Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2
Bantamweight★ Performance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Said Nurmagomedov
RussiaSaid Nurmagomedov
“Python”
18-5-0
RESULT

Said Nurmagomedov def. Muin Gafurov (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 1:13
Muin Gafurov
TajikistanMuin Gafurov
“Tajik”
20-7-0
Saturday, October 21, 2023
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates

Said Nurmagomedov defeated Muin Gafurov by Submission in round 1 (1:13) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2, held Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Fight stats

Said Nurmagomedov
Muin Gafurov
0
Knockdowns
0
5 of 11
Significant strikes
1 of 3
45%
Sig. strike accuracy
33%
5 of 11
Total strikes
1 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:03
Control time
0:07
Significant strikes by target
2 of 7
Head
0 of 2
2 of 2
Body
0 of 0
1 of 2
Leg
1 of 1
5 of 11
Distance
1 of 3
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
5 of 11
Sig. str.
1 of 3
5 of 11
Total str.
1 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
1
Sub. att
0
0:03
Ctrl
0:07

Betting Odds

Said Nurmagomedov
-310
76% implied win probability
Open: -218Best: -299
Muin Gafurov
+233
30% implied win probability
Open: +177Best: +275

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Said NurmagomedovMuin Gafurov
30%40%50%60%70%80%Sep 28Oct 6Oct 14Oct 21Sep 28, 11:18 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -225 (69%)Sep 28, 9:41 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -195 (66%)Sep 30, 5:36 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -192 (66%)Oct 2, 12:21 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -192 (66%)Oct 2, 6:25 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -195 (66%)Oct 2, 11:30 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -198 (66%)Oct 2, 11:50 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -196 (66%)Oct 4, 3:05 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -195 (66%)Oct 5, 12:50 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -191 (66%)Oct 6, 5:01 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -189 (65%)Oct 7, 6:51 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -193 (66%)Oct 9, 10:40 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -199 (67%)Oct 10, 11:25 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -200 (67%)Oct 12, 2:02 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -202 (67%)Oct 12, 12:56 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -205 (67%)Oct 12, 10:31 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -205 (67%)Oct 13, 8:11 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -207 (67%)Oct 13, 6:51 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -207 (67%)Oct 14, 7:36 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -207 (67%)Oct 14, 11:20 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -209 (68%)Oct 14, 3:30 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -209 (68%)Oct 14, 6:30 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -209 (68%)Oct 14, 8:55 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -209 (68%)Oct 14, 11:31 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -210 (68%)Oct 15, 12:31 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -210 (68%)Oct 15, 5:55 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -212 (68%)Oct 15, 6:20 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -211 (68%)Oct 15, 7:35 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -212 (68%)Oct 15, 10:05 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -212 (68%)Oct 15, 3:25 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -214 (68%)Oct 15, 4:50 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -215 (68%)Oct 15, 7:11 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -223 (69%)Oct 15, 10:01 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -226 (69%)Oct 16, 2:11 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -225 (69%)Oct 16, 11:56 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -227 (69%)Oct 16, 3:11 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -232 (70%)Oct 16, 9:06 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -225 (69%)Oct 17, 2:25 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -215 (68%)Oct 17, 5:05 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -222 (69%)Oct 17, 5:30 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -218 (69%)Oct 17, 5:55 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -223 (69%)Oct 17, 6:15 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -223 (69%)Oct 17, 6:35 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -224 (69%)Oct 17, 7:00 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 17, 7:25 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -224 (69%)Oct 17, 7:45 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -224 (69%)Oct 17, 8:10 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 17, 8:30 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -222 (69%)Oct 17, 8:50 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -221 (69%)Oct 17, 9:15 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -222 (69%)Oct 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 17, 10:00 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -219 (69%)Oct 17, 10:45 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 17, 11:40 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 18, 12:30 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 18, 12:21 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -218 (69%)Oct 19, 3:16 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -220 (69%)Oct 19, 4:10 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -221 (69%)Oct 19, 9:55 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -225 (69%)Oct 20, 12:01 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -221 (69%)Oct 20, 5:15 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -219 (69%)Oct 20, 12:22 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -226 (69%)Oct 20, 8:09 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -225 (69%)Oct 20, 8:40 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -231 (70%)Oct 20, 11:39 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -238 (70%)Oct 21, 1:20 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -237 (70%)Oct 21, 2:10 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -245 (71%)Oct 21, 4:35 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -252 (72%)Oct 21, 8:45 AM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -257 (72%)Oct 21, 12:09 