Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Rafael do Nascimento
Mulisha
12-3-0
RESULT

Rafael do Nascimento def. Lewis McGrillen-Evans (Submission)

Submission · Round 2 · 2:07
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
The McGrizzla
12-1-0
Saturday, July 18, 2026
Moody Center, Austin, United States

Rafael do Nascimento defeated Lewis McGrillen-Evans by Submission in round 2 (2:07) in the Bantamweight bout of Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, held Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center, Austin.

Fight stats

Rafael do Nascimento
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
0
Knockdowns
0
21 of 32
Significant strikes
14 of 46
66%
Sig. strike accuracy
30%
21 of 32
Total strikes
15 of 47
4 of 5
Takedowns
1 of 1
80%
Takedown accuracy
100%
3
Submission attempts
0
Reversals
1:40
Control time
0:09
Significant strikes by target
11 of 13
Head
7 of 34
8 of 17
Body
6 of 11
2 of 2
Leg
1 of 1
0 of 0
Distance
0 of 0
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
11 of 11
Ground
3 of 3

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
13 of 19
Sig. str.
6 of 27
13 of 19
Total str.
7 of 28
3 of 4
Takedowns
1 of 1
0
Sub. att
0
1:05
Ctrl
0:09
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
8 of 13
Sig. str.
8 of 19
8 of 13
Total str.
8 of 19
1 of 1
Takedowns
0 of 0
3
Sub. att
0
0:35
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Rafael do Nascimento
+254
28% implied win probability
Open: +231Best: +275
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
-334
77% implied win probability
Open: -307Best: -310

Average moneyline across 12 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Rafael do NascimentoLewis McGrillen-Evans
30%40%50%60%70%80%Jul 18, 10 PMJul 18, 11 PMJul 19, 12 AMJul 19, 12 AMJul 18, 10:50 PM UTC — Rafael do Nascimento +251 (28%)Jul 19, 12:50 AM UTC — Rafael do Nascimento +254 (28%)Jul 18, 10:50 PM UTC — Lewis McGrillen-Evans -331 (77%)Jul 19, 12:50 AM UTC — Lewis McGrillen-Evans -334 (77%)+254-334
SportsbookRafael do NascimentoLewis McGrillen-Evans
BetAnything+240-310
BetMGM+275-350
BetOnline+260-310
BetUS+205-310
Betway+250-333
Bookmaker+272-338
Bovada+275-350
Cloudbet+270-385
DraftKings+250-345
FanDuel+265-330
Pinnacle-356
Stake+230-357
YouWager+260-310

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Rafael do Nascimento vs Lewis McGrillen-Evans?

Rafael do Nascimento defeated Lewis McGrillen-Evans by Submission in round 2 (2:07) in the Bantamweight bout of Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2, held Saturday, July 18, 2026 at Moody Center, Austin.

Referee
Jeff Rexroad
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Rafael do Nascimento 32%68% Lewis McGrillen-Evans

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings

Tale of the Tape

12-3-0
Record
12-1-0
1500
Elo rating
1628
1
Win Streak
0
34
Age
25
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Stance
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Brazil
Nationality
England

Striking Profile

SLpM
Str. Acc.
SApM
Str. Def.

Grappling Profile

TD Avg.
TD Acc.
TD Def.
Sub. Avg.

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Rafael do Nascimento · 1-0
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2Sat, Jul 18, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 2:07 · Bantamweight
Lewis McGrillen-Evans · 4-1
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Austin: Eblen vs. Kasanganay 2Sat, Jul 18, 2026
    Submission · R2 · 2:07 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 1: 2025 First RoundSat, May 10, 2025
    Submission · R2 · 3:17 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 4: 2024 FinalsSat, Dec 14, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 3:52 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 3: 2024 PlayoffsSat, Sep 28, 2024
    Knockout · R3 · 1:45 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Professional Fighters League - PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular SeasonSat, Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 1 fight · 1 fight
21.0
Avg sig. strikes
14.0
4.00
Avg takedowns
1.00
1:40
Avg control time
0:09
21
Career high strikes
14
4
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Rafael do Nascimento
Strike target
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
52%
Head
50%
38%
Body
43%
10%
Leg
7%
Rafael do Nascimento
Strike position
Lewis McGrillen-Evans
0%
Distance
0%
0%
Clinch
0%
100%
Ground
100%