Ultimate Fighting Calendar
UFCUFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov
Light Heavyweight3 rounds scheduled
Uran Satybaldiev
KyrgyzstanUran Satybaldiev
“Gorilla”
9-1-0
STARTS IN··d ··h ··m

Uran Satybaldiev vs Dustin Jacoby

Dustin Jacoby
United StatesDustin Jacoby
“The Hanyak”
22-10-1
Saturday, July 25, 2026
Etihad Arena, Yas Island/Yas West, United Arab Emirates

UFCalendar model win probability

Uran Satybaldiev 50%50% Dustin Jacoby

What drove this number

  • Opposition level (Power Index)
    34%Power Index win expectancy66%
    1519.0UFCalendar Power Index rating1632.0
  • Age & prime
    32.0Age38.3
    prime fading5.3y past prime
  • Striking
    25%Striking accuracy45%
    45%Striking defense58%
    2.1Strikes landed/min5.4
  • Grappling
    4.6Control conceded1.4
    50%Takedown defense61%
    0%Takedown accuracy17%
  • Size & reach
    79.0Reach76.0
    76.0Height75.0

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+.

Win probability

Uran Satybaldiev 53%47% Dustin Jacoby

Based on both fighters' current UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

9-1-0
Record
22-10-1
1757
Power Index rating
1736
1
Win Streak
0
32
Age
38
6'4"
193 cm
Height
6'3"
191 cm
79"
201 cm
Reach
76"
193 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Light Heavyweight
Weight Class
Light Heavyweight
Kyrgyzstan
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.14
SLpM
5.31
25%
Str. Acc.
47%
3.66
SApM
4.02
44%
Str. Def.
57%

Grappling Profile

0.00
TD Avg.
0.30
0%
TD Acc.
25%
50%
TD Def.
62%
1.70
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Uran Satybaldiev · 4-1
  • W
    Diyar Nurgozhay
    UFC Fight Night: Walker vs Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
    Submission · R1 · 2:45 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Martin Buday
    UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs Murphy · Apr 5, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Leon Soares
    LFA 203: Satybaldiev vs. Soares · Mar 6, 2025
    Submission · R3 · 2:19 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Bruno Assis
    LFA 178: Satybaldiev vs. Assis · Mar 8, 2024
    TKO · R4 · 3:27 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Gabriel Thimoteo
    LFA 165: Compton vs. Valente · Aug 18, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · Light Heavyweight
Dustin Jacoby · 3-2
  • L
    Muhammad Saidov
    UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs Guskov · Jul 25, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 4:49 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Julius Walker
    UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira · Feb 7, 2026
    TKO · R2 · 1:42 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Bruno Lopes
    UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs Klein · May 31, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 1:50 · Light Heavyweight
  • W
    Vitor Petrino
    UFC Fight Night: Covington vs Buckley · Dec 15, 2024
    TKO · R3 · 3:44 · Light Heavyweight
  • L
    Dominick Reyes
    UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs Imavov · Jun 8, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 2:00 · Light Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 2 fights · 18 fights
19.0
Avg sig. strikes
51.9
0.00
Avg takedowns
0.17
0:45
Avg control time
0:44
36
Career high strikes
153
0
Career high TDs
1

Strike Distribution

Uran Satybaldiev
Strike target
Dustin Jacoby
53%
Head
66%
16%
Body
14%
32%
Leg
20%
Uran Satybaldiev
Strike position
Dustin Jacoby
89%
Distance
90%
11%
Clinch
8%
0%
Ground
2%

Betting Odds

Uran Satybaldiev
-104
51% implied win probability
Open: -888Best: +100
Dustin Jacoby
+100
50% implied win probability
Open: -888Best: +104

Average moneyline across 2 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Uran SatybaldievDustin Jacoby
50%60%70%80%90%100%Jul 11Jul 14Jul 17Jul 20Jul 11, 10:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -4900 (98%)Jul 12, 9:54 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -614 (86%)Jul 12, 1:25 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 12, 2:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 12, 3:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 12, 4:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 12, 5:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -426 (81%)Jul 12, 5:24 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -400 (80%)Jul 12, 7:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -376 (79%)Jul 12, 7:25 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -355 (78%)Jul 12, 9:20 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -335 (77%)Jul 12, 10:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 12, 11:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -300 (75%)Jul 12, 11:30 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -285 (74%)Jul 13, 1:20 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -270 (73%)Jul 13, 2:20 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -245 (71%)Jul 13, 4:19 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -233 (70%)Jul 13, 5:15 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -400 (80%)Jul 13, 6:20 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -212 (68%)Jul 13, 7:25 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -194 (66%)Jul 13, 9:15 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -186 (65%)Jul 13, 9:25 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -355 (78%)Jul 13, 10:31 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 13, 11:26 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 1:20 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 2:26 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 3:16 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 3:51 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 4:31 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 5:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 6:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 7:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 8:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 8:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 13, 9:24 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 13, 10:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 14, 12:19 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 1:24 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 3:24 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 4:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 5:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 5:24 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 8:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 8:24 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 9:19 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 14, 10:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 14, 11:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 11:19 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -525 (84%)Jul 14, 12:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -567 (85%)Jul 14, 2:35 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 4:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 14, 4:19 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 14, 6:20 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 7:14 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 14, 8:15 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 14, 8:25 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 14, 11:24 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 15, 12:14 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 15, 2:15 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 15, 2:24 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 15, 5:25 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 15, 6:15 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 15, 7:15 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -488 (83%)Jul 15, 8