Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Women's Flyweight3 rounds scheduled
Roxanne Modafferi
The Happy Warrior
25-21-0
RESULT

Casey O'Neill def. Roxanne Modafferi (Split Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
WIN
Casey O'Neill
King
11-2-0
Saturday, February 12, 2022
Toyota Center, Houston, United States

Casey O'Neill defeated Roxanne Modafferi by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker 2, held Saturday, February 12, 2022 at Toyota Center, Houston. The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Casey O'Neill won the decision.

Fight stats

Roxanne Modafferi
Casey O'Neill
0
Knockdowns
0
120 of 358
Significant strikes
229 of 393
34%
Sig. strike accuracy
58%
148 of 390
Total strikes
230 of 395
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 2
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:06
Control time
0:02
Significant strikes by target
98 of 330
Head
187 of 348
20 of 25
Body
22 of 25
2 of 3
Leg
20 of 20
112 of 347
Distance
225 of 387
8 of 11
Clinch
4 of 6
0 of 0
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
44 of 135
Sig. str.
72 of 130
44 of 135
Total str.
72 of 130
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
35 of 118
Sig. str.
86 of 142
40 of 123
Total str.
86 of 142
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
0:05
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
41 of 105
Sig. str.
71 of 121
64 of 132
Total str.
72 of 123
1 of 3
Takedowns
0 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:01
Ctrl
0:02

Judges' Scorecards

#ModafferiO'Neill
1109
2910
3109
Total2928
#ModafferiO'Neill
1910
2910
3109
Total2829
#ModafferiO'Neill
1910
2910
3109
Total2829

Media Scores

0
Modafferi
-
19
O'Neill
30-27 O'Neill×19
All 19 media scorecards

Fan Scorecards

93%
Modafferi
7%
Draw
0%
O'Neill
217 fan scorecards submitted
30-27 O'Neill78.8%29-28 O'Neill12.9%29-28 Modafferi4.6%30-27 Modafferi1.4%
Fans' round-by-round verdict
R1
93%
O'Neill
R2
96%
O'Neill
R3
81%
O'Neill

Scorecard data via mmadecisions.com

Betting Odds

Roxanne Modafferi
+572
15% implied win probability
Open: +271Best: +2300
Casey O'Neill
-512
84% implied win probability
Open: -362Best: -352

Average moneyline across 13 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRoxanne ModafferiCasey O'Neill
BetAnything+290-390
BetOnline+285-360
BetUS+280-380
Betway+1000-10000
Bovada+275-400
Cloudbet+293-352
DraftKings+1200-10000
FanDuel+2300-6000
MyBookie+315-390
Pinnacle+260-393
sportsbetio+284-500
sports-interaction+355-480
unibet+300-400

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Roxanne Modafferi vs Casey O'Neill?

Casey O'Neill defeated Roxanne Modafferi by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker 2, held Saturday, February 12, 2022 at Toyota Center, Houston. The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Casey O'Neill won the decision.

What were the judges' scorecards for Roxanne Modafferi vs Casey O'Neill?

The judges scored it 28-29, 29-28, 29-28, Casey O'Neill won the decision.

Was Roxanne Modafferi vs Casey O'Neill a robbery?

Many scored it for Roxanne Modafferi: 6% of 217 fan cards scored it for Roxanne Modafferi; 100% of 19 media scores picked Casey O'Neill. The judges gave it to Casey O'Neill.

Full robbery index
Referee
Jacob Montalvo
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Roxanne Modafferi 33%67% Casey O'Neill

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Women's Flyweight roster (53 fighters)

Roxanne Modafferi
Grappling Specialist
2 edges
Casey O'Neill
Pressure Wrestler
9 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

51Power70
52Speed77
49Precision83
82Durability85
97Engine96
91Wrestling93
70Ground92

Biggest edge Casey O'Neill, Accuracy +34

Attribute by attribute

Roxanne Modafferi is on the left of every row, Casey O'Neill on the right.
52Punch power80
49Kick power59
55Punch speed85
49Kick speed69
49Accuracy83
91Takedowns93
64Ground striking94
75Submissions89
98Chin94
66Body strength75
97Cardio96

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

25-21-0
Record
11-2-0
1648
Power Index rating
1770
0
Win Streak
2
43
Age
28
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
69"
175 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Weight Class
Women's Flyweight
United States
Nationality
Australia

Striking Profile

3.35
SLpM
7.89
30%
Str. Acc.
52%
5.70
SApM
5.53
51%
Str. Def.
57%

Grappling Profile

1.35
TD Avg.
1.40
23%
TD Acc.
34%
30%
TD Def.
70%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.70

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Roxanne Modafferi · 0-5
  • L
    UFC Fight Pass Invitational 2 · Jul 3, 2022
    Decision
  • L
    UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 266: Volkanovski vs Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    Fusion Fight League · Jul 31, 2021
    Submission · R1 · 6:27
  • L
    Submission Underground 21 · Mar 28, 2021
    Submission · R2 · 0:59
Casey O'Neill · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs Pyfer · Mar 28, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 3:11 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    UFC 305: Du Plessis vs Adesanya · Aug 17, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 296: Edwards vs Covington · Dec 16, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 1:18 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker 2 · Feb 12, 2022
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 12 fights · 8 fights
51.8
Avg sig. strikes
84.6
1.33
Avg takedowns
1.00
4:08
Avg control time
2:41
132
Career high strikes
229
5
Career high TDs
4

Strike Distribution

Roxanne Modafferi
Strike target
Casey O'Neill
84%
Head
77%
10%
Body
14%
6%
Leg
9%
Roxanne Modafferi
Strike position
Casey O'Neill
86%
Distance
81%
6%
Clinch
5%
9%
Ground
14%