Fornalski vs Budzilek Result & Stats: Fornalski wins by SUB R1 · KSW 98, Sat, Sep 14, 2024

KSWKSW 98: Paczuski vs Zerhouni

Kacper FornalskiWIN

1-2-0

RESULT

Submission

ROUND 1 · 4:09

Lightweight3 rounds scheduled

Full card

Aleksander Budzilek

2-1-0

Saturday, September 14, 2024Hala RCS, Lubin, Poland

Kacper Fornalski defeated Aleksander Budzilek by Submission in round 1 (4:09) in the Lightweight bout of KSW 98: Paczuski vs Zerhouni, held Saturday, September 14, 2024 at Hala RCS, Lubin.

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The result

Kacper FornalskiWIN

def. Aleksander Budzilek

Submission

Round 1 · 4:09

Referee: Paulina Swider
Time format: 5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Kacper FornalskiAleksander Budzilek

44%Power Index✗ Missed56%

71%Market · 5 sportsbooks✓ Called it29%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Kacper Fornalski

-301

75% implied win probability · Open: -241

Aleksander Budzilek

+224

31% implied win probability · Open: +173

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Kacper Fornalski dropped Aleksander Budzilek once.
Kacper Fornalski out-landed Aleksander Budzilek 53 to 0 in significant strikes.
Kacper Fornalski controlled Aleksander Budzilek for 3:46 of the fight.

Tale of the tape

0-0-0

Record

1-0-0

6'0" · 183 cm

Height

5'9" · 175 cm

78" · 198 cm

Reach

70" · 178 cm

Win Streak

1500

Power Index

1541

5-0

Last 5

1-0

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Kacper FornalskiAleksander Budzilek

Knockdowns

Significant strikes

Total strikes

0 / 0

Takedowns

0 / 0

Submission attempts

3:46

Control time

0:14

Where it happened

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

14%14%73%

DistanceClinchGround

Betting Odds

Kacper Fornalski

-301

75% implied win probability

Open: -241

Aleksander Budzilek

+224

31% implied win probability

Open: +173

Average moneyline across 5 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Kacper Fornalski	Aleksander Budzilek
BetOnline	-355	+280
BetUS	-250	+175
Betway	-275	+200
Bovada	-400	+275
MyBookie	-275	+188

Odds are for information only.

Build with this line: the same consensus odds, with opening and closing lines, are in the UFCalendar Fight API. Odds in the MMA Fight Data API

Insights

Aleksander Budzilek absorbs 12.77 significant strikes a minute, more than 100% of UFC fighters.
Kacper Fornalski's last 5 fights were all wins that ended early.
Kacper Fornalski absorbs 7.16 significant strikes a minute, more than 99% of UFC fighters.

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Kacper Fornalskilast 3 fights

48%24%28%

Aleksander Budzileklast 1 fight

14%14%72%

DistanceClinchGround

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Kacper Fornalski· incl. 3 fights outside the UFC Aleksander Budzilek· incl. 1 fight outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

3.180.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Average · better than 43% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

7.1612.77

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Poor · better than 1% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.000.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.600.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Kacper Fornalski · Good · better than 62% of UFC fightersAleksander Budzilek · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1490 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

3.18

Strikes landed / min

0.00

7.16

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

12.77

0.00

Takedowns landed / 15 min

0.00

1:54

Control time / fight

0:14

0.60

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.00

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Kacper Fornalski3 fights · by range and by target

Range

23%Distance · 32

44%Clinch · 61

34%Ground · 47

Target

78%Head · 62

16%Body · 13

5%Leg · 4

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

Recent form · last 5

Kacper Fornalski5-0

W
Piotr Zieliński
FEN 53: KGHM Fight Night· Mar 16, 2024
Submission · R1 · 2:13 · Lightweight
W
Michał Mil
Mistrzostwa MMA Polska 7· May 27, 2023
Lightweight
W
Antoni Walczak
Mistrzostwa MMA Polska 7· May 27, 2023
Lightweight
W
Paweł Selwa
Mistrzostwa MMA Polska 7· May 27, 2023
Lightweight
W
Stanislav Kharyniuk
Mistrzostwa MMA Polska 7· May 27, 2023
Lightweight

