Herrig vs Ellis Result & Stats: Herrig wins by SUB R2

UFCThe Ultimate Fighter Finale: A Champion Will Be Crowned

Felice HerrigWIN

“Lil Bulldog” · 14-10-0

RESULT

Submission

ROUND 2 · 3:05

Women's Strawweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Lisa Ellis

13-11-0

Friday, December 12, 2014Pearl Theatre, Las Vegas, United States

Felice Herrig defeated Lisa Ellis by Submission in round 2 (3:05) in the Women's Strawweight bout of The Ultimate Fighter Finale: A Champion Will Be Crowned, held Friday, December 12, 2014 at Pearl Theatre, Las Vegas.

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The result

Felice HerrigWIN

def. Lisa Ellis

Submission

Round 2 · 3:05

Referee: John McCarthy
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Felice HerrigLisa Ellis

50%Power Index50%

75%Market · 4 sportsbooks✓ Called it25%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Felice Herrig

-382

79% implied win probability · Open: -314

Lisa Ellis

+276

27% implied win probability · Open: +274

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Felice Herrig out-landed Lisa Ellis 8 to 4 in significant strikes.

Tale of the tape

9-5-0

Record

13-8-0

Age

5'4" · 163 cm

Height

5'4" · 163 cm

Win Streak

1593

Power Index

1590

4-1

Last 5

2-3

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Felice HerrigLisa Ellis

Knockdowns

8 / 14

Significant strikes

4 / 5

57%

Sig. strike accuracy

80%

48 / 64

Total strikes

7 / 10

1 / 1

Takedowns

2 / 3

100%

Takedown accuracy

67%

Submission attempts

Reversals

4:56

Control time

2:45

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Felice HerrigLisa Ellis

8100%

Head

375%

00%

Body

125%

00%

Leg

00%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Felice Herrig

13%88%

Lisa Ellis

25%25%50%

DistanceClinchGround

Betting Odds

Felice Herrig

-382

79% implied win probability

Open: -314

Lisa Ellis

+276

27% implied win probability

Open: +274

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Felice Herrig	Lisa Ellis
Bookmaker	-370	+305
Bovada	-400	+195
Pinnacle	-362	+315
sports-interaction	-400	+290

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

Lisa Ellis lands 3.68 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 93% of UFC fighters.
Felice Herrig absorbs 5.19 significant strikes a minute, more than 90% of UFC fighters.

Style & credentials

Felice Herrig

No background on record

Camp · Valle Flow Striking

Lisa Ellis

No background on record

Camp · United Training Center

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

61%

Head

82%

29%

Body

18%

10%

Leg

Time in position

Where their significant strikes are thrown

Felice Herriglast 10 fights

72%20%

Lisa Ellislast 2 fights

27%36%36%

DistanceClinchGround

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Felice Herrig Lisa Ellis

Strikes landed / min

3.840.90

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Good · better than 64% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Poor · better than 1% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

5.192.37

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Poor · better than 10% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Good · better than 83% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.083.68

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Average · better than 47% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Elite · better than 93% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

29%50%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Below avg · better than 27% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Good · better than 74% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

75%0%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Good · better than 74% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.801.20

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Felice Herrig · Good · better than 73% of UFC fightersLisa Ellis · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1500 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

3.84

Strikes landed / min

0.90

5.19

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.37

1.08 / 3.7

Takedowns landed / 15 min

3.68 / 7.4

29%

Takedown accuracy

50%

75%

Takedown defence

2:48

Control time / fight

2:02

0.80

Submission attempts / 15 min

1.20

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Felice Herrig9 UFC fights · 357 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

45%159/587

15%55/85

10%37/56

Clinch

8%30/50

13%47/54

1%3/4

Ground

7%26/35

0%0/0

Lisa Ellis1 UFC fight · 7 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

29%2/9

0%0/0

Clinch

29%2/3

14%1/3

0%0/0

Ground

29%2/2

0%0/0

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Felice Herrig3 of 14 ended early · 21%11 went the distance