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -262 (72%)Oct 21, 12:33 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -268 (73%)Oct 21, 1:45 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -273 (73%)Oct 21, 2:31 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -281 (74%)Oct 21, 5:02 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -294 (75%)Oct 21, 6:00 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -298 (75%)Oct 21, 6:06 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -303 (75%)Oct 21, 6:20 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -308 (75%)Oct 21, 6:20 PM UTC · Said Nurmagomedov -310 (76%)Sep 28, 11:18 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +190 (34%)Sep 28, 9:41 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +164 (38%)Sep 30, 5:36 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +159 (39%)Oct 2, 12:21 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +159 (39%)Oct 2, 6:25 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +161 (38%)Oct 2, 11:30 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +164 (38%)Oct 2, 11:50 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +162 (38%)Oct 4, 3:05 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +161 (38%)Oct 5, 12:50 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +158 (39%)Oct 6, 5:01 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +157 (39%)Oct 7, 6:51 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +160 (38%)Oct 9, 10:40 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +162 (38%)Oct 10, 11:25 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +163 (38%)Oct 12, 2:02 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +164 (38%)Oct 12, 12:56 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +168 (37%)Oct 12, 10:31 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +166 (38%)Oct 13, 8:11 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +168 (37%)Oct 13, 6:51 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +168 (37%)Oct 14, 7:36 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +168 (37%)Oct 14, 11:20 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +169 (37%)Oct 14, 3:30 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +169 (37%)Oct 14, 6:30 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +169 (37%)Oct 14, 8:55 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +169 (37%)Oct 14, 11:31 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +170 (37%)Oct 15, 12:31 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +170 (37%)Oct 15, 5:55 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +171 (37%)Oct 15, 6:20 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +171 (37%)Oct 15, 7:35 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +171 (37%)Oct 15, 10:05 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +171 (37%)Oct 15, 3:25 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +173 (37%)Oct 15, 4:50 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +173 (37%)Oct 15, 7:11 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +180 (36%)Oct 15, 10:01 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +182 (35%)Oct 16, 2:11 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +179 (36%)Oct 16, 11:56 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +181 (36%)Oct 16, 3:11 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +183 (35%)Oct 16, 9:06 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +178 (36%)Oct 17, 2:25 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +173 (37%)Oct 17, 5:05 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +173 (37%)Oct 17, 5:30 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +177 (36%)Oct 17, 5:55 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +173 (37%)Oct 17, 6:15 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +177 (36%)Oct 17, 6:35 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +174 (36%)Oct 17, 7:00 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +179 (36%)Oct 17, 7:25 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +174 (36%)Oct 17, 7:45 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +178 (36%)Oct 17, 8:10 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +179 (36%)Oct 17, 8:30 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +179 (36%)Oct 17, 8:50 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 17, 9:15 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +178 (36%)Oct 17, 10:00 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +175 (36%)Oct 17, 10:45 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 17, 11:40 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 18, 12:30 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 18, 12:21 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +174 (36%)Oct 19, 3:16 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +175 (36%)Oct 19, 4:10 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 19, 9:55 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +178 (36%)Oct 20, 12:01 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 20, 5:15 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +176 (36%)Oct 20, 12:22 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +179 (36%)Oct 20, 8:09 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +181 (36%)Oct 20, 8:40 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +183 (35%)Oct 20, 11:39 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +187 (35%)Oct 21, 1:20 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +184 (35%)Oct 21, 2:10 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +192 (34%)Oct 21, 4:35 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +195 (34%)Oct 21, 8:45 AM UTC · Muin Gafurov +198 (34%)Oct 21, 12:09 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +202 (33%)Oct 21, 12:33 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +207 (33%)Oct 21, 1:45 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +210 (32%)Oct 21, 2:31 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +215 (32%)Oct 21, 5:02 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +224 (31%)Oct 21, 6:00 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +227 (31%)Oct 21, 6:06 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +230 (30%)Oct 21, 6:20 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +232 (30%)Oct 21, 6:20 PM UTC · Muin Gafurov +233 (30%)-310+233
SportsbookSaid NurmagomedovMuin Gafurov
BetAnything-315+220
BetOnline-335+275
BetUS-325+235
Betway-333+220
Bovada-310+250
Cloudbet-299+261
DraftKings-330+240
FanDuel-335+270
MyBookie-333+256
Pinnacle-305+254
SXBet-317+245
unibet-360+270

