Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Light HeavyweightTITLE FIGHT5 rounds scheduled
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Will Fleury vs Makhmud Muradov

Makhmud Muradov
Mach
26-8-0 (1 NC)
Saturday, August 1, 2026
ostrov Štvanice, Hlavní město Praha, Czechia

Win probability

Will Fleury 59%41% Makhmud Muradov

Based on both fighters' current UFCal Elo ratings. See all Elo ratings

Tale of the Tape

16-3-0
Record
26-8-0 (1 NC)
1718
Elo rating
1657
7
Win Streak
4
37
Age
36
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'2"
188 cm
77"
196 cm
Reach
75"
191 cm
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Ireland
Nationality
Uzbekistan / Tajikistan

Striking Profile

SLpM
4.21
Str. Acc.
43%
SApM
2.57
Str. Def.
61%

Grappling Profile

TD Avg.
3.03
TD Acc.
66%
TD Def.
77%
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Will Fleury · 5-0
  • W
    OKTAGON 90: FLEURY VS. ARASSat, Jun 20, 2026
    Knockout · R2 · 1:29 · Heavyweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 81: FLEURY vs. BUDAYSun, Dec 28, 2025
    Knockout · R1 · 1:40 · Heavyweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 68: TODEV VS. FLEURYSat, Mar 8, 2025
    Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 65: PARADEISER vs. KEITA 2Sun, Dec 29, 2024
    Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 62: Eckerlin vs. JungwirthSat, Oct 12, 2024
    Knockout · R1 · 1:32 · Light Heavyweight
Makhmud Muradov · 4-1
  • W
    OKTAGON 72: VÉMOLA VS. VÉGH 3Sat, Jun 14, 2025
    Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 68: TODEV VS. FLEURYSat, Mar 8, 2025
    TKO · R2 · 0:40 · Middleweight
  • W
    OKTAGON 61Sat, Sep 21, 2024
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs TyburaSat, Jul 22, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight
  • L
    UFC 280: Oliveira vs MakhachevSat, Oct 22, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 6 fights · 11 fights
66.8
Avg sig. strikes
52.6
Avg takedowns
2.67
Avg control time
1:52
192
Career high strikes
91
Career high TDs
13

Strike Distribution

Will Fleury
Strike target
Makhmud Muradov
76%
Head
71%
24%
Body
25%
0%
Leg
4%
Will Fleury
Strike position
Makhmud Muradov
Distance
91%
Clinch
6%
Ground
4%

Betting Odds

Will Fleury
-139
58% implied win probability
Open: -139Best: -135
Makhmud Muradov
+106
49% implied win probability
Open: +106Best: +108

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Will FleuryMakhmud Muradov
50%60%Jul 26, 4 AMJul 26, 7 AMJul 26, 11 AMJul 26, 2 PMJul 26, 4:13 AM UTC — Will Fleury -139 (58%)Jul 26, 4:14 AM UTC — Will Fleury -138 (58%)Jul 26, 4:51 AM UTC — Will Fleury -140 (58%)Jul 26, 2:51 PM UTC — Will Fleury -139 (58%)Jul 26, 4:13 AM UTC — Makhmud Muradov +108 (48%)Jul 26, 4:14 AM UTC — Makhmud Muradov +108 (48%)Jul 26, 4:51 AM UTC — Makhmud Muradov +107 (48%)Jul 26, 2:51 PM UTC — Makhmud Muradov +106 (49%)-139+106
SportsbookWill FleuryMakhmud Muradov
Bovada-135+105
Cloudbet-139+108
MyBookie-138+108
Stake-143+104

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io