Breen vs Ferreira Result & Stats: Breen wins by UD · Cage Warriors 191, Sat, Jun 28, 2025

Cage WarriorsCage Warriors 191

Fran BreenWIN

5-2-0

SUBSDUD

RESULT

Unanimous Decision

ROUND 3 · 5:00

Flyweight5 rounds scheduled

Full card

Mario Ferreira

2-1-0

UDUDSUB

Saturday, June 28, 2025BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Fran Breen defeated Mario Ferreira by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (05:00) in the Flyweight bout of Cage Warriors 191, held Saturday, June 28, 2025 at BEC Arena, Manchester. The judges scored it 30-27, 30-27, 30-27, Fran Breen won the decision.

The result

Fran BreenWIN

def. Mario Ferreira

Unanimous Decision

Round 3 · 05:00

Judges30-2730-2730-27

Referee: Paul Crossley
Time format: 5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Fran BreenMario Ferreira

53%Power Index✓ Called it47%

44%Market · 7 sportsbooks✗ Missed56%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 7 sportsbooks.

Fran Breen

+118

46% implied win probability · Open: -101

Mario Ferreira

-146

59% implied win probability · Open: -127

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

What happened

Every judge gave Fran Breen all 3 rounds.
Fran Breen dropped Mario Ferreira once.
Fran Breen out-landed Mario Ferreira 55 to 11 in significant strikes.
Fran Breen controlled Mario Ferreira for 5:13 of the fight.

Tale of the tape

5-2-0

Record

2-1-0

5'7" · 170 cm

Height

5'7" · 170 cm

67" · 170 cm

Reach

67" · 170 cm

Win Streak

1557

Power Index

1536

3-2

Last 5

2-1

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Fight stats: totals

Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts

Fran BreenMario Ferreira

Knockdowns

Significant strikes

156

Total strikes

3 / 4

Takedowns

1 / 5

75%

Takedown accuracy

20%

5:13

Control time

2:31

Where it landed

Significant strikes landed by target in this fight

Fran BreenMario Ferreira

3564%

Head

655%

1425%

Body

218%

611%

Leg

327%

Where it happened

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

62%31%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

#	Breen	Ferreira
1	10	9
2	10	9
3	10	9

#	Breen	Ferreira
1	10	9
2	10	9
3	10	9

#	Breen	Ferreira
1	10	9
2	10	9
3	10	9

Betting Odds

Fran Breen

+118

46% implied win probability

Open: -101Best: +130

Mario Ferreira

-146

59% implied win probability

Open: -127Best: -135

Average moneyline across 7 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Fran Breen	Mario Ferreira
Bet105	+122	-149
BetAnything	+115	-145
BetOnline	+126	-146
BetUS	+130	-160
Betway	+105	-138
Bovada	+115	-150
DraftKings	+114	-135

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Insights

Fran Breen's last two losses were both stopped early.

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

73%

Head

55%

14%

Body

18%

12%

Leg

27%

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Fran Breenlast 6 fights

55%25%20%

Mario Ferreiralast 1 fight

62%31%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Fran Breen· from fights outside the UFC Mario Ferreira· from fights outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

3.930.73

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Good · better than 66% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

2.133.67

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Elite · better than 88% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Average · better than 41% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

2.131.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Good · better than 74% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Average · better than 42% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

80%20%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Poor · better than 15% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

56%25%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Below avg · better than 36% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Poor · better than 5% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.500.00

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Fran Breen · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersMario Ferreira · Poor · better than 0% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1497 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

3.93

Strikes landed / min

0.73

2.13

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

3.67

2.13 / 2.7

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.00 / 5.0

80%

Takedown accuracy

20%

56%

Takedown defence

25%

3:24

Control time / fight

2:31

0.50

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.00

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Fran Breen6 fights · by range and by target

Range

53%Distance · 191

38%Clinch · 137

8%Ground · 30

Target

73%Head · 162

14%Body · 32

12%Leg · 27

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Mario Ferreira1 fight · by range and by target

Range

59%Distance · 10

35%Clinch · 6

6%Ground · 1

Target

55%Head · 6

18%Body · 2

27%Leg · 3

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Fran Breen4 of 7 ended early · 57%3 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

Mario Ferreira1 of 3 ended early · 33%2 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Fran Breen3-2

L
Davi Santos
Cage Warriors 207: Brown vs. Davies · Jun 20, 2026
Submission · R2 · 2:29 · Flyweight
W
Ayoub Nacer
Cage Warriors 198 · Nov 22, 2025
Split Decision · R2 · 0:51 · Flyweight
W
Mario Ferreira
Cage Warriors 191 · Jun 28, 2025
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
W
Elves Oliveira
Cage Warriors 185 · Mar 15, 2025
TKO · R1 · 4:17 · Flyweight
L
Davide Scarano
Cage Warriors 175 · Jul 25, 2024
Submission · R1 · 4:46 · Flyweight

Full record · 7 fights

W
Costin Buhnă
Cage Warriors 168 · Mar 16, 2024
TKO · R3 · 1:21 · Flyweight
W
Enrique Montalvo
Cage Warriors 155: San Diego · Jun 2, 2023
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight

Mario Ferreira2-1

W
Alejandro Manzorro
WOW 30: Lisboa · May 22, 2026
Unanimous Decision · Flyweight
L
Fran Breen
Cage Warriors 191 · Jun 28, 2025
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Flyweight
W
Carlos Rocha
Fighter Combat League 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Submission · R1 · 2:57 · Flyweight

Fight stats: totals

Where it landed

Where it happened

Round by round

Judges' Scorecards

Betting Odds

Insights

Sig. strikes by zone

Time in position

How good, really

Striking & grappling

Where the strikes land

When it ends

Recent form · last 5

Frequently asked questions

Who won Fran Breen vs Mario Ferreira?

What were the judges' scorecards for Fran Breen vs Mario Ferreira?