Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Flyweight4 rounds scheduled
WIN
Takaya Suzuki
RESULT

Takaya Suzuki def. Joseph Larcinese (TKO)

TKO · Round 3 · 0:15
Joseph Larcinese
Big Sexy
6-0-0
Friday, August 28, 2026

Takaya Suzuki defeated Joseph Larcinese by TKO in round 3 (0:15) in the Flyweight bout of Road To UFC: Maheshate vs Flowers, held Friday, August 28, 2026.

Fight stats

Takaya Suzuki
Joseph Larcinese
1
Knockdowns
0
67 of 121
Significant strikes
22 of 61
55%
Sig. strike accuracy
36%
68 of 122
Total strikes
22 of 61
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
-
Takedown accuracy
0%
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
1:05
Control time
0:02
Significant strikes by target
41 of 91
Head
10 of 44
16 of 19
Body
5 of 9
10 of 11
Leg
7 of 8
59 of 111
Distance
22 of 61
0 of 0
Clinch
0 of 0
8 of 10
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
26 of 44
Sig. str.
11 of 24
26 of 44
Total str.
11 of 24
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
1
KD
0
37 of 71
Sig. str.
11 of 37
38 of 72
Total str.
11 of 37
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 2
0
Sub. att
0
1:03
Ctrl
0:02
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
4 of 6
Sig. str.
0 of 0
4 of 6
Total str.
0 of 0
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:02
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Takaya Suzuki
-793
89% implied win probability
Open: -391Best: -697
Joseph Larcinese
+539
16% implied win probability
Open: +322Best: +683

Average moneyline across 11 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Takaya SuzukiJoseph Larcinese
10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%Aug 28, 10 AMAug 28, 1 PMAug 28, 4 PMAug 28, 6 PMAug 28, 10:50 AM UTC · Takaya Suzuki -771 (89%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Takaya Suzuki -793 (89%)Aug 28, 10:50 AM UTC · Joseph Larcinese +522 (16%)Aug 28, 6:50 PM UTC · Joseph Larcinese +539 (16%)-793+539
SportsbookTakaya SuzukiJoseph Larcinese
Bet105-1020+683
BetAnything-740+425
BetMGM-700+500
BetOnline-740+528
BetUS-740+495
Bookmaker-841+520
Bovada-750+500
Cloudbet-971+600
DraftKings-900+600
Pinnacle-697+510
YouWager-765+565

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Takaya Suzuki vs Joseph Larcinese?

Takaya Suzuki defeated Joseph Larcinese by TKO in round 3 (0:15) in the Flyweight bout of Road To UFC: Maheshate vs Flowers, held Friday, August 28, 2026.

Referee
Herb Dean
Pre-fight comparison

UFCalendar model win probability

Takaya Suzuki 54%46% Joseph Larcinese

What drove this number

  • Age & prime
    22.0Age27.9
    in primein prime
  • Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
    0.0Career wins0.0
  • Opposition level (Power Index)(small sample, gap discounted)
    1606.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1605.0
    -Power Index trend (last 3)-1.0
    50%Power Index win expectancy50%
  • Layoff & stance
  • Size & reach

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Takaya Suzuki 48%52% Joseph Larcinese

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

8-1-0
Record
6-0-0
1691
Power Index rating
1703
1
Win Streak
0
21
Age
27
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'3"
160 cm
68"
173 cm
Reach
64"
163 cm
-
Stance
-
Flyweight
Weight Class
Flyweight
Japan
Nationality
Australia

Striking Profile

6.54
SLpM
2.15
55%
Str. Acc.
36%
2.15
SApM
6.54
64%
Str. Def.
45%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
0.00
-
TD Acc.
0%
100%
TD Def.
-
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Takaya Suzuki · 5-0
Joseph Larcinese · 4-1
  • L
    Road To UFC: Maheshate vs Flowers · Aug 28, 2026
    TKO · R3 · 0:15 · Flyweight
  • W
    Road to UFC · May 29, 2026
    Split Decision · Flyweight
  • W
    Eternal MMA 102 · Jan 31, 2026
    TKO · R3 · 4:24 · Flyweight
  • W
    Eternal MMA 97 · Jun 28, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 3:42 · Flyweight
  • W
    Eternal MMA 90 · Nov 29, 2024
    Submission · R3 · 4:39 · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 1 fight · 1 fight
67.0
Avg sig. strikes
22.0
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.00
1:05
Avg control time
0:02
67
Career high strikes
22
0
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Takaya Suzuki
Strike target
Joseph Larcinese
61%
Head
45%
24%
Body
23%
15%
Leg
32%
Takaya Suzuki
Strike position
Joseph Larcinese
88%
Distance
100%
12%
Ground
0%