Ultimate Fighting Calendar
WelterweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Gunnar Nelson
Gunni
19-6-1
RESULT

Gunnar Nelson def. Bryan Barberena (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 4:51
Bryan Barberena
Bam Bam
18-12-0
Saturday, March 18, 2023
The O2, London, United Kingdom

Gunnar Nelson defeated Bryan Barberena by Submission in round 1 (4:51) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London.

Fight stats

Gunnar Nelson
Bryan Barberena
0
Knockdowns
0
10 of 11
Significant strikes
7 of 12
91%
Sig. strike accuracy
58%
20 of 21
Total strikes
18 of 23
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
3:13
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
8 of 9
Head
3 of 7
2 of 2
Body
0 of 0
0 of 0
Leg
4 of 5
1 of 2
Distance
6 of 11
2 of 2
Clinch
0 of 0
7 of 7
Ground
1 of 1

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
10 of 11
Sig. str.
7 of 12
20 of 21
Total str.
18 of 23
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
3:13
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Gunnar Nelson
-417
81% implied win probability
Open: -347Best: -365
Bryan Barberena
+297
25% implied win probability
Open: +259Best: +361

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookGunnar NelsonBryan Barberena
BetAnything-415+265
BetOnline-400+300
BetUS-370+270
Betway-400+300
Bovada-400+300
Cloudbet-383+287
DraftKings-365+300
FanDuel-375+300
MyBookie-416+292
Pinnacle-400+283
sportsbetio-1111+361
sports-interaction-430+295
unibet-420+310

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Gunnar Nelson vs Bryan Barberena?

Gunnar Nelson defeated Bryan Barberena by Submission in round 1 (4:51) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3, held Saturday, March 18, 2023 at The O2, London.

Referee
Rich Mitchell
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Gunnar Nelson 43%57% Bryan Barberena

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Gunnar Nelson
Submission Ace
5 edges
Bryan Barberena
Volume Striker
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

87Power82
61Speed82
74Precision92
81Durability94
61Engine94
96Wrestling49
98Ground70

Biggest edge Gunnar Nelson, Takedowns +47

Attribute by attribute

Gunnar Nelson is on the left of every row, Bryan Barberena on the right.
95Punch power94
79Kick power69
59Punch speed87
62Kick speed77
74Accuracy92
96Takedowns49
97Ground striking72
98Submissions67
93Chin94
68Body strength94
61Cardio94

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

19-6-1
Record
18-12-0
1688
Power Index rating
1734
0
Win Streak
0
38
Age
37
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Iceland
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

1.77
SLpM
5.35
61%
Str. Acc.
48%
3.06
SApM
4.59
48%
Str. Def.
44%

Grappling Profile

2.00
TD Avg.
0.13
52%
TD Acc.
22%
68%
TD Def.
50%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
0.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Gunnar Nelson · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 4:51 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Till vs Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
Bryan Barberena · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs Tybura · Mar 16, 2024
    Submission · R2 · 4:23 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 4:51 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs Holland · Dec 4, 2022
    Submission · R2 · 3:20 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 276: Adesanya vs Cannonier · Jul 2, 2022
    TKO · R2 · 4:47 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 16 fights · 19 fights
18.3
Avg sig. strikes
62.7
1.38
Avg takedowns
0.11
3:39
Avg control time
0:55
53
Career high strikes
169
3
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Gunnar Nelson
Strike target
Bryan Barberena
76%
Head
70%
16%
Body
13%
8%
Leg
17%
Gunnar Nelson
Strike position
Bryan Barberena
51%
Distance
75%
11%
Clinch
17%
39%
Ground
8%