Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Rafael do Nascimento def. Lewis McGrillen-Evans (Submission)
Submission · Round 2 · 2:07

Saturday, July 18, 2026
Moody Center, Austin, United States
Rafael do Nascimento defeated Lewis McGrillen-Evans by Submission in round 2 (2:07) in the Bantamweight bout of Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, held Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center, Austin.
Fight stats
Rafael do Nascimento
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
0
Knockdowns
0
21 of 32
Significant strikes
14 of 46
66%
Sig. strike accuracy
30%
21 of 32
Total strikes
15 of 47
4 of 5
Takedowns
1 of 1
80%
Takedown accuracy
100%
3
Submission attempts
0
—
Reversals
—
1:40
Control time
0:09
Significant strikes by target
11 of 13
Head
7 of 34
8 of 17
Body
6 of 11
2 of 2
Leg
1 of 1
0 of 0
Distance
0 of 0
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
11 of 11
Ground
3 of 3
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
0
13 of 19
Sig. str.
6 of 27
13 of 19
Total str.
7 of 28
3 of 4
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:05
Ctrl
0:09
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
8 of 13
Sig. str.
8 of 19
8 of 13
Total str.
8 of 19
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
3
Sub. att
0
0:35
Ctrl
0:00
Betting Odds
Rafael do Nascimento
+254
28% implied win probability
Open: +231Best: +275
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
-334
77% implied win probability
Open: -307Best: -310
Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.
Line Movement
| Sportsbook | Rafael do Nascimento | Lewis McGrillen-Evans |
|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | +240 | -310 |
| BetMGM | +275 | -350 |
| BetOnline | +260 | -310 |
| BetUS | +205 | -310 |
| Betway | +250 | -333 |
| Bookmaker | +272 | -338 |
| Bovada | +275 | -350 |
| Cloudbet | +270 | -385 |
| DraftKings | +250 | -345 |
| FanDuel | +265 | -330 |
| Pinnacle | -356 | |
| Stake | +230 | -357 |
| YouWager | +260 | -310 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Rafael do Nascimento vs Lewis McGrillen-Evans?
Rafael do Nascimento defeated Lewis McGrillen-Evans by Submission in round 2 (2:07) in the Bantamweight bout of Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, held Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center, Austin.
Referee
Jeff Rexroad
Pre-fight comparison▾
Win probability
Rafael do Nascimento 32%68% Lewis McGrillen-Evans
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings
Tale of the Tape
12-3-0
Record
12-1-0
1500
Elo rating
1628
1
Win Streak
0
34
Age
25
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
—
Stance
—
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Brazil
Nationality
England
Striking Profile
—
SLpM
—
—
Str. Acc.
—
—
SApM
—
—
Str. Def.
—
Grappling Profile
—
TD Avg.
—
—
TD Acc.
—
—
TD Def.
—
—
Sub. Avg.
—
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Rafael do Nascimento · 1-0
Lewis McGrillen-Evans · 4-1
- LProfessional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2Sat, Jul 18, 2026Submission · R2 · 2:07 · Bantamweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - PFL Europe 1: 2025 First RoundSat, May 10, 2025Submission · R2 · 3:17 · Bantamweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - PFL Europe 4: 2024 FinalsSat, Dec 14, 2024TKO · R2 · 3:52 · Bantamweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - PFL Europe 3: 2024 PlayoffsSat, Sep 28, 2024Knockout · R3 · 1:45 · Bantamweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular SeasonSat, Jun 8, 2024Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 1 fight · 1 fight
21.0
Avg sig. strikes
14.0
4.00
Avg takedowns
1.00
1:40
Avg control time
0:09
21
Career high strikes
14
4
Career high TDs
1
Strike Distribution
Rafael do Nascimento
Strike target
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
52%
Head
50%
38%
Body
43%
10%
Leg
7%
Rafael do Nascimento
Strike position
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
0%
Distance
0%
0%
Clinch
0%
100%
Ground
100%
