Nunes vs Marques Result & Stats: Nunes wins by TKO R1 · PFL 5, Fri, Jun 16, 2023

PFLPFL 5: Regular Season

Marcelo NunesWIN

11-2-0

RESULT

TKO

ROUND 1 · 3:40

Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Danilo Marques

11-4-0

Friday, June 16, 2023Overtime Elite Arena, Atlanta, United States

Marcelo Nunes defeated Danilo Marques by TKO in round 1 (3:40) in the Heavyweight bout of PFL 5: Regular Season, held Friday, June 16, 2023 at Overtime Elite Arena, Atlanta.

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The result

Marcelo NunesWIN

def. Danilo Marques

TKO

Round 1 · 3:40

Referee: Rob Hinds
Time format: 3 Rnd (5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Marcelo NunesDanilo Marques

47%Power Index✗ Missed53%

34%Market · 12 sportsbooks✗ Missed66%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

Marcelo Nunes

+179

36% implied win probability · Open: +159

Danilo Marques

-228

70% implied win probability · Open: -190

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Marcelo Nunes dropped Danilo Marques once.
Danilo Marques out-landed Marcelo Nunes 16 to 5 in significant strikes.

Tale of the tape

9-2-0

Record

14-4-0

Age

6'2" · 188 cm

Height

6'6" · 198 cm

76" · 193 cm

Reach

77" · 196 cm

Win Streak

1624

Power Index

1643

4-1

Last 5

3-2

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Marcelo NunesDanilo Marques

Knockdowns

Significant strikes

40 / 48

Total strikes

12 / 32

0 / 0

Takedowns

0 / 0

0:55

Control time

0:56

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Marcelo NunesDanilo Marques

240%

Head

531%

00%

Body

213%

360%

Leg

956%

Where it happened

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

66%34%

DistanceClinchGround

Betting Odds

Marcelo Nunes

+179

36% implied win probability

Open: +159

Danilo Marques

-228

70% implied win probability

Open: -190

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

How it ends

Closing prices

Danilo Marques

Decision+30025%

Total rounds 1.5

Over

-173

Under

+136

Goes the distance

Yes

+202

-270

Moneyline by sportsbook

Sportsbook	Marcelo Nunes	Danilo Marques
BetAnything	+160	-200
BetOnline	+180	-210
BetUS	+160	-200
Betway	+188	-235
Bovada	+195	-250
Cloudbet	+195	-239
DraftKings	+155	-190
FanDuel	+186	-250
MyBookie	+169	-256
Pinnacle	+190	-232
sports-interaction	+180	-245
unibet	+188	-265

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

Danilo Marques's last two losses were both stopped early.
Marcelo Nunes lands 3.11 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 89% of UFC fighters.

Style & credentials

Marcelo Nunes

No background on record

Camp · Zenith Jiu-Jitsu

Danilo Marques

No background on record

Camp · Demian Maia Jiu-Jitsu

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

47%

Head

47%

20%

Body

29%

33%

Leg

24%

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Marcelo Nuneslast 4 fights

55%30%15%

Danilo Marqueslast 5 fights

61%28%11%

DistanceClinchGround

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Marcelo Nunes· incl. 4 fights outside the UFC Danilo Marques· incl. 5 fights outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

2.082.19

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Marcelo Nunes · Poor · better than 12% of UFC fightersDanilo Marques · Poor · better than 15% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

3.462.13

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Marcelo Nunes · Average · better than 48% of UFC fightersDanilo Marques · Elite · better than 89% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

3.112.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Marcelo Nunes · Elite · better than 89% of UFC fightersDanilo Marques · Good · better than 71% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

60%29%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Marcelo Nunes · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fightersDanilo Marques · Below avg · better than 27% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

3.100.40

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Marcelo Nunes · Elite · better than 99% of UFC fightersDanilo Marques · Average · better than 48% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1490 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

2.08

Strikes landed / min

2.19

3.46

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.13

3.11 / 5.2

Takedowns landed / 15 min

2.00 / 6.9

60%

Takedown accuracy

29%

1:10

Control time / fight

3:15

3.10

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.40

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Marcelo Nunes4 fights · by range and by target

Range

58%Distance · 19

18%Clinch · 6

24%Ground · 8

Target

47%Head · 14

20%Body · 6

33%Leg · 10

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Danilo Marques4 UFC fights · 55 landed