Full record · 32 fights

W
Konrad Chruścicki
CFN 8· Apr 21, 2023
UD · Lightweight
W
Filip Jarocki
CFN 7: Legacy· Oct 22, 2022
TKO · R1 · 0:11 · Catchweight
L
Jakub Błachowicz
CFN Challengers· Jun 11, 2022
SD · Catchweight
W
Marcin Nowacki
Strefa Walki Poniec 1· May 21, 2022
Submission · Lightweight
W
Antoni Walczak
ALMMA 212: Puchar Polski MMA 2022· Mar 12, 2022
Submission · R1 · 3:38 · Lightweight
W
Michał Pawlik
ALMMA 212: Puchar Polski MMA 2022· Mar 12, 2022
Submission · R1 · 0:58 · Lightweight
W
Antoni Walczak
Puchar Europy MMA ALMMA 207· Nov 27, 2021
Submission · R1 · 2:18 · Lightweight
W
Dawid Wolski
ALMMA 206· Nov 6, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Szymon Szczepanowski
ALMMA 206· Nov 6, 2021
Submission · R1 · 2:02 · Lightweight
W
Filip Gierczak
ALMMA 196· Sep 18, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Kacper Zubrzycki
ALMMA 196· Sep 18, 2021
Submission · R1 · 4:00 · Lightweight
W
Igor Dusza
ALMMA 196· Sep 18, 2021
Submission · R1 · 3:10 · Lightweight
W
Szymon Romańczuk
ALMMA 196· Sep 18, 2021
Submission · R1 · 2:37 · Lightweight
L
Szymon Pyrdoł
ALMMA 199· Jun 13, 2021
Submission · R1 · 2:10 · Lightweight
W
Mateusz Jaworek
ALMMA 199· Jun 13, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Hubert Mroczek
ALMMA 197· May 29, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Konrad Kłos
ALMMA 197· May 29, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Patryk Łaba
ALMMA 197· May 29, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Filip Gierczak
ALMMA 193: Puchar Polski MMA 2021· May 15, 2021
Submission · R1 · 1:17 · Lightweight
W
Wojciech Grzesik
ALMMA 193: Puchar Polski MMA 2021· May 15, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
W
Szymon Pyrdoł
ALMMA 193: Puchar Polski MMA 2021· May 15, 2021
Submission · R1 · 3:10 · Lightweight
W
Cezary Falkowski
ALMMA 193: Puchar Polski MMA 2021· May 15, 2021
Submission · R1 · 3:55 · Lightweight
W
Jakub Kazimierczak
ALMMA 192· Mar 13, 2021
Submission · R1 · 3:43 · Lightweight
W
Szymon Romańczuk
ALMMA 192· Mar 13, 2021
Submission · R1 · 1:06 · Lightweight
W
Antoni Walczak
ALMMA 192· Mar 13, 2021
DEC · Lightweight
L
Nicolas Kopiński
ALMMA 185: Mistrzostwa Wielkopolski· Oct 24, 2020
DEC · Featherweight
L
Mateusz Balko
ALMMA 183· Sep 19, 2020
DEC · Featherweight

Aleksander Budzilek1-0

W
Arkadiusz Ojczyk
Contra MMA 5· May 11, 2024
Submission · Featherweight

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Kacper Fornalski vs Aleksander Budzilek?

Kacper Fornalski defeated Aleksander Budzilek by Submission in round 1 (4:09) in the Lightweight bout of KSW 98: Paczuski vs Zerhouni, held Saturday, September 14, 2024 at Hala RCS, Lubin.

Get this bout's result and round-by-round stats as JSON with the MMA Fight Data API →