Magny vs Larkin Result & Stats: Larkin wins by TKO R1 · UFC 202, Sat, Aug 20, 2016

UFCUFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2

Neil Magny

“The Haitian Sensation” · 32-15-0 · #7

RESULT

TKO

ROUND 1 · 4:08

Welterweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Lorenz LarkinWIN

“The Monsoon” · 18-6-0 (1 NC)

Saturday, August 20, 2016T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, United States

Lorenz Larkin defeated Neil Magny by TKO in round 1 (4:08) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2, held Saturday, August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

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The result

Lorenz LarkinWIN

def. Neil Magny

TKO

Round 1 · 4:08

Referee: Dan Miragliotta
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Neil MagnyLorenz Larkin

64%Power Index✗ Missed36%

55%Market · 6 sportsbooks✗ Missed45%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

Neil Magny

-138

58% implied win probability · Open: -128

Lorenz Larkin

+114

47% implied win probability · Open: +104

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Lorenz Larkin dropped Neil Magny once.
Lorenz Larkin out-landed Neil Magny 32 to 8 in significant strikes.
Lorenz Larkin landed 67% of significant strikes to Neil Magny's 35%.

Tale of the tape

Age

6'3" · 191 cm

Height

5'11" · 180 cm

80" · 203 cm

Reach

72" · 183 cm

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Win Streak

1834

Power Index

1731

4-1

Last 5

3-2

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Neil MagnyLorenz Larkin

Knockdowns

8 / 23

Significant strikes

32 / 48

35%

Sig. strike accuracy

67%

13 / 29

Total strikes

34 / 50

0 / 5

Takedowns

0 / 0

0:03

Control time

0:58

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Neil MagnyLorenz Larkin

563%

Head

1341%

113%

Body

619%

225%

Leg

1341%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Neil Magny

75%25%

Lorenz Larkin

69%31%

DistanceClinchGround

Range × target

Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell

Neil Magny8 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

44/19

22/2

Clinch

11/1

Ground

Lorenz Larkin32 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

55/17

44/5

1313/16

Clinch

88/8

22/2

Ground

Betting Odds

Neil Magny

-138

58% implied win probability

Open: -128

Lorenz Larkin

+114

47% implied win probability

Open: +104

Average moneyline across 6 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Neil Magny	Lorenz Larkin
BetOnline	-130	+110
Bookmaker	-150	+125
Bovada	-135	+105
Pinnacle	-129	+115
sports-interaction	-150	+120
unibet	-137	+110

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Style & credentials

Neil Magny

BJJ

2025Black belt · BJJ
2012Semifinalist · The Ultimate Fighter
—Champion · All Army Combatives
—Champion · All Guard Combatives

Camp · Elevation Fight Team · Denver, Colorado, US

Lorenz Larkin

No background on record

Camp · Millennia MMA

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

71%

Head

52%

18%

Body

15%

10%

Leg

33%

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Neil Magnylast 11 fights

50%27%23%

Lorenz Larkinlast 1 fight

54%23%23%

DistanceClinchGround

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Neil Magny Lorenz Larkin· incl. 1 fight outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

3.393.75

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Average · better than 50% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Good · better than 61% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.412.89

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Good · better than 82% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Good · better than 68% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

2.130.13

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Good · better than 74% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Poor · better than 9% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

40%25%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Below avg · better than 20% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

56%78%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Below avg · better than 34% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Good · better than 80% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.300.10

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Neil Magny · Average · better than 40% of UFC fightersLorenz Larkin · Below avg · better than 26% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1490 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

3.39

Strikes landed / min

3.75

2.41

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.89

2.13 / 5.3

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.13 / 0.5

40%

Takedown accuracy

25%

56%

Takedown defence

78%

2:31

Control time / fight

0:40

0.30

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.10

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Neil Magny38 UFC fights · 1498 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

43%640/1982

8%113/181

8%115/160

Clinch

7%105/171

9%128/143

2%33/34

Ground

22%328/427

2%29/30

0%7/8

Lorenz Larkin10 UFC fights · 391 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

29%115/487

11%44/78

34%134/170

Clinch

14%54/91

4%17/20

1%4/4

Ground

6%22/25

0%0/0

0%1/1

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Neil Magny12 of 22 ended early · 55%10 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

4 early stoppages have no logged time

Lorenz Larkin11 of 22 ended early · 50%11 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

