Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Women's Flyweight★ Performance of the Night3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Carli Judice
United StatesCarli Judice
“Crispy”
7-2-0
RESULT

Carli Judice def. Jeisla Chaves (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 1:39
Jeisla Chaves
BrazilJeisla Chaves
“A Braba”
8-1-0
Saturday, August 22, 2026
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, United States

Carli Judice defeated Jeisla Chaves by TKO in round 1 (1:39) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues, held Saturday, August 22, 2026 at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento.

Fight stats

Carli Judice
Jeisla Chaves
1
Knockdowns
0
16 of 35
Significant strikes
10 of 28
46%
Sig. strike accuracy
36%
16 of 35
Total strikes
10 of 28
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
0:02
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
9 of 25
Head
4 of 21
7 of 10
Body
5 of 6
0 of 0
Leg
1 of 1
12 of 31
Distance
9 of 27
2 of 2
Clinch
1 of 1
2 of 2
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
1
KD
0
16 of 35
Sig. str.
10 of 28
16 of 35
Total str.
10 of 28
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:02
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Carli Judice
-610
86% implied win probability
Open: -504Best: -525
Jeisla Chaves
+459
18% implied win probability
Open: +328Best: +515

Average moneyline across 25 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Carli JudiceJeisla Chaves
20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%Aug 8Aug 13Aug 18Aug 23Aug 8, 10:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -3233 (97%)Aug 9, 2:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -1900 (95%)Aug 9, 6:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -1900 (95%)Aug 9, 10:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -2400 (96%)Aug 10, 2:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -2400 (96%)Aug 10, 4:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -1900 (95%)Aug 10, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -1900 (95%)Aug 10, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -1567 (94%)Aug 11, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -2400 (96%)Aug 11, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -1329 (93%)Aug 11, 6:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -1329 (93%)Aug 11, 10:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -1567 (94%)Aug 11, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -1900 (95%)Aug 11, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -565 (85%)Aug 12, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -482 (83%)Aug 12, 6:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -514 (84%)Aug 12, 12:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -471 (82%)Aug 12, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -458 (82%)Aug 13, 2:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -459 (82%)Aug 13, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -460 (82%)Aug 14, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -213 (68%)Aug 14, 6:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -480 (83%)Aug 15, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -485 (83%)Aug 16, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -486 (83%)Aug 16, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -483 (83%)Aug 16, 2:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -507 (84%)Aug 16, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -499 (83%)Aug 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -499 (83%)Aug 17, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -498 (83%)Aug 17, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -498 (83%)Aug 17, 2:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -513 (84%)Aug 17, 6:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -539 (84%)Aug 17, 10:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -538 (84%)Aug 18, 2:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -538 (84%)Aug 18, 4:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -538 (84%)Aug 18, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -542 (84%)Aug 18, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -549 (85%)Aug 18, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -550 (85%)Aug 19, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -549 (85%)Aug 19, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -545 (84%)Aug 19, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -546 (85%)Aug 19, 12:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -547 (85%)Aug 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -559 (85%)Aug 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -558 (85%)Aug 20, 8:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -562 (85%)Aug 20, 12:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -566 (85%)Aug 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -561 (85%)Aug 20, 8:51 PM UTC · Carli Judice -587 (85%)Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -586 (85%)Aug 21, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -587 (85%)Aug 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -585 (85%)Aug 21, 9:58 AM UTC · Carli Judice -585 (85%)Aug 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -584 (85%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -592 (86%)Aug 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -584 (85%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -578 (85%)Aug 22, 4:20 AM UTC · Carli Judice -576 (85%)Aug 22, 12:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -583 (85%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -578 (85%)Aug 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Carli Judice -584 (85%)Aug 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Carli Judice -610 (86%)Aug 8, 10:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -3233 (97%)Aug 9, 2:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -194 (66%)Aug 9, 6:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -194 (66%)Aug 9, 10:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -194 (66%)Aug 10, 2:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -203 (67%)Aug 10, 4:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -194 (66%)Aug 10, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -194 (66%)Aug 10, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -203 (67%)Aug 11, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -186 (65%)Aug 11, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -178 (64%)Aug 11, 6:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -186 (65%)Aug 11, 10:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -178 (64%)Aug 11, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves -178 (64%)Aug 11, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +254 (28%)Aug 12, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +325 (24%)Aug 12, 6:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +296 (25%)Aug 12, 12:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +333 (23%)Aug 12, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +342 (23%)Aug 13, 2:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +343 (23%)Aug 13, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +341 (23%)Aug 14, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +317 (24%)Aug 14, 6:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +353 (22%)Aug 15, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +355 (22%)Aug 16, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +362 (22%)Aug 16, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +363 (22%)Aug 16, 2:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +377 (21%)Aug 16, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +377 (21%)Aug 17, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +375 (21%)Aug 17, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +376 (21%)Aug 17, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +371 (21%)Aug 17, 2:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +378 (21%)Aug 17, 6:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +399 (20%)Aug 17, 10:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +403 (20%)Aug 18, 2:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +402 (20%)Aug 18, 4:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +400 (20%)Aug 18, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +404 (20%)Aug 18, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +410 (20%)Aug 18, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +411 (20%)Aug 19, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +411 (20%)Aug 19, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +411 (20%)Aug 19, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +412 (20%)Aug 19, 12:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +411 (20%)Aug 19, 6:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +421 (19%)Aug 19, 10:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +420 (19%)Aug 20, 8:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +420 (19%)Aug 20, 12:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +421 (19%)Aug 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +420 (19%)Aug 20, 8:51 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +433 (19%)Aug 21, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +432 (19%)Aug 21, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +435 (19%)Aug 21, 6:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +433 (19%)Aug 21, 9:58 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +433 (19%)Aug 21, 12:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +433 (19%)Aug 21, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +435 (19%)Aug 21, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +435 (19%)Aug 22, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +436 (19%)Aug 22, 4:20 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +439 (19%)Aug 22, 12:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +442 (18%)Aug 22, 4:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +444 (18%)Aug 22, 8:50 PM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +447 (18%)Aug 23, 12:50 AM UTC · Jeisla Chaves +459 (18%)-610+459
SportsbookCarli JudiceJeisla Chaves
4casters-555+502
4Cx-567+479
Bet105-604+483
BetAnything-655+390
BetMGM-650+475
BetOnline-600+425
BetRivers-625+420
BetUS-615+435
Betway-549+400
Bookmaker-575+431
Bovada-600+450
Caesars-650+460
Circa-615+465
Cloudbet-667+475
DraftKings-625+455
FanDuel-590+430
HardRockBet-650+425
Kalshi-614+488
MyBookie-725+480
Pinnacle-600+481
Polymarket-525+488
ProphetX-650+475
Stake-588+440
SXBet-590+515
YouWager-650+500

