Cabral vs Kotani Result & Stats: Cabral wins by SUB R2 · UFC 179, Sat, Oct 25, 2014

UFCUFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2

Yan CabralWIN

13-3-0

TKOSUBSUB

RESULT

Submission

ROUND 2 · 3:06

Lightweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Naoyuki Kotani

34-14-7

TKOTKOTKO

Saturday, October 25, 2014Ginasio do Maracanãzinho, Maracanã, Brazil

Yan Cabral defeated Naoyuki Kotani by Submission in round 2 (3:06) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2, held Saturday, October 25, 2014 at Ginasio do Maracanãzinho, Maracanã.

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The result

Yan CabralWIN

def. Naoyuki Kotani

Submission

Round 2 · 3:06

Referee: Mario Yamasaki
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Yan CabralNaoyuki Kotani

40%Power Index✗ Missed60%

84%Market · 4 sportsbooks✓ Called it16%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Yan Cabral

-794

89% implied win probability · Open: -605

Naoyuki Kotani

+512

16% implied win probability · Open: +491

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Yan Cabral out-landed Naoyuki Kotani 11 to 5 in significant strikes.
Yan Cabral controlled Naoyuki Kotani for 4:19 of the fight.
Yan Cabral landed 46% of significant strikes to Naoyuki Kotani's 19%.

Tale of the tape

13-3-0

Record

34-14-7

Age

5'11" · 180 cm

Height

5'8" · 173 cm

73" · 185 cm

Reach

66" · 168 cm

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Win Streak

1662

Power Index

1735

3-2

Last 5

1-4

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Yan CabralNaoyuki Kotani

Knockdowns

11 / 24

Significant strikes

5 / 26

46%

Sig. strike accuracy

19%

24 / 38

Total strikes

13 / 34

2 / 5

Takedowns

1 / 1

40%

Takedown accuracy

100%

Submission attempts

4:19

Control time

1:09

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Yan CabralNaoyuki Kotani

1091%

Head

360%

19%

Body

00%

Leg

240%

Where it happened

Where the landed significant strikes came from

Yan Cabral

27%9%64%

Naoyuki Kotani

60%40%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

Range × target

Significant strikes landed by range and target in this fight · landed / attempted in each cell

Yan Cabral11 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

33/10

00/1

Clinch

11/1

Ground

77/12

Naoyuki Kotani5 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

11/15

00/1

22/7

Clinch

Ground

22/3

Betting Odds

Yan Cabral

-794

89% implied win probability

Open: -605Best: -725

Naoyuki Kotani

+512

16% implied win probability

Open: +491Best: +625

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Yan Cabral	Naoyuki Kotani
Bookmaker	-725	+525
Bovada	-850	+400
Pinnacle	-781	+625
sports-interaction	-833	+500

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

Naoyuki Kotani's last two losses were both stopped early.
Yan Cabral lands 2.89 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 85% of UFC fighters.

Style & credentials

Yan Cabral

No background on record

Camp · Nova Uniao · Brazil

Naoyuki Kotani

No background on record

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

77%

Head

55%

12%

Body

11%

Leg

38%

Time in position

Where their significant strikes are thrown

Yan Cabrallast 5 fights

50%17%33%

Naoyuki Kotanilast 5 fights

73%20%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Yan Cabral Naoyuki Kotani

Strikes landed / min

2.021.02

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Poor · better than 10% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Poor · better than 1% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

1.982.89

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Elite · better than 91% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Good · better than 67% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

2.890.83

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Elite · better than 85% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Below avg · better than 36% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

35%16%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Average · better than 44% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Poor · better than 12% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

37%46%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Poor · better than 13% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Below avg · better than 21% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

1.200.80

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Yan Cabral · Elite · better than 86% of UFC fightersNaoyuki Kotani · Good · better than 71% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1500 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

2.02

Strikes landed / min

1.02

1.98

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.89

2.89 / 8.3

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.83 / 5.2

35%

Takedown accuracy

16%

37%

Takedown defence

46%

5:47

Control time / fight

2:10

1.20

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.80

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Yan Cabral5 UFC fights · 115 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

38%44/148

2%2/5

10%12/13

Clinch

5%6/12

10%12/14

1%1/1

Ground

33%38/53

0%0/0

Naoyuki Kotani5 UFC fights · 55 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

36%20/104

4%2/14

33%18/31

Clinch

0%0/6

2%1/1

5%3/5

Ground

18%10/14

2%1/1

0%0/0

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Yan Cabral15 of 18 ended early · 83%3 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

9 early stoppages have no logged time

Naoyuki Kotani46 of 65 ended early · 71%19 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

19 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Yan Cabral3-2

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Full record · 18 fights

W
Naoyuki Kotani
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Djordje Beric
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Arbi Agujev
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Peter Angerer
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Mattias Awad
Superior Challenge · May 30, 2009
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Gary Kono
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Catalin Ersen
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Francis Guilherme
Shooto Brasil · Aug 30, 2008
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Christos Petroutsos
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Submission
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Chas Jacquier
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Naoyuki Kotani1-4

L
Shunsuke Kusawake
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Yutaka Ueda
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Koshi Matsumoto
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Full record · 65 fights

