Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
Randy Costa
The Zohan
6-4-0
RESULT

Tony Kelley def. Randy Costa (TKO)

TKO · Round 2 · 4:15
WIN
Tony Kelley
Primetime
8-3-0
Saturday, December 11, 2021
T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Tony Kelley defeated Randy Costa by TKO in round 2 (4:15) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier, held Saturday, December 11, 2021 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Randy Costa
Tony Kelley
0
Knockdowns
0
31 of 65
Significant strikes
82 of 169
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
49%
32 of 66
Total strikes
129 of 218
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
2:29
Control time
3:26
Significant strikes by target
20 of 54
Head
26 of 93
11 of 11
Body
43 of 62
0 of 0
Leg
13 of 14
19 of 53
Distance
27 of 93
12 of 12
Clinch
32 of 42
0 of 0
Ground
23 of 34

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
16 of 37
Sig. str.
35 of 90
17 of 38
Total str.
50 of 105
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:28
Ctrl
1:43
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
15 of 28
Sig. str.
47 of 79
15 of 28
Total str.
79 of 113
0 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:01
Ctrl
1:43

Betting Odds

Randy Costa
-201
67% implied win probability
Open: -193Best: -188
Tony Kelley
+161
38% implied win probability
Open: +160Best: +176

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

SportsbookRandy CostaTony Kelley
BetAnything-200+165
BetOnline-206+176
BetUS-210+165
Betway-222+155
Bovada-190+155
Cloudbet-195+173
DraftKings-200+170
FanDuel-188+158
MyBookie-190+155
Pinnacle-194+165
sportsbetio-227+150
unibet-200+150

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Randy Costa vs Tony Kelley?

Tony Kelley defeated Randy Costa by TKO in round 2 (4:15) in the Bantamweight bout of UFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier, held Saturday, December 11, 2021 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Randy Costa 59%41% Tony Kelley

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Bantamweight roster (170 fighters)

Randy Costa
Knockout Artist
4 edges
Tony Kelley
Complete Fighter
6 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

80Power81
74Speed80
79Precision62
76Durability80
95Engine95
49Wrestling59
50Ground93

Biggest edge Tony Kelley, Submissions +49

Attribute by attribute

Randy Costa is on the left of every row, Tony Kelley on the right.
97Punch power69
62Kick power93
98Punch speed68
50Kick speed91
79Accuracy62
49Takedowns59
56Ground striking94
43Submissions92
75Chin88
76Body strength71
95Cardio95

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

6-4-0
Record
8-3-0
1644
Power Index rating
1582
0
Win Streak
0
32
Age
39
5'9"
175 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
73"
185 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
Switch
Stance
Switch
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
United States
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

6.53
SLpM
5.55
46%
Str. Acc.
47%
7.58
SApM
4.85
58%
Str. Def.
45%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
0%
TD Acc.
0%
50%
TD Def.
52%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
1.40

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Randy Costa · 4-0
  • W
    Cage Titans · Sep 12, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
  • W
    BKFC Fight Night · Jun 14, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:59
  • NC
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · Nov 15, 2024
    No Contest · R1 · 2:47
  • W
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · Nov 10, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 1:41 · Featherweight
  • W
    Combat FC 4 · Jun 16, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 0:58 · Featherweight
Tony Kelley · 3-2
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 3:49 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC 269: Oliveira vs Poirier · Dec 11, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 4:15 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC 252: Miocic vs Cormier · Aug 16, 2020
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Rite of Passage 7 · May 17, 2019
    Submission · R1 · 2:33 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 6 fights · 4 fights
29.0
Avg sig. strikes
59.8
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.00
0:33
Avg control time
1:21
69
Career high strikes
114
0
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Randy Costa
Strike target
Tony Kelley
82%
Head
47%
16%
Body
37%
2%
Leg
16%
Randy Costa
Strike position
Tony Kelley
89%
Distance
60%
8%
Clinch
30%
3%
Ground
10%