Ultimate Fighting Calendar
BantamweightPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
RESULT

Marlon Moraes def. Raphael Assuncao (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 3:17
WIN
Marlon Moraes
Magic
23-10-1
Sunday, February 3, 2019
Arena CFO, Fortaleza, Brazil

Marlon Moraes defeated Raphael Assuncao by Submission in round 1 (3:17) in the Bantamweight main event of UFC Fight Night, held Sunday, February 3, 2019 at Arena CFO, Fortaleza.

Fight stats

Raphael Assuncao
Marlon Moraes
0
Knockdowns
1
2 of 12
Significant strikes
10 of 23
17%
Sig. strike accuracy
43%
3 of 13
Total strikes
12 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
1
0
Reversals
0
0:00
Control time
1:15
Significant strikes by target
1 of 10
Head
8 of 17
0 of 0
Body
0 of 2
1 of 2
Leg
2 of 4
2 of 12
Distance
7 of 18
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
0 of 0
Ground
3 of 5

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
2 of 12
Sig. str.
10 of 23
3 of 13
Total str.
12 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
1
0:00
Ctrl
1:15

Betting Odds

Raphael Assuncao
+144
41% implied win probability
Open: +169Best: +138
Marlon Moraes
-176
64% implied win probability
Open: -217Best: -159

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Raphael AssuncaoMarlon Moraes
30%40%50%60%70%Dec 27Jan 9Jan 21Feb 3Dec 27, 6:33 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +160 (38%)Dec 28, 5:36 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +155 (39%)Dec 28, 7:03 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +170 (37%)Dec 28, 11:06 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +150 (40%)Dec 31, 5:51 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +155 (39%)Jan 1, 3:12 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +160 (38%)Jan 2, 7:42 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +155 (39%)Jan 3, 3:30 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +158 (39%)Jan 4, 1:09 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +160 (38%)Jan 7, 3:09 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +162 (38%)Jan 8, 10:12 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +167 (37%)Jan 9, 2:24 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +165 (38%)Jan 10, 4:33 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +167 (37%)Jan 18, 9:03 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +173 (37%)Jan 18, 4:09 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +175 (36%)Jan 20, 9:39 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +177 (36%)Jan 21, 5:24 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +175 (36%)Jan 21, 10:45 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +177 (36%)Jan 22, 1:27 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +178 (36%)Jan 23, 7:09 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +178 (36%)Jan 24, 9:48 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +179 (36%)Jan 25, 6:09 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +174 (36%)Jan 25, 8:33 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +174 (36%)Jan 25, 8:36 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +174 (36%)Jan 25, 8:42 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +174 (36%)Jan 28, 3:24 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +170 (37%)Jan 28, 3:30 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +174 (36%)Jan 28, 3:33 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +170 (37%)Jan 28, 5:09 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +162 (38%)Jan 28, 10:45 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +160 (38%)Jan 28, 10:48 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +158 (39%)Jan 29, 3:33 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +157 (39%)Jan 29, 3:36 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +158 (39%)Jan 29, 3:39 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +157 (39%)Jan 29, 7:18 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +156 (39%)Jan 29, 5:06 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +153 (40%)Jan 29, 11:15 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +151 (40%)Jan 29, 11:18 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +153 (40%)Jan 29, 11:24 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +151 (40%)Jan 30, 6:57 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +153 (40%)Feb 1, 12:06 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +152 (40%)Feb 1, 12:48 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +152 (40%)Feb 1, 2:03 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +150 (40%)Feb 1, 8:36 PM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +149 (40%)Feb 2, 6:03 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +148 (40%)Feb 2, 6:06 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +145 (41%)Feb 2, 6:09 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +148 (40%)Feb 2, 6:12 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 2, 6:15 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +145 (41%)Feb 2, 6:21 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 4:21 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +142 (41%)Feb 3, 7:18 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +141 (41%)Feb 3, 7:27 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +142 (41%)Feb 3, 9:39 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 10:18 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +145 (41%)Feb 3, 10:36 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 10:48 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +140 (42%)Feb 3, 11:15 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 11:18 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 11:21 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +143 (41%)Feb 3, 11:27 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Feb 3, 11:33 AM UTC · Raphael Assuncao +144 (41%)Dec 27, 6:33 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -200 (67%)Dec 28, 5:36 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -190 (66%)Dec 28, 7:03 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -210 (68%)Dec 28, 11:06 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -185 (65%)Dec 31, 5:51 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -190 (66%)Jan 1, 3:12 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -200 (67%)Jan 2, 7:42 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -200 (67%)Jan 3, 3:30 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -202 (67%)Jan 4, 1:09 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -205 (67%)Jan 7, 3:09 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -212 (68%)Jan 8, 10:12 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -220 (69%)Jan 9, 2:24 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -212 (68%)Jan 10, 4:33 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -220 (69%)Jan 18, 9:03 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -225 (69%)Jan 18, 4:09 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -226 (69%)Jan 20, 9:39 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -228 (70%)Jan 21, 5:24 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -226 (69%)Jan 21, 10:45 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -226 (69%)Jan 22, 1:27 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -230 (70%)Jan 23, 7:09 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -231 (70%)Jan 24, 9:48 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -232 (70%)Jan 25, 6:09 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -227 (69%)Jan 25, 8:33 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -225 (69%)Jan 25, 8:36 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -227 (69%)Jan 25, 8:42 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -225 (69%)Jan 28, 3:24 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -217 (68%)Jan 28, 3:30 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -225 (69%)Jan 28, 3:33 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -217 (68%)Jan 28, 5:09 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -206 (67%)Jan 28, 10:45 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -203 (67%)Jan 28, 10:48 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -200 (67%)Jan 29, 3:33 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -199 (67%)Jan 29, 3:36 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -200 (67%)Jan 29, 3:39 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -199 (67%)Jan 29, 7:18 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -197 (66%)Jan 29, 5:06 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -193 (66%)Jan 29, 11:15 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -189 (65%)Jan 29, 11:18 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -193 (66%)Jan 29, 11:24 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -189 (65%)Jan 30, 6:57 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -193 (66%)Feb 1, 12:06 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -190 (66%)Feb 1, 12:48 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -189 (65%)Feb 1, 2:03 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -186 (65%)Feb 1, 8:36 PM UTC · Marlon Moraes -183 (65%)Feb 2, 6:03 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -181 (64%)Feb 2, 6:06 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 2, 6:09 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -181 (64%)Feb 2, 6:12 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 2, 6:15 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 2, 6:21 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 3, 4:21 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -175 (64%)Feb 3, 7:18 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -173 (63%)Feb 3, 7:27 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -175 (64%)Feb 3, 9:39 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 3, 10:18 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -178 (64%)Feb 3, 10:36 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 3, 10:48 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -172 (63%)Feb 3, 11:15 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -175 (64%)Feb 3, 11:18 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -176 (64%)Feb 3, 11:21 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -177 (64%)Feb 3, 11:27 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -175 (64%)Feb 3, 11:33 AM UTC · Marlon Moraes -176 (64%)+144-176
SportsbookRaphael AssuncaoMarlon Moraes
Bookmaker+138-165
Bovada+130-160
sports-interaction+130-170
unibet+130-159

