Fornalski vs Budzilek Result & Stats: Fornalski wins by SUB R1 · KSW 98, Sat, Sep 14, 2024

KSWKSW 98: Paczuski vs. Zerhouni

Kacper FornalskiWIN

1-2-0

SUBTKOSUB

RESULT

Submission

ROUND 1 · 4:09

Lightweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Aleksander Budzilek

2-1-0

SUBSUBSUB

Saturday, September 14, 2024RCS Lubin, Lubin, Poland

Kacper Fornalski defeated Aleksander Budzilek by Submission in round 1 (4:09) in the Lightweight bout of KSW 98: Paczuski vs. Zerhouni, held Saturday, September 14, 2024 at RCS Lubin, Lubin.

The result

Kacper FornalskiWIN

def. Aleksander Budzilek

Submission

Round 1 · 4:09

Referee: Paulina Bonkowska
Time format: 5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Kacper FornalskiAleksander Budzilek

44%Power Index✗ Missed56%

71%Market · 5 sportsbooks✓ Called it29%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Kacper Fornalski

-301

75% implied win probability · Open: -241

Aleksander Budzilek

+224

31% implied win probability · Open: +173

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Kacper Fornalski dropped Aleksander Budzilek once.
Kacper Fornalski out-landed Aleksander Budzilek 53 to 0 in significant strikes.
Kacper Fornalski controlled Aleksander Budzilek for 3:46 of the fight.

Tale of the tape

1-2-0

Record

2-1-0

6'0" · 183 cm

Height

5'9" · 175 cm

78" · 198 cm

Reach

70" · 178 cm

Win Streak

1500

Power Index

1541

1-2

Last 3

2-1

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Kacper FornalskiAleksander Budzilek

Knockdowns

Significant strikes

Total strikes

0 / 0

Takedowns

0 / 0

Submission attempts

3:46

Control time

0:14

Where it happened

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

14%14%73%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

Betting Odds

Kacper Fornalski

-301

75% implied win probability

Open: -241Best: -250

Aleksander Budzilek

+224

31% implied win probability

Open: +173Best: +280

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Kacper Fornalski	Aleksander Budzilek
BetOnline	-355	+280
BetUS	-250	+175
Betway	-275	+200
Bovada	-400	+275
mybookie	-275	+188

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Insights

Aleksander Budzilek absorbs 12.77 significant strikes a minute, more than 100% of UFC fighters.
Kacper Fornalski absorbs 7.16 significant strikes a minute, more than 99% of UFC fighters.
Kacper Fornalski's last two losses were both stopped early.

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Kacper Fornalskilast 3 fights

48%24%28%

Aleksander Budzileklast 1 fight

14%14%72%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Kacper Fornalski· from fights outside the UFC Aleksander Budzilek· from fights outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

3.180.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Average · better than 41% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

7.1612.77

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Poor · better than 1% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.000.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.600.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Good · better than 60% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

3.18

Strikes landed / min

0.00

7.16

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

12.77

0.00

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.00

1:54

Control time / fight

0:14

0.60

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.00

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Kacper Fornalski3 fights · by range and by target

Range

23%Distance · 32

44%Clinch · 61

34%Ground · 47

Target

78%Head · 62

16%Body · 13

5%Leg · 4

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Kacper Fornalski3 of 3 ended early · 100%0 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

Aleksander Budzilek3 of 3 ended early · 100%0 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

1 early stoppage has no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 3

Kacper Fornalski1-2

L
Kristians Boguzs
KSW 115: Przybysz vs. Yakymenko · Feb 21, 2026
Submission · R2 · 2:27 · Lightweight
L
Amaury Wako-Zabo
KSW 106: Parnasse vs. Ziółkowski · May 10, 2025
TKO · R3 · 3:16 · Welterweight
W
Aleksander Budzilek
KSW 98: Paczuski vs. Zerhouni · Sep 14, 2024
Submission · R1 · 4:09 · Lightweight

Aleksander Budzilek2-1

W
Adrian Dela
Garda Fight Night 1 · Dec 12, 2025
Submission · R1 · 3:56 · Featherweight
L
Kacper Fornalski
KSW 98: Paczuski vs. Zerhouni · Sep 14, 2024
Submission · R1 · 4:09 · Lightweight
W
Arkadiusz Ojczyk
Contra MMA 5 · May 11, 2024
Submission · Featherweight

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Kacper Fornalski vs Aleksander Budzilek?

Kacper Fornalski defeated Aleksander Budzilek by Submission in round 1 (4:09) in the Lightweight bout of KSW 98: Paczuski vs. Zerhouni, held Saturday, September 14, 2024 at RCS Lubin, Lubin.