Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Light Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Modestas Bukauskas
The Baltic Gladiator
20-7-0
RESULT

Modestas Bukauskas def. Rafael Cerqueira (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 2:12
Rafael Cerqueira
The Lion
11-4-0
Saturday, February 22, 2025
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, United States

Modestas Bukauskas defeated Rafael Cerqueira by TKO in round 1 (2:12) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC Seattle: Cejudo vs Song, held Saturday, February 22, 2025 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle.

Fight stats

Modestas Bukauskas
Rafael Cerqueira
1
Knockdowns
0
16 of 41
Significant strikes
9 of 22
39%
Sig. strike accuracy
41%
16 of 41
Total strikes
9 of 22
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:02
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
11 of 36
Head
4 of 16
3 of 3
Body
0 of 1
2 of 2
Leg
5 of 5
16 of 40
Distance
9 of 22
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 1
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
16 of 41
Sig. str.
9 of 22
16 of 41
Total str.
9 of 22
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:02
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Modestas Bukauskas
-294
75% implied win probability
Open: -308Best: -250
Rafael Cerqueira
+239
29% implied win probability
Open: +242Best: +274

Average moneyline across 17 sportsbooks.

SportsbookModestas BukauskasRafael Cerqueira
4casters-280+266
Bet105-333+274
BetAnything-320+260
BetOnline-320+270
BetRivers-286+220
BetUS-320+245
Betway-275+210
Bookmaker-298+232
Bovada-330+265
Caesars-265+215
Circa-310+260
Cloudbet-318+273
DraftKings-270+200
FanDuel-290+235
MyBookie-250+170
Pinnacle-260+221
SXBet-317+251

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Modestas Bukauskas vs Rafael Cerqueira?

Modestas Bukauskas defeated Rafael Cerqueira by TKO in round 1 (2:12) in the Light Heavyweight bout of UFC Seattle: Cejudo vs Song, held Saturday, February 22, 2025 at Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle.

Referee
Jeff Hoiby
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Modestas Bukauskas 48%52% Rafael Cerqueira

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Light Heavyweight roster (129 fighters)

Modestas Bukauskas
Complete Fighter
6 edges
Rafael Cerqueira
Complete Fighter
5 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

75Power62
79Speed62
84Precision60
82Durability90
68Engine80
68Wrestling51
66Ground66

Biggest edge Modestas Bukauskas, Punch speed +34

Attribute by attribute

Modestas Bukauskas is on the left of every row, Rafael Cerqueira on the right.
67Punch power57
83Kick power66
91Punch speed57
66Kick speed67
84Accuracy60
68Takedowns51
52Ground striking61
80Submissions71
75Chin84
89Body strength96
68Cardio80

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

20-7-0
Record
11-4-0
1699
Power Index rating
1710
1
Win Streak
0
32
Age
36
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Lithuania
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

3.14
SLpM
1.56
43%
Str. Acc.
43%
3.86
SApM
5.05
50%
Str. Def.
36%

Grappling Profile

0.23
TD Avg.
0.00
66%
TD Acc.
0%
82%
TD Def.
36%
0.10
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Modestas Bukauskas · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Costa · May 16, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight
  • L
    UFC 324: Gaethje vs Pimblett · Jan 24, 2026
    TKO · R3 · 4:57 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs Borralho · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 315: Muhammad vs Della Maddalena · May 10, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC Seattle: Cejudo vs Song · Feb 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:12 · Light Heavyweight
Rafael Cerqueira · 0-5
  • L
    LMC 1 · Jun 6, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Qatar: Tsarukyan vs Hooker · Nov 22, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 0:33 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs Hernandez · Aug 9, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Seattle: Cejudo vs Song · Feb 22, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:12 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC 308: Topuria vs Holloway · Oct 26, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 0:51 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 13 fights · 4 fights
31.6
Avg sig. strikes
7.3
0.15
Avg takedowns
0.00
1:06
Avg control time
0:07
58
Career high strikes
19
2
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Modestas Bukauskas
Strike target
Rafael Cerqueira
72%
Head
66%
17%
Body
0%
11%
Leg
34%
Modestas Bukauskas
Strike position
Rafael Cerqueira
86%
Distance
100%
9%
Clinch
0%
5%
Ground
0%