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Raphael Assuncao vs Marlon Moraes?

Marlon Moraes defeated Raphael Assuncao by Submission in round 1 (3:17) in the Bantamweight main event of UFC Fight Night, held Sunday, February 3, 2019 at Arena CFO, Fortaleza.

Referee
Jason Herzog
Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Raphael Assuncao 40%60% Marlon Moraes

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Fight DNA

Head to head

UFCalendar's style model · Bantamweight roster (170 fighters)

Raphael Assuncao
Pressure Wrestler
6 edges
Marlon Moraes
Knockout Artist
4 edges
PowerSpeedPrecisionDurabilityEngineWrestlingGround

Radar scaled to this matchup · bars show the gap

Style shape

71Power95
97Speed92
96Precision66
91Durability70
98Engine73
95Wrestling77
74Ground87

Biggest edge Marlon Moraes, Punch power +48

Attribute by attribute

Raphael Assuncao is on the left of every row, Marlon Moraes on the right.
49Punch power97
93Kick power93
96Punch speed97
97Kick speed86
96Accuracy66
95Takedowns77
70Ground striking82
77Submissions91
86Chin63
95Body strength77
98Cardio73

Attributes are rated 0-100 by UFCalendar's style model.

Tale of the Tape

28-10-0
Record
23-10-1
1782
Power Index rating
1850
0
Win Streak
0
44
Age
38
5'5"
165 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
66"
168 cm
Reach
67"
170 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
Brazil
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

3.22
SLpM
3.37
42%
Str. Acc.
40%
2.50
SApM
4.53
66%
Str. Def.
54%

Grappling Profile

1.65
TD Avg.
0.87
39%
TD Acc.
41%
78%
TD Def.
46%
0.20
Sub. Avg.
0.30

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Raphael Assuncao · 1-4
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Yan vs Dvalishvili · Mar 11, 2023
    Submission · R3 · 4:43 · Bantamweight
  • W
    UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs Araujo · Oct 15, 2022
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs Daukaus · Dec 18, 2021
    TKO · R2 · 2:14 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC 250: Nunes vs Spencer · Jun 6, 2020
    TKO · R2 · 4:59 · Bantamweight
  • L
    UFC 241: Cormier vs Miocic · Aug 17, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
Marlon Moraes · 0-5
  • L
    ACBJJ 19 · Nov 14, 2025
    Submission
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - PFL 4: 2023 Regular Season · Jun 7, 2023
    Knockout · R1 · 3:02 · Featherweight
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - PFL 1: 2023 Regular Season · Mar 31, 2023
    TKO · R2 · 1:11 · Featherweight
  • L
    Professional Fighters League - 2022 Season PFL Championships · Nov 24, 2022
    TKO · R3 · 0:58 · Featherweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Santos vs Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
    TKO · R1 · 2:06 · Bantamweight

Career Averages

Based on 19 fights · 14 fights
41.4
Avg sig. strikes
26.4
1.26
Avg takedowns
0.50
1:33
Avg control time
0:33
100
Career high strikes
59
5
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Raphael Assuncao
Strike target
Marlon Moraes
53%
Head
65%
16%
Body
16%
31%
Leg
19%
Raphael Assuncao
Strike position
Marlon Moraes
81%
Distance
85%
10%
Clinch
1%
9%
Ground
14%