Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Featherweight3 rounds scheduled
Deniz Ilbay
EL PISTOLERO
9-3
RESULT

Corey Fry def. Deniz Ilbay (SUB)

Submission · Round 1 · 3:35
WIN
Corey Fry
The Sniper
5-4-0
Saturday, November 18, 2023
Lanxess Arena, Cologne, Germany

Corey Fry defeated Deniz Ilbay by Submission in round 1 (3:35) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 49: Moeil vs. Todev, held Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Lanxess Arena, Cologne.

Fight stats

Deniz Ilbay
Corey Fry
-
Knockdowns
-
16
Significant strikes
7
-
Sig. strike accuracy
-
16
Total strikes
23
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 1
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
-
Control time
-
Significant strikes by target
12
Head
3
2
Body
0
-
Leg
-
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Ground
-

By round

ROUND 1
-
KD
-
16
Sig. str.
7
16
Total str.
23
12
Head
3
2
Body
0
-
Distance
-
-
Clinch
-
-
Takedowns
-
-
Sub. att
-
-
Ctrl
-

Betting Odds

Deniz Ilbay
-213
68% implied win probability
Open: -222Best: -188
Corey Fry
+164
38% implied win probability
Open: +168Best: +180

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDeniz IlbayCorey Fry
BetOnline-220+180
BetUS-225+165
Betway-188+140
Bovada-225+170

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Deniz Ilbay vs Corey Fry?

Corey Fry defeated Deniz Ilbay by Submission in round 1 (3:35) in the Featherweight bout of OKTAGON 49: Moeil vs. Todev, held Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Lanxess Arena, Cologne.

Referee
Jan Vobornik
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Deniz Ilbay 63%37% Corey Fry

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Featherweight roster (204 fighters)

Deniz Ilbay
Knockout Artist
7 edges
Corey Fry
Submission Ace
2 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

95Power91
95Speed80
96Precision68
78Durability78
88Engine88
89Wrestling89
64Ground85

Biggest edge Corey Fry, Submissions +53

Attribute by attribute

Deniz Ilbay is on the left of every row, Corey Fry on the right.
98Punch power94
92Kick power87
98Punch speed95
92Kick speed65
96Accuracy68
89Takedowns89
85Ground striking74
43Submissions96
72Chin73
84Body strength82
88Cardio88

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

9-3
Record
5-4-0
1687
Power Index rating
1598
1
Win Streak
0
31
Age
-
5'6"
168 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
70"
178 cm
Reach
-
-
Stance
-
Featherweight
Weight Class
Featherweight
Germany
Nationality
United Kingdom

Striking Profile

3.58
SLpM
4.38
-
Str. Acc.
-
3.61
SApM
6.02
-
Str. Def.
-

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
-
-
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
-
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Deniz Ilbay · 3-2
  • W
    OKTAGON 85: SEVERINO VS. KAKHOROV · Mar 7, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · 69 kg Catchweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 82: ENGIZEK VS. JOTKO · Jan 17, 2026
    Submission · R1 · 3:49 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 69: HOLZER vs. ILBAY · Apr 5, 2025
    Submission · R4 · 4:14 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 66: ENGIZEK vs. ONISZCZUK · Feb 1, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:33 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 62: Eckerlin vs. Jungwirth · Oct 12, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:19 · Featherweight
Corey Fry · 2-3
  • L
    OKTAGON 79 · Nov 1, 2025
    Knockout · R1 · 1:54 · Featherweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 61 · Sep 21, 2024
    TKO · R2 · 2:25 · 68 kg Catchweight
  • L
    OKTAGON 52: Mågård vs. Cartwright · Jan 27, 2024
    Submission · R2 · 2:12 · Featherweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 49: Moeil vs. Todev · Nov 18, 2023
    Submission · R1 · 3:35 · Featherweight
  • W
    UK Fighting Championships 23 · May 20, 2023
    TKO · R1 · 0:39 · Featherweight

Career Averages

Based on 8 fights · 4 fights
32.4
Avg sig. strikes
22.0
59
Career high strikes
44

Strike Distribution

Deniz Ilbay
Strike target
Corey Fry
80%
Head
68%
20%
Body
32%