3 early stoppages have no logged time

Lisa Ellis16 of 23 ended early · 70%7 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

9 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Felice Herrig4-1

L
Tecia Pennington
Invicta FC 7· Dec 7, 2013
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight
W
Heather Clark
Bellator MMA: Bellator 94· Mar 28, 2013
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
W
Patricia Vidonic
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 84· Dec 14, 2012
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
W
Simona Soukupova
XFC 19: Charlotte Showdown· Aug 3, 2012
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight
W
Patricia Vidonic
XFC 17: Apocalypse· Apr 13, 2012
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight

Full record · 14 fights

L
Carla Esparza
XFC 15: Tribute· Dec 2, 2011
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight
W
Nicdali Rivera-Calanoc
XFO 39: Curran vs. Pearson· May 13, 2011
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight
W
Andrea Miller
Chicago Cagefighting Championship· Mar 4, 2011
TKO
L
Barb Honchak
HFC 6: New Years Nemesis· Jan 14, 2011
Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
W
Amanda LaVoy
Xtreme Fighting Organization· Dec 4, 2010
Submission
W
Jessica Rakoczy
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 14· Apr 15, 2010
Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
W
Michelle Gutierrez
Florida Regional· Nov 20, 2009
Submission
L
Valerie Coolbaugh
Xtreme Fighting Organization· Apr 17, 2009
DEC
L
Iman Castaneda
Ultimate Warrior Challenge 5· Feb 21, 2009
Split Decision · Catchweight

Lisa Ellis2-3

W
Amy Davis
UCS: Caged Combat 6· Jul 14, 2012
Submission · R1 · 2:14 · Flyweight
L
Jessica Penne
Invicta FC 1· Apr 28, 2012
TKO · R3 · 2:48 · Atomweight
L
Jessica Aguilar
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 58· Nov 19, 2011
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00
L
Megumi Fujii
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 31· Sep 30, 2010
Submission · R1 · 1:39
W
Aisling Daly
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 26· Aug 26, 2010
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight

Full record · 23 fights

W
Stephanie Frausto
BFC: Bellator Fighting Championships 22· Jun 17, 2010
Submission · R1 · 2:01 · Lightweight
L
Miku Matsumoto
DEEP· Jun 28, 2009
Submission
W
Patti Lee
North Carolina Regional· Jul 18, 2008
Submission
L
Ana Michelle Tavares
Smackgirl: World ReMix 2008 (Round 2)· Apr 25, 2008
Unanimous Decision · Strawweight
W
Ayumi Saito
Smackgirl: World ReMix 2008 (Round 1)· Feb 14, 2008
Submission · R1 · 4:41 · Middleweight
W
Megumi Yabushita
Ontario Regional· Nov 3, 2007
DEC
L
Megumi Fujii
Bodog Fight· Aug 24, 2007
Submission
W
Elisha Helsper
Coeur d'Alene Casino· Jul 28, 2007
Submission
W
Taeko Nagamine
California Regional· Jul 14, 2007
Submission
W
Masako Yoshida
California Regional· Feb 17, 2007
DEC
W
Misaki Takimoto
Smackgirl 2006· Nov 29, 2006
Submission · R2 · 3:32 · Atomweight
W
Miku Matsumoto
Smackgirl 2006· Sep 15, 2006
Submission · R1 · 3:04 · Strawweight
W
Leiticia Pestova
California Regional· Aug 19, 2006
Submission
W
Jessica Aguilar
Absolute Fighting Championship· Feb 18, 2006
DEC
L
Molly Helsel
HOOKnSHOOT: Unleashed· Nov 19, 2005
Submission · Bantamweight
W
Kellyn Huehn
HOOKnSHOOT: Unleashed· Nov 19, 2005
Submission · Bantamweight
W
Roseanne Blackburn
British Columbia Regional· Feb 18, 2005
DEC
L
Mandy Stewart
HOOKnSHOOT· Nov 6, 2004
Submission

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Felice Herrig vs Lisa Ellis?

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