Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Women's Strawweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Ketlen Souza
Esquentadinha
17-6-0
RESULT

Ketlen Souza def. Ariane Carnelossi (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 1:34
Ariane Carnelossi
Sorriso
15-5-0
Saturday, June 6, 2026
Meta Apex, Las Vegas, United States

Ketlen Souza defeated Ariane Carnelossi by TKO in round 1 (1:34) in the Women's Strawweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim, held Saturday, June 6, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Ketlen Souza
Ariane Carnelossi
1
Knockdowns
0
13 of 17
Significant strikes
8 of 21
76%
Sig. strike accuracy
38%
13 of 17
Total strikes
8 of 21
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:03
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
11 of 15
Head
4 of 12
0 of 0
Body
3 of 8
2 of 2
Leg
1 of 1
12 of 16
Distance
8 of 21
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
1 of 1
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
13 of 17
Sig. str.
8 of 21
13 of 17
Total str.
8 of 21
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:03
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Ketlen Souza
-346
78% implied win probability
Open: -281Best: -300
Ariane Carnelossi
+277
27% implied win probability
Open: +203Best: +300

Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.

SportsbookKetlen SouzaAriane Carnelossi
4casters-380+287
4Cx-341+276
Bet105-336+287
BetAnything-360+240
BetMGM-375+280
BetOnline-350+285
BetRivers-345+265
BetUS-350+279
Betway-333+250
Bookmaker-335+271
Bovada-360+280
Caesars-370+290
Circa-350+290
Cloudbet-377+258
DraftKings-355+280
FanDuel-320+260
HardRockBet-350+260
Kalshi-317+300
MyBookie-360+275
Pinnacle-335+286
Polymarket-300+285
ProphetX-315+300
Stake-345+280
SXBet-376+296
YouWager-350+270

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Ketlen Souza vs Ariane Carnelossi?

Ketlen Souza defeated Ariane Carnelossi by TKO in round 1 (1:34) in the Women's Strawweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim, held Saturday, June 6, 2026 at Meta Apex, Las Vegas.

Referee
Chris Tognoni
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Ketlen Souza 61%39% Ariane Carnelossi

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Women's Strawweight roster (78 fighters)

Ketlen Souza
Knockout Artist
8 edges
Ariane Carnelossi
Grappling Specialist
3 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

97Power54
97Speed63
93Precision50
78Durability70
80Engine89
87Wrestling77
70Ground75

Biggest edge Ketlen Souza, Punch power +47

Attribute by attribute

Ketlen Souza is on the left of every row, Ariane Carnelossi on the right.
96Punch power49
97Kick power59
96Punch speed63
98Kick speed62
93Accuracy50
87Takedowns77
49Ground striking57
91Submissions93
88Chin78
67Body strength62
80Cardio89

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

17-6-0
Record
15-5-0
1695
Power Index rating
1617
2
Win Streak
0
31
Age
33
5'3"
160 cm
Height
5'2"
157 cm
63"
160 cm
Reach
61"
155 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Strawweight
Weight Class
Women's Strawweight
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

4.11
SLpM
2.68
57%
Str. Acc.
38%
3.89
SApM
4.69
53%
Str. Def.
43%

Grappling Profile

0.45
TD Avg.
1.06
13%
TD Acc.
50%
53%
TD Def.
22%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.20

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Ketlen Souza · 3-2
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:34 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Taira vs Park · Aug 2, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Rodrigues · Feb 15, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC O'Malley vs Dvalishvili · Sep 14, 2024
    Submission · R1 · 3:02 · Women's Strawweight
Ariane Carnelossi · 2-3
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:34 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs Onama · Nov 1, 2025
    Submission · R3 · 4:36 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs Murphy · May 18, 2024
    Disqualification · R2 · 3:16 · Women's Strawweight
  • L
    UFC 274: Oliveira vs Gaethje · May 7, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Strawweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs Dumont Viana · Oct 16, 2021
    Submission · R3 · 2:57 · Women's Strawweight

Career Averages

Based on 7 fights · 7 fights
39.0
Avg sig. strikes
27.1
0.29
Avg takedowns
0.71
1:54
Avg control time
1:48
80
Career high strikes
72
1
Career high TDs
5

Strike Distribution

Ketlen Souza
Strike target
Ariane Carnelossi
55%
Head
66%
27%
Body
14%
18%
Leg
20%
Ketlen Souza
Strike position
Ariane Carnelossi
85%
Distance
76%
14%
Clinch
16%
1%
Ground
8%