W
Shutaro Debana
Shooto 11/17 · Nov 17, 2018
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W
Akihito Mamiya
GRACHAN 35.5 · Jul 16, 2018
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L
Marif Piraev
WFCA 44: Dudaev vs Naumov · Dec 17, 2017
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Yuki Kawana
Professional Shooto 10/15 · Oct 15, 2017
MD · Lightweight
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Yoichi Fukumoto
Shooto · Apr 23, 2017
Submission · R1 · 2:10 · Lightweight
L
Dmitriy Parubchenko
Real 5 · Jun 12, 2016
TKO · R2 · 3:17 · Lightweight
L
Kajan Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · Sep 28, 2015
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
L
Kajan Johnson
UFC Fight Night 75 · Sep 26, 2015
Unanimous Decision · Lightweight
L
Yan Cabral
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · Oct 25, 2014
Submission · R2 · 3:06 · Lightweight
L
Norman Parke
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Jul 19, 2014
TKO · R2 · 3:41 · Lightweight
W
Yoshihiro Koyama
VTJ 4th · Feb 23, 2014
Unanimous Decision
W
Daisuke Hoshino
VTJ 3rd · Oct 5, 2013
Submission · R1 · 3:57 · Lightweight
W
Vitali Krat
The Outsider 26 · Jun 9, 2013
Submission · R1 · 2:47 · Catchweight
W
Jung Min Kang
ZST 35 · Apr 7, 2013
Submission · R1 · 2:45 · Lightweight
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Koji Mori
ZST 33: 10th Anniversary · Nov 23, 2012
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Shinichi Taira
ZST 33: 10th Anniversary · Nov 23, 2012
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Darius Minkevičius
ZST 32 · Sep 17, 2012
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Ryuki Ueyama
Rings Japan · Mar 9, 2012
TKO · R1 · 2:32
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Daisuke Hanazawa
Rings Japan · Jan 22, 2012
TKO · R2 · 4:03
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Katsuya Inoue
Pancrase · Sep 4, 2011
Submission
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Ryo Asami
The Outsider 17 · Jul 17, 2011
TKO · R1 · 1:00
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Keigo Hirayama
Fighting Network ZST · Feb 5, 2011
Submission
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Eriya Matsuda
Fighting Network ZST · Sep 26, 2010
Submission
L
Jorge Masvidal
Astra: Yoshida's Farewell · Apr 25, 2010
SD · Lightweight
D
Kenichi Ito
Fighting Network ZST · Feb 20, 2010
DRAW
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Daisuke Nakamura
Fighting Network ZST · Nov 23, 2009
Submission
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Yojiro Uchimura
Fighting Network ZST · Sep 21, 2009
Submission
L
Kuniyoshi Hironaka
Fighting Network ZST · May 24, 2009
Submission
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Katsuhiko Nagata
Fighting Network ZST · Nov 23, 2008
Submission
L
Koji Oishi
Pancrase 194 · Oct 1, 2008
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D
Masanori Kanehara
Fighting Network ZST · Nov 23, 2007
DRAW
L
Dennis Siver
UFC 75: CHAMPION VS CHAMPION · Sep 8, 2007
TKO · R2 · 2:04 · Lightweight
L
Thiago Tavares
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · Apr 5, 2007
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
W
Masayuki Okude
Fighting Network ZST · Feb 12, 2007
Submission
D
Erikas Petraitis
Fighting Network ZST · Nov 23, 2006
DRAW
W
Shinya Sato
Fighting Network ZST · May 27, 2006
Submission
D
Darius Skliaudys
Fighting Network ZST · Feb 18, 2006
DRAW
W
Vito Woods
Xtreme Fighting Organization · Dec 10, 2005
Submission
L
Luiz Azeredo
PRIDE: Bushido 9 · Sep 25, 2005
TKO · R1 · 0:11
D
Darius Skliaudys
Fighting Network ZST · Jan 23, 2005
DRAW
L
Roger Huerta
Xtreme Fighting Organization · Dec 3, 2004
TKO
L
Yves Edwards
Euphoria 2: The Road To The Titles · Oct 15, 2004
TKO · R1 · 3:10 · Lightweight
W
Hideo Tokoro
Fighting Network ZST · Sep 12, 2004
Submission
W
Remigijus Morkevičius
Fighting Network ZST · Jul 4, 2004
Submission
L
Marcus Aurelio
Fighting Network ZST · May 5, 2004
TKO
L
Rich Clementi
Fighting Network ZST · Jan 11, 2004
DEC
W
Mindaugas Smirnovas
Fighting Network ZST · Nov 23, 2003
Submission
W
Mindaugas Smirnovas
Fighting Network ZST · Sep 7, 2003
Submission
D
Mindaugas Smirnovas
Fighting Network RINGS · Apr 5, 2003
DRAW
W
Antoine Skinner
ZST 2: The Battlefield 2 · Mar 9, 2003
Submission · R1 · 1:35 · Lightweight
W
Mindaugas Laurinaitis
ZST 1: The Battlefield 1 · Nov 23, 2002
Submission · R1 · 2:16 · Lightweight
W
Kenichi Serizawa
Greatest Common Multiple · Sep 8, 2002
TKO
W
Masaya Takita
Greatest Common Multiple · Jun 16, 2002
Submission
W
Yoshinobu Ota
Rings Japan · Feb 15, 2002
Submission · R1 · 1:41 · Lightweight
W
Takahito Iida
Rings Japan · Dec 21, 2001
Submission · R1 · 3:02 · Lightweight
W
Hideo Tokoro
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MD · Lightweight
D
Jiro Wakabayashi
Rings Japan · Apr 20, 2001
DEC · Lightweight
W
Curtis Brigham
Fighting Network RINGS · Mar 17, 2001
Submission
W
Tashiro Nishiuchi
Rings Japan · Sep 5, 2000
Submission · R1 · 0:32 · Lightweight
W
Kiyohito Sugata
Rings Japan · Sep 5, 2000
TKO · R1 · 0:42 · Lightweight

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Yan Cabral vs Naoyuki Kotani?

Yan Cabral defeated Naoyuki Kotani by Submission in round 2 (3:06) in the Lightweight bout of UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2, held Saturday, October 25, 2014 at Ginasio do Maracanãzinho, Maracanã.