Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Welterweight3 rounds scheduled
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Daniil Donchenko vs Punahele Soriano

Punahele Soriano
Puna
13-4-0
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Accor Arena, Paris, France

Win probability

Daniil Donchenko 57%43% Punahele Soriano

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

15-2-0
Record
13-4-0
1850
Power Index rating
1801
3
Win Streak
4
25
Age
33
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
72"
183 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Welterweight
Weight Class
Welterweight
Ukraine
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

8.07
SLpM
4.42
62%
Str. Acc.
53%
2.80
SApM
3.31
70%
Str. Def.
47%

Grappling Profile

0.58
TD Avg.
1.97
33%
TD Acc.
51%
75%
TD Def.
48%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.10

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Daniil Donchenko · 5-0
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs Torres · Jun 27, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 1:35 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    Noche UFC: Lopes vs Silva · Sep 13, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 4:27 · Welterweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter 33 · Mar 12, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:11 · Welterweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter 33 · Feb 19, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · Welterweight
Punahele Soriano · 4-1
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC 320: Ankalaev vs Pereira 2 · Oct 4, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 0:31 · Welterweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Welterweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs Tsarukyan · Dec 2, 2023
    Submission · R2 · 4:10 · Middleweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 12 fights
70.0
Avg sig. strikes
44.8
0.33
Avg takedowns
1.33
1:17
Avg control time
2:58
100
Career high strikes
144
1
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Daniil Donchenko
Strike target
Punahele Soriano
43%
Head
78%
26%
Body
20%
31%
Leg
3%
Daniil Donchenko
Strike position
Punahele Soriano
79%
Distance
50%
11%
Clinch
8%
10%
Ground
43%

Betting Odds

Daniil Donchenko
-225
69% implied win probability
Open: -237Best: -203
Punahele Soriano
+183
35% implied win probability
Open: +159Best: +212

Average moneyline across 21 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Daniil DonchenkoPunahele Soriano
30%40%50%60%70%Aug 26Aug 28Aug 29Aug 30Aug 26, 8:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -217 (68%)Aug 27, 6:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -216 (68%)Aug 28, 4:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -217 (68%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -218 (69%)Aug 28, 8:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -217 (68%)Aug 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -217 (68%)Aug 29, 4:20 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -219 (69%)Aug 29, 8:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -223 (69%)Aug 29, 10:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -223 (69%)Aug 29, 12:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -222 (69%)Aug 29, 2:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -227 (69%)Aug 29, 6:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -226 (69%)Aug 29, 8:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -225 (69%)Aug 29, 10:50 PM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -225 (69%)Aug 30, 2:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -222 (69%)Aug 30, 4:20 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -224 (69%)Aug 30, 4:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -225 (69%)Aug 30, 6:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -224 (69%)Aug 30, 8:50 AM UTC · Daniil Donchenko -225 (69%)Aug 26, 8:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +179 (36%)Aug 27, 6:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +178 (36%)Aug 28, 4:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +178 (36%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +178 (36%)Aug 28, 8:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +179 (36%)Aug 28, 10:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +180 (36%)Aug 29, 4:20 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +180 (36%)Aug 29, 8:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +181 (36%)Aug 29, 10:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +180 (36%)Aug 29, 12:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +180 (36%)Aug 29, 2:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +177 (36%)Aug 29, 6:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +177 (36%)Aug 29, 8:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +179 (36%)Aug 29, 10:50 PM UTC · Punahele Soriano +182 (35%)Aug 30, 2:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +179 (36%)Aug 30, 4:20 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +181 (36%)Aug 30, 4:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +182 (35%)Aug 30, 6:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +182 (35%)Aug 30, 8:50 AM UTC · Punahele Soriano +183 (35%)-225+183
SportsbookDaniil DonchenkoPunahele Soriano
4casters-268+185
4Cx-275+186
Bet105-230+193
BetMGM-220+180
BetOnline-215+183
BetRivers-213+170
BetUS-215+178
Betway-225+175
Bookmaker-215+172
Bovada-220+185
Caesars-220+180
Circa-215+185
Cloudbet-250+185
FanDuel-220+168
HardRockBet-210+170
Kalshi-203+203
MyBookie-228+174
Pinnacle-230+193
Polymarket-223+212
ProphetX-235+184
YouWager-215+183

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io