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves?

Carli Judice defeated Jeisla Chaves by TKO in round 1 (1:39) in the Women's Flyweight bout of UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues, held Saturday, August 22, 2026 at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento.

Referee
David Shurley
Time format
3 Rnd (5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison▾

UFCalendar model win probability

Carli Judice 61%39% Jeisla Chaves

What drove this number

  • Opposition level (Power Index)
    1686.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1673.0
    52%Power Index win expectancy48%
  • Full career(small sample, gap discounted)
    75%Career win rate100%
    6.0Career wins8.0
    1407.0Career length1225.0
  • Pre-UFC pedigree
    75%Pre-UFC win rate100%
    3.0Pre-UFC wins7.0
    1.0Pre-UFC losses0.0
  • UFC record
    3.0Win streak1.0
    4.0UFC experience1.0
    75%UFC win rate100%
  • Striking
    60%Striking defense45%
    8.7Strikes landed/min4.3
    48%Striking accuracy65%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Carli Judice 52%48% Jeisla Chaves

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

7-2-0
Record
8-1-0
1685
Power Index rating
1674
4
Win Streak
0
27
Age
29
5'7"
170 cm
Height
5'6"
168 cm
68"
173 cm
Reach
68"
173 cm
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Women's Flyweight
Weight Class
Women's Flyweight
United States
Nationality
Brazil

Striking Profile

9.33
SLpM
5.02
50%
Str. Acc.
54%
6.60
SApM
4.49
57%
Str. Def.
53%

Grappling Profile

0.50
TD Avg.
1.42
25%
TD Acc.
37%
80%
TD Def.
62%
0.00
Sub. Avg.
0.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Carli Judice · 4-1
  • W
    Jeisla Chaves
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Aug 22, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:39 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Juliana Miller
    UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Nicolle Caliari
    UFC 318: Holloway vs Poirier 3 · Jul 19, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 1:30 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Yuneisy Duben
    UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:40 · Women's Flyweight
  • L
    Gabriella Fernandes
    UFC Fight Night: Perez vs Taira · Jun 15, 2024
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
Jeisla Chaves · 4-1
  • L
    Carli Judice
    UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs Rodrigues · Aug 22, 2026
    TKO · R1 · 1:39 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Yuneisy Duben
    UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim · Jun 6, 2026
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Women's Flyweight
  • W
    Sofia Montenegro
    Contender Series 2025 · Sep 23, 2025
    Split Decision · Flyweight
  • W
    Rebeca Sousa
    Demo Fight 21 · Apr 6, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 4:31 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Marcela Silva
    Gomes Fight Championship · Jul 6, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · Flyweight

Career Averages

Based on 6 fights · 2 fights
93.0
Avg sig. strikes
37.0
0.33
Avg takedowns
1.50
1:08
Avg control time
2:15
169
Career high strikes
64
2
Career high TDs
3

Strike Distribution

Carli Judice
Strike target
Jeisla Chaves
64%
Head
53%
30%
Body
34%
6%
Leg
14%
Carli Judice
Strike position
Jeisla Chaves
86%
Distance
61%
13%
Clinch
22%
1%
Ground
18%