Head

Body

Leg

Distance

25%14/26

18%10/11

5%3/3

Clinch

0%0/0

0%0/1

0%0/0

Ground

47%26/26

4%2/2

0%0/0

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Marcelo Nunes11 of 11 ended early · 100%0 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

2 early stoppages have no logged time

Danilo Marques14 of 18 ended early · 78%4 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

7 early stoppages have no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Marcelo Nunes4-1

L
Maurice Greene
PFL 2: 2023 Regular Season· Apr 7, 2023
TKO · R2 · 1:20 · Heavyweight
W
Dylan Potter
PFL 7: 2022 Playoffs· Aug 5, 2022
Submission · R1 · 1:47 · Heavyweight
W
Bevon Lewis
Professional Fighters League - PFL Challenger Series 6· Mar 24, 2022
Submission · R2 · 2:39 · Heavyweight
W
Anthony Garrett
CFFC 103: Anderson vs. Blackshear· Nov 19, 2021
Submission · R1 · 2:53 · Heavyweight
W
Jordan Seufzer
CFFC 85· Sep 18, 2020
TKO · R1 · 3:03 · Heavyweight

Full record · 11 fights

L
Rafael Lovato Jr.
Legacy FC 54· Apr 22, 2016
TKO · R2 · 4:51 · Middleweight
W
Miguel Rios
MCC 57: Schmauss vs. Sessi· Jan 23, 2015
Submission · R1 · 2:34 · Middleweight
W
Vic Hall
King of the Cage· Jul 12, 2014
Submission
W
TBA
Xplode MMA· May 2, 2014
Submission
W
Ron Imhoff
Fearless FC 15· Apr 12, 2014
TKO · R1 · 0:27 · Middleweight
W
Nate Hoffman
Caged Chaos at Canterbury Park 4· Dec 14, 2013
Submission · R1 · 3:06 · Catchweight

Danilo Marques3-2

W
Yorgan De Castro
PFL 2: 2023 Regular Season· Apr 7, 2023
Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
W
Ras Hylton
PFL Challenger Series 2023: Week 3· Feb 10, 2023
Submission · R2 · 2:33 · Heavyweight
W
Brock McKinney
Gladiator Challenge· Feb 26, 2022
Submission · R1 · 1:23
L
Jailton Almeida
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs Strickland· Feb 5, 2022
TKO · R1 · 2:57 · Light Heavyweight
L
Kennedy Nzechukwu
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs Volkov· Jun 26, 2021
TKO · R3 · 0:20 · Light Heavyweight

Full record · 18 fights

W
Mike Rodriguez
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Volkov· Feb 6, 2021
Submission · R2 · 4:52 · Light Heavyweight
W
Khadis Ibragimov
UFC 253: Adesanya vs Costa· Sep 27, 2020
UD · R3 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
W
Cleiton Caetano
Gladiator CF 33· Feb 18, 2018
UD · Middleweight
W
Marck Polimeno
Gladiator CF 31· Jul 8, 2017
Submission
L
Myron Dennis
LFA 9: Dennis vs. Marques· Apr 14, 2017
SD · Light Heavyweight
W
Junior Lourenço
Curitiba Top Fight 10· Feb 24, 2017
Submission · R2 · 4:24 · Light Heavyweight
L
Márcio Teles
Thunder Fight 8· Aug 5, 2016
TKO · R1 · 1:44 · Light Heavyweight
W
Alisson Jorge
Parana Regional· Oct 24, 2015
TKO
W
Marco Camargo
Predador FC· Sep 12, 2015
TKO
W
TBA
Predador FC· Mar 14, 2015
TKO
W
TBA
Sao Paulo Regional· Dec 13, 2014
Submission
W
Alex Junius
Sao Paulo Regional· Aug 17, 2014
Submission
W
TBA
Predador FC· Mar 29, 2014
TKO

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Marcelo Nunes vs Danilo Marques?

Marcelo Nunes defeated Danilo Marques by TKO in round 1 (3:40) in the Heavyweight bout of PFL 5: Regular Season, held Friday, June 16, 2023 at Overtime Elite Arena, Atlanta.

Get this bout's result and round-by-round stats as JSON with the MMA Fight Data API →