Ultimate Fighting Calendar
PFLPFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Nkosi Ndebele
South AfricaNkosi Ndebele
“King”
13-3-0
RESULT

Nkosi Ndebele def. Brandon Davis (Decision)

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Brandon Davis
United StatesBrandon Davis
“Killer B”
14-10-0
Saturday, July 25, 2026
CareFirst Arena, Washington, D.C.

Nkosi Ndebele defeated Brandon Davis by Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at CareFirst Arena, Washington.

Fight stats

Nkosi Ndebele
Brandon Davis
0
Knockdowns
0
70 of 112
Significant strikes
14 of 61
63%
Sig. strike accuracy
23%
94 of 146
Total strikes
25 of 72
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
5:12
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
41 of 71
Head
7 of 40
19 of 26
Body
4 of 12
10 of 15
Leg
3 of 9
0 of 0
Distance
0 of 0
7 of 8
Clinch
4 of 6
51 of 62
Ground
9 of 9

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
19 of 40
Sig. str.
8 of 27
23 of 46
Total str.
12 of 31
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:25
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
22 of 38
Sig. str.
5 of 26
22 of 39
Total str.
6 of 27
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:26
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
29 of 34
Sig. str.
1 of 8
49 of 61
Total str.
7 of 14
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
3:21
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Nkosi Ndebele
-2409
96% implied win probability
Open: -1475Best: -1408
Brandon Davis
+1071
9% implied win probability
Open: +739Best: +1300

Average moneyline across 15 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Nkosi NdebeleBrandon Davis
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Jul 22Jul 23Jul 25Jul 26Jul 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1579 (94%)Jul 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1790 (95%)Jul 23, 2:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1701 (94%)Jul 23, 4:20 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1685 (94%)Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1664 (94%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1662 (94%)Jul 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1649 (94%)Jul 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1664 (94%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1660 (94%)Jul 24, 12:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1681 (94%)Jul 24, 2:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1685 (94%)Jul 24, 8:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1650 (94%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1723 (95%)Jul 25, 2:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1738 (95%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1663 (94%)Jul 25, 6:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1763 (95%)Jul 25, 8:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1791 (95%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1949 (95%)Jul 25, 12:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -1919 (95%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2072 (95%)Jul 25, 4:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2101 (95%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2121 (95%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2087 (95%)Jul 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2155 (96%)Jul 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Nkosi Ndebele -2409 (96%)Jul 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +798 (11%)Jul 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +758 (12%)Jul 23, 2:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +771 (11%)Jul 23, 4:20 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +782 (11%)Jul 23, 12:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +793 (11%)Jul 23, 2:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +782 (11%)Jul 23, 4:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +787 (11%)Jul 23, 6:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +781 (11%)Jul 23, 8:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +782 (11%)Jul 24, 12:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +789 (11%)Jul 24, 2:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +787 (11%)Jul 24, 8:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +784 (11%)Jul 25, 12:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +816 (11%)Jul 25, 2:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +820 (11%)Jul 25, 4:20 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +803 (11%)Jul 25, 6:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +829 (11%)Jul 25, 8:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +836 (11%)Jul 25, 10:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +877 (10%)Jul 25, 12:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +892 (10%)Jul 25, 2:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +938 (10%)Jul 25, 4:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +949 (10%)Jul 25, 6:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +954 (9%)Jul 25, 8:50 PM UTC · Brandon Davis +977 (9%)Jul 26, 12:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +990 (9%)Jul 26, 2:50 AM UTC · Brandon Davis +1071 (9%)-2409+1071
SportsbookNkosi NdebeleBrandon Davis
Bet105-2915+1138
BetAnything-2800+890
BetMGM-2000+1000
BetOnline-2800+1300
BetUS-2800+1250
Betway-1408+700
Bookmaker-1800+980
Bovada-3300+1200
Cloudbet-3333+1000
DraftKings-2100+1100
FanDuel-2500+1200
Pinnacle-2442+1050
ProphetX-2500+1200
Stake-2500+760
SXBet-3378
YouWager-2800+1300

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Nkosi Ndebele vs Brandon Davis?

Nkosi Ndebele defeated Brandon Davis by Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Featherweight bout of PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez, held Saturday, July 25, 2026 at CareFirst Arena, Washington.

Referee
Dan Miragliotta
Pre-fight comparison▾

Win probability

Nkosi Ndebele 78%22% Brandon Davis

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

13-3-0
Record
14-10-0
1783
Power Index rating
1565
5
Win Streak
0
-
Age
36
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'10"
178 cm
76"
193 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
-
Stance
Orthodox
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
South Africa
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

-
SLpM
4.68
-
Str. Acc.
35%
-
SApM
4.62
-
Str. Def.
58%

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
0.74
-
TD Acc.
42%
-
TD Def.
57%
-
Sub. Avg.
0.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Nkosi Ndebele · 5-0
  • W
    Brandon Davis
    PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez · Jul 25, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Michele Clemente
    PFL Africa: Pretoria · Apr 10, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Boule Godogo
    PFL Africa 4: 2025 Finals · Dec 20, 2025
    Knockout · R2 · 0:27 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Simbarashe Hokonya
    PFL Africa 3: 2025 Semifinals · Oct 18, 2025
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • W
    Mahmoud Atef
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Road to Dubai Champions Series 2 & PFL Africa 2025 First Round · Jul 18, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:50 · Bantamweight
Brandon Davis · 1-3
  • L
    Nkosi Ndebele
    PFL Washington DC: Jean vs. Rodriguez · Jul 25, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • NC
    Randy Costa
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · Nov 15, 2024
    No Contest · R1 · 2:47
  • W
    Joe Penafiel
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · Nov 10, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · Catchweight
  • L
    Ago Huskic
    Gamebred Bareknuckle MMA · Sep 8, 2023
    Unanimous Decision
  • L
    Joshua Weems
    Gulf Coast MMA 19 · Apr 14, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 10 fights
53.0
Avg sig. strikes
45.1
1.67
Avg takedowns
0.60
3:49
Avg control time
0:47
70
Career high strikes
114
3
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Nkosi Ndebele
Strike target
Brandon Davis
64%
Head
56%
23%
Body
17%
14%
Leg
27%
Nkosi Ndebele
Strike position
Brandon Davis
35%
Distance
86%
21%
Clinch
7%
44%
Ground
6%