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Said Nurmagomedov vs Muin Gafurov?

Said Nurmagomedov defeated Muin Gafurov by Submission in round 1 (1:13) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2, held Saturday, October 21, 2023 at Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West.

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Said Nurmagomedov 59%41% Muin Gafurov

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Bantamweight roster (170 fighters)

Said Nurmagomedov
Submission Ace
5 edges
Muin Gafurov
Complete Fighter
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

87Power90
94Speed91
78Precision81
75Durability80
84Engine94
78Wrestling82
80Ground54

Biggest edge Said Nurmagomedov, Submissions +45

Attribute by attribute

Said Nurmagomedov is on the left of every row, Muin Gafurov on the right.
79Punch power95
95Kick power84
91Punch speed95
97Kick speed87
78Accuracy81
78Takedowns82
63Ground striking57
96Submissions51
84Chin74
65Body strength86
84Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

18-5-0
Record
20-7-0
1815
Power Index rating
1748
0
Win Streak
0
34
Age
30
5'8"
173 cm
Height
5'7"
170 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Russia
Nationality
Tajikistan

Striking Profile

3.08
SLpM
3.36
48%
Str. Acc.
47%
2.05
SApM
2.51
55%
Str. Def.
55%

Grappling Profile

0.86
TD Avg.
1.57
15%
TD Acc.
28%
63%
TD Def.
70%
1.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Said Nurmagomedov · 2-3
  • L
    Bryce Mitchell
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs De Ridder · Jul 26, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Vinicius Oliveira
    UFC Saudi Arabia: Adesanya vs Imavov · Feb 1, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Muin Gafurov
    UFC 294: Makhachev vs Volkanovski 2 · Oct 21, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 1:13 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Jonathan Martinez
    UFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Saidyokub Kakhramonov
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Strickland · Dec 17, 2022
    Submission · R2 · 3:50 · Bantamweight
Muin Gafurov · 1-4
  • L
    John Lineker
    Dawn Of Valor
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
  • W
    Leandro Issa
    Kingdom of Heroes
    Knockout · R1 · 2:24
  • L
    Jakub Wiklacz
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Submission · R3 · 4:59 · Bantamweight
  • L
    Kevin Belingon
    State of Warriors
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
  • L
    Reece McLaren
    Global Rivals
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00

Career Averages

Based on 11 fights · 5 fights
29.2
Avg sig. strikes
45.0
0.55
Avg takedowns
0.60
1:04
Avg control time
2:36
65
Career high strikes
79
3
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Said Nurmagomedov
Strike target
Muin Gafurov
54%
Head
60%
25%
Body
28%
21%
Leg
12%
Said Nurmagomedov
Strike position
Muin Gafurov
76%
Distance
77%
14%
Clinch
16%
10%
Ground
8%