Ultimate Fighting Calendar
FeatherweightPerformance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
Yair Rodriguez
El Pantera
21-6-0 (1 NC)
RESULT

Brian Ortega def. Yair Rodriguez (Submission)

Submission · Round 3 · 0:58
WIN
Brian Ortega
T-City
16-5-0 (1 NC)
Sunday, February 25, 2024
Arena CDMX, México D.F., Mexico

Brian Ortega defeated Yair Rodriguez by Submission in round 3 (0:58) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Mexico City, held Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Arena CDMX, México D.F..

Fight stats

Yair Rodriguez
Brian Ortega
1
Knockdowns
0
55 of 115
Significant strikes
28 of 73
48%
Sig. strike accuracy
38%
64 of 135
Total strikes
47 of 104
0 of 1
Takedowns
3 of 6
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
1:32
Control time
5:21
Significant strikes by target
36 of 91
Head
26 of 69
11 of 15
Body
2 of 4
8 of 9
Leg
0 of 0
34 of 86
Distance
13 of 50
9 of 12
Clinch
2 of 3
12 of 17
Ground
13 of 20

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
45 of 91
Sig. str.
6 of 28
50 of 102
Total str.
7 of 30
0 of 1
Takedowns
1 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
1:32
Ctrl
0:42
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
9 of 17
Sig. str.
22 of 44
13 of 26
Total str.
39 of 70
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 3
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
3:55
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
1 of 7
Sig. str.
0 of 1
1 of 7
Total str.
1 of 4
0 of 0
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
1
0:00
Ctrl
0:44

Betting Odds

Yair Rodriguez
-111
53% implied win probability
Open: -136Best: +158
Brian Ortega
+105
49% implied win probability
Open: +121Best: +150

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

SportsbookYair RodriguezBrian Ortega
BetAnything-165+130
BetOnline-170+145
BetUS-165+135
Betway-100-143
Bovada-170+150
Cloudbet+158-222
DraftKings+150-195
FanDuel+128-164
MyBookie+130-180
Pinnacle-159+140
SXBet-182+145
unibet-159+128

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Yair Rodriguez vs Brian Ortega?

Brian Ortega defeated Yair Rodriguez by Submission in round 3 (0:58) in the Featherweight bout of UFC Mexico City, held Sunday, February 25, 2024 at Arena CDMX, México D.F..

Referee
Marc Goddard
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Yair Rodriguez 58%42% Brian Ortega

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (14 fighters)

Yair Rodriguez
Knockout Artist
10 edges
Brian Ortega
Submission Ace
1 edge
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

96Power91
98Speed91
93Precision89
94Durability91
95Engine92
90Wrestling85
92Ground96

Biggest edge Yair Rodriguez, Kick power +10

Attribute by attribute

Yair Rodriguez is on the left of every row, Brian Ortega on the right.
94Punch power93
98Kick power88
95Punch speed92
100Kick speed90
93Accuracy89
90Takedowns85
93Ground striking92
90Submissions100
95Chin92
92Body strength90
95Cardio92

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

21-6-0 (1 NC)
Record
16-5-0 (1 NC)
1723
Power Index rating
1670
1
Win Streak
0
33
Age
35
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'8"
173 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Mexico
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

4.65
SLpM
3.84
46%
Str. Acc.
37%
3.78
SApM
6.38
52%
Str. Def.
49%

Grappling Profile

0.71
TD Avg.
0.93
29%
TD Acc.
25%
59%
TD Def.
54%
0.60
Sub. Avg.
0.90

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Yair Rodriguez · 3-2
  • W
    UFC 314: Volkanovski vs Lopes · Apr 12, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC Mexico City · Feb 25, 2024
    Submission · R3 · 0:58 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 290: Volkanovski vs Rodriguez · Jul 8, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 4:19 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC 284: Makhachev vs Volkanovski · Feb 11, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 4:19 · Interim Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:11 · Featherweight
Brian Ortega · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Catchweight
  • L
    UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC O'Malley vs Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    UFC Mexico City · Feb 25, 2024
    Submission · R3 · 0:58 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs Rodriguez · Jul 16, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 4:11 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC 266: Volkanovski vs Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
    Unanimous Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 15 fights · 13 fights
65.5
Avg sig. strikes
56.8
0.67
Avg takedowns
0.85
1:12
Avg control time
1:11
159
Career high strikes
127
2
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Yair Rodriguez
Strike target
Brian Ortega
55%
Head
71%
20%
Body
18%
25%
Leg
11%
Yair Rodriguez
Strike position
Brian Ortega
78%
Distance
89%
7%
Clinch
6%
15%
Ground
5%