Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
Alex Oliveira
BrazilAlex Oliveira
“Cowboy”
22-12-1 (2 NC)
RESULT

Gunnar Nelson def. Alex Oliveira (Submission)

Submission · Round 2 · 4:17
WIN
Gunnar Nelson
IcelandGunnar Nelson
“Gunni”
19-6-1
Sunday, December 9, 2018
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Canada

Gunnar Nelson defeated Alex Oliveira by Submission in round 2 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega, held Sunday, December 9, 2018 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto.

Fight stats

Alex Oliveira
Gunnar Nelson
0
Knockdowns
0
36 of 49
Significant strikes
11 of 11
73%
Sig. strike accuracy
100%
52 of 69
Total strikes
20 of 20
0 of 2
Takedowns
2 of 5
0%
Takedown accuracy
40%
0
Submission attempts
1
1
Reversals
0
3:06
Control time
4:43
Significant strikes by target
27 of 40
Head
10 of 10
6 of 6
Body
1 of 1
3 of 3
Leg
0 of 0
3 of 4
Distance
1 of 1
9 of 9
Clinch
1 of 1
24 of 36
Ground
9 of 9

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
30 of 40
Sig. str.
2 of 2
39 of 53
Total str.
3 of 3
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 4
0
Sub. att
0
1:44
Ctrl
2:14
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
6 of 9
Sig. str.
9 of 9
13 of 16
Total str.
17 of 17
0 of 2
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
1
1:22
Ctrl
2:29

Betting Odds

Alex Oliveira
+120
45% implied win probability
Open: +114Best: +131
Gunnar Nelson
-148
60% implied win probability
Open: -145Best: -139

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Alex OliveiraGunnar Nelson
40%50%60%Dec 3Dec 5Dec 7Dec 9Dec 3, 4:36 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +125 (44%)Dec 4, 8:27 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +115 (47%)Dec 4, 8:27 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +112 (47%)Dec 4, 11:42 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +110 (48%)Dec 5, 2:27 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +113 (47%)Dec 5, 8:36 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +110 (48%)Dec 5, 11:42 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +109 (48%)Dec 6, 7:39 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +109 (48%)Dec 7, 12:21 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +112 (47%)Dec 7, 7:09 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +113 (47%)Dec 7, 12:33 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +115 (47%)Dec 8, 3:09 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 8, 7:42 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 8, 7:45 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 8, 7:51 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 8, 9:36 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +120 (45%)Dec 8, 9:39 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 8, 9:45 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +120 (45%)Dec 8, 10:03 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +123 (45%)Dec 8, 11:00 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +120 (45%)Dec 8, 11:24 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 9, 4:24 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 5:24 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 6:00 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 6:03 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 6:06 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 6:39 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +120 (45%)Dec 9, 6:45 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 9:27 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 9, 9:30 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +118 (46%)Dec 9, 9:36 AM UTC · Alex Oliveira +119 (46%)Dec 9, 12:15 PM UTC · Alex Oliveira +120 (45%)Dec 3, 4:36 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -155 (61%)Dec 4, 8:27 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -145 (59%)Dec 4, 8:27 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 4, 11:42 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -144 (59%)Dec 5, 2:27 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 5, 8:36 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -142 (59%)Dec 5, 11:42 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -140 (58%)Dec 6, 7:39 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -138 (58%)Dec 7, 12:21 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -142 (59%)Dec 7, 7:09 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -143 (59%)Dec 7, 12:33 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -145 (59%)Dec 8, 3:09 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 8, 7:42 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 8, 7:45 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 8, 7:51 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 8, 9:36 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -149 (60%)Dec 8, 9:39 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 8, 9:45 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -149 (60%)Dec 8, 10:03 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -152 (60%)Dec 8, 11:00 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -149 (60%)Dec 8, 11:24 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -148 (60%)Dec 9, 4:24 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 9, 5:24 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -145 (59%)Dec 9, 6:00 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 9, 6:03 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -145 (59%)Dec 9, 6:06 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -146 (59%)Dec 9, 6:39 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 9, 6:45 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 9, 9:27 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 9, 9:30 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 9, 9:36 AM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -147 (60%)Dec 9, 12:15 PM UTC · Gunnar Nelson -148 (60%)+120-148
SportsbookAlex OliveiraGunnar Nelson
Bookmaker+131-156
Bovada+120-150
sports-interaction+115-150
unibet+110-139

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Alex Oliveira vs Gunnar Nelson?

Gunnar Nelson defeated Alex Oliveira by Submission in round 2 (4:17) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 231: Holloway vs Ortega, held Sunday, December 9, 2018 at Scotiabank Arena, Toronto.

Referee
Jerin Valel
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Alex Oliveira 54%46% Gunnar Nelson

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Welterweight roster (258 fighters)

Alex Oliveira
Complete Fighter
6 edges
Gunnar Nelson
Submission Ace
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

94Power87
89Speed61
86Precision74
82Durability81
68Engine61
95Wrestling96
95Ground98

Biggest edge Alex Oliveira, Kick speed +29

Attribute by attribute

Alex Oliveira is on the left of every row, Gunnar Nelson on the right.
95Punch power95
92Kick power79
87Punch speed59
91Kick speed62
86Accuracy74
95Takedowns96
97Ground striking97
93Submissions98
77Chin93
87Body strength68
68Cardio61

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

22-12-1 (2 NC)
Record
19-6-1
1837
Power Index rating
1812
0
Win Streak
0
38
Age
38
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Brazil
Nationality
Iceland

Striking Profile

2.99
SLpM
1.77
51%
Str. Acc.
61%
2.55
SApM
3.06
46%
Str. Def.
48%

Grappling Profile

2.35
TD Avg.
2.00
38%
TD Acc.
52%
63%
TD Def.
68%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
1.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Alex Oliveira · 1-4
  • L
    Omar Tugarev
    Beazt Fight Night · Jun 13, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 2:35 · Lightweight
  • L
    Davit Lortqipanidze
    Rkena FC 2 - Rkena Fighting Championship · Mar 14, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 0:41 · Lightweight
  • L
    Miloš Janičić
    FNC 26: Janičić vs. Oliveira · Dec 20, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:50 · Lightweight
  • W
    Mauricio Ariel Pare
    Futhar MMA 5 · Sep 6, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:10 · Welterweight
  • L
    Ilyas Khamzin
    Karate Combat 56 · Jul 19, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:47
Gunnar Nelson · 2-3
  • L
    Kevin Holland
    UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Brady · Mar 22, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Bryan Barberena
    UFC 286: Edwards vs Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 4:51 · Welterweight
  • W
    Takashi Sato
    UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    Gilbert Burns
    UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Cannonier · Sep 28, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    Leon Edwards
    UFC Fight Night: Till vs Masvidal · Mar 16, 2019
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight

Career Averages

Based on 21 fights · 16 fights
29.7
Avg sig. strikes
18.3
1.52
Avg takedowns
1.38
3:15
Avg control time
3:39
93
Career high strikes
53
6
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Alex Oliveira
Strike target
Gunnar Nelson
57%
Head
76%
25%
Body
16%
18%
Leg
8%
Alex Oliveira
Strike position
Gunnar Nelson
59%
Distance
51%
23%
Clinch
11%
18%
Ground
39%