes
64 of 152
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 6
-
Takedown accuracy
17%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:40
Control time
2:16
Significant strikes by target
39 of 146
Head
17 of 92
24 of 33
Body
19 of 28
5 of 5
Leg
23 of 26
56 of 169
Distance
47 of 132
12 of 15
Clinch
11 of 13
0 of 0
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
20 of 58
Sig. str.
22 of 57
23 of 62
Total str.
22 of 57
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:33
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 57
Sig. str.
18 of 41
39 of 76
Total str.
21 of 44
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
1:16
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
26 of 69
Sig. str.
19 of 48
33 of 77
Total str.
21 of 51
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:40
Ctrl
0:27

Judges' Scorecards

#MatthewsPrado
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#MatthewsPrado
1109
2109
3109
Total3027
#MatthewsPrado
1109
2109
3109
Total3027

Media Scores

14
Matthews
-
0
Prado
30-27 Matthews×14
All 14 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

100%
Matthews
0%
Prado
30 fan scorecards submitted
30-27 Matthews93.3%29-28 Matthews6.7%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
97%
Matthews
R2
97%
Matthews
R3
100%
Matthews

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Jake Matthews
-278
74% implied win probability
Open: -223Best: -215
Francisco Prado
+318
24% implied win probability
Open: +194Best: +1500

Average moneyline across 18 sportsbooks.

SportsbookJake MatthewsFrancisco Prado
4casters-234+221
Bet105-254+217
BetAnything-215+180
BetMGM-235+195
BetOnline-240+205
BetRivers-245+195
BetUS-250+200
Betway-2000+700
Bookmaker-266+209
Bovada-215+185
Caesars-230+190
Circa-240+205
Cloudbet-242+213
DraftKings-4000+1500
FanDuel-240+198
MyBookie-1250+500
Pinnacle-247+211
SXBet-217+208

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado?

Jake Matthews defeated Francisco Prado by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2, held Saturday, February 8, 2025 at Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney Olympic Park. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Jake Matthews won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado?

The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Jake Matthews won the decision.

Was Jake Matthews vs Francisco Prado a robbery?

Public scoring backed the judges: 100% of 30 fan cards scored it for Jake Matthews; 100% of 14 media scores picked Jake Matthews.

Full robbery index
Referee
Mike Beltran
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Jake Matthews 58%42% Francisco Prado

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model. Each fighter is rated against their own division, so read the gaps as directional.

Jake Matthews
Complete Fighter
8 edges
Francisco Prado
Knockout Artist
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

72Power81
78Speed84
83Precision55
81Durability76
91Engine72
92Wrestling63
94Ground81

Biggest edge Francisco Prado, Kick power +33

Attribute by attribute

Jake Matthews is on the left of every row, Francisco Prado on the right.
79Punch power64
64Kick power97
84Punch speed71
72Kick speed97
83Accuracy55
92Takedowns63
92Ground striking75
95Submissions87
78Chin84
83Body strength67
91Cardio72

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

23-8-0
Record
12-5-0
1781
Power Index rating
1727
1
Win Streak
0
32
Age
24
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Australia
Nationality
Argentina

Striking Profile

3.36
SLpM
3.68
44%
Str. Acc.
43%
2.58
SApM
4.31
60%
Str. Def.
54%

Grappling Profile

1.36
TD Avg.
0.76
41%
TD Acc.
19%
66%
TD Def.
40%
0.70
Sub. Avg.
0.80

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Jake Matthews · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Song vs Figueiredo · May 30, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Perth: Ulberg vs Reyes · Sep 27, 2025
    Submission · R3 · 3:08 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 1:09 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 · Feb 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 302: Makhachev vs Poirier · Jun 1, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Francisco Prado · 1-4
  • L
    UFC 327: Procházka vs Ulberg · Apr 11, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC 312: Du Plessis vs Strickland 2 · Feb 8, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Mexico City · Feb 25, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Holm vs Bueno Silva · Jul 15, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 4:05 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 24 fights · 6 fights
38.5
Avg sig. strikes
48.5
1.04
Avg takedowns
0.67
3:02
Avg control time
2:03
72
Career high strikes
90
4
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Jake Matthews
Strike target
Francisco Prado
72%
Head
50%
17%
Body
22%
11%
Leg
27%
Jake Matthews
Strike position
Francisco Prado
72%
Distance
79%
7%
Clinch
7%
21%
Ground
14%