Middleweight3 rounds scheduled
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m
Trukon Carson vs Trey Waters
Friday, August 7, 2026
Bojangles Coliseum, Charlotte, United States
Win probability
Trukon Carson 40%60% Trey Waters
Based on both fighters' current UFCal Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Tale of the Tape
6-1-0
Record
9-2-0
1614
Power Index rating
1685
0
Win Streak
0
31
Age
31
5'11"
180 cm
Height
6'5"
196 cm
-
Reach
77"
196 cm
-
Stance
Orthodox
Middleweight
Weight Class
Middleweight
United States
Nationality
United States
Striking Profile
-
SLpM
6.39
-
Str. Acc.
44%
-
SApM
5.83
-
Str. Def.
55%
Grappling Profile
-
TD Avg.
0.40
-
TD Acc.
33%
-
TD Def.
85%
-
Sub. Avg.
0.80
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Trukon Carson
No recent UFC fights on record
Trey Waters · 2-1
Career Averages
Based on 0 fights · 3 fights
-
Avg sig. strikes
72.7
-
Avg takedowns
0.33
-
Avg control time
0:09
-
Career high strikes
104
-
Career high TDs
1
Strike Distribution
Trukon Carson
Strike target
Trey Waters
-
Head
87%
-
Body
7%
-
Leg
6%
Trukon Carson
Strike position
Trey Waters
-
Distance
98%
-
Clinch
1%
-
Ground
0%
Betting Odds
Trukon Carson
+220
31% implied win probability
Open: +216Best: +240
Trey Waters
-292
74% implied win probability
Open: -285Best: -275
Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Trukon Carson | Trey Waters |
|---|---|---|
| Bet105 | +236 | -308 |
| BetOnline | +226 | -275 |
| BetUS | +190 | -275 |
| Betway | +210 | -275 |
| Bookmaker | +218 | -286 |
| Bovada | +225 | -285 |
| Cloudbet | +225 | -345 |
| DraftKings | +240 | -298 |
| FanDuel | +215 | -290 |
| Pinnacle | +236 | -308 |
| Stake | +195 | -286 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io