4 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Neil Magny4-1

W
Hector Lombard
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir· Mar 20, 2016
TKO · R3 · 0:46 · Welterweight
W
Kelvin Gastelum
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum· Nov 21, 2015
Split Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Erick Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira· Aug 23, 2015
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
Demian Maia
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia· Aug 1, 2015
Submission · R2 · 2:52 · Welterweight
W
Hyun Gyu Lim
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber· May 17, 2015
TKO · R2 · 1:24 · Welterweight

Full record · 22 fights

W
Kiichi Kunimoto
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch· Feb 14, 2015
Submission · R3 · 1:22 · Welterweight
W
William Macario
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2· Oct 25, 2014
TKO · R3 · 2:40 · Welterweight
W
Alex Garcia
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos· Aug 23, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Rodrigo de Lima
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt· Jun 28, 2014
TKO · R2 · 2:32 · Welterweight
W
Tim Means
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva· May 10, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Gasan Umalatov
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2· Feb 1, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
Seth Baczynski
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy vs Natal· Nov 6, 2013
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
Sergio Moraes
UFC 163: Aldo vs Korean Zombie· Aug 3, 2013
Submission · R1 · 3:13 · Welterweight
W
Jon Manley
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche· Feb 23, 2013
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Dan Sandman
HFC 10: Davis vs. Uflacker· Feb 11, 2012
Unanimous Decision · Middleweight
L
Andrew Trace
Combat USA· Jul 21, 2011
Submission
W
Quartus Stitt
Combat USA· May 14, 2011
Submission
W
Kevin Nowaczyk
HFC 7: Validation· Apr 9, 2011
Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
W
Darion Terry
Rumble Time Promotions· Nov 19, 2010
TKO
W
Lawrence Dunning
Cut Throat MMA· Nov 6, 2010
TKO · R2 · 3:09
W
Nate Pratt
C3 Fights· Oct 22, 2010
DEC
W
Nolan Norwood
C3 Fights· Aug 7, 2010
Submission

Lorenz Larkin3-2

W
Jorge Masvidal
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt· May 29, 2016
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
L
Albert Tumenov
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit· Jan 2, 2016
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
W
Santiago Ponzinibbio
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero· Jun 27, 2015
TKO · R2 · 3:07 · Welterweight
W
John Howard
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver· Jan 18, 2015
TKO · R1 · 2:17 · Welterweight
L
Derek Brunson
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto· Aug 30, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Full record · 23 fights

L
Constantinos Philippou
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva· May 10, 2014
TKO · R1 · 3:47 · Middleweight
L
Brad Tavares
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou· Jan 15, 2014
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
W
Chris Camozzi
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy vs Natal· Nov 6, 2013
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
L
Francis Carmont
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melendez· Apr 20, 2013
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
W
Robbie Lawler
Strikeforce: Rockhold vs Kennedy· Jul 13, 2012
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
NC
Muhammed Lawal
Strikeforce: Rockhold vs Jardine· Jan 6, 2012
NC · R2 · 1:32 · Light Heavyweight
W
Nick Rossborough
Strikeforce: Challengers 19· Sep 22, 2011
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
W
Gian Villante
Strikeforce: Challengers 16· Jun 23, 2011
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
W
Scott Lighty
Strikeforce: Challengers 15· Mar 31, 2011
TKO · R2 · 3:15 · Light Heavyweight
W
Mike Cook
Pandemonium· Feb 25, 2011
TKO
W
Hector Carrillo
Pandemonium· Nov 19, 2010
TKO
W
Rick Slaton
Pandemonium· Sep 11, 2010
TKO
W
João Assis
Respect in the Cage· Jul 24, 2010
TKO · R1 · 1:43 · Light Heavyweight
W
Scott Carson
Pandemonium· Jun 12, 2010
TKO
W
Enrique Guillen
Clash of the Gladiators 2· May 8, 2010
TKO · R1 · 2:30 · Light Heavyweight
W
Mychal Clark
Respect in the Cage· Apr 17, 2010
DEC
W
Giovanni Sarran
California Regional· Feb 27, 2010
DEC
W
Lateef Williams
Fist Series· Aug 15, 2009
TKO · R1 · 0:40

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Neil Magny vs Lorenz Larkin?

Lorenz Larkin defeated Neil Magny by TKO in round 1 (4:08) in the Welterweight bout of UFC 202: Diaz vs McGregor 2, held Saturday, August 20, 2016 at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas.

Get this bout's result and round-by-round stats as JSON with the MMA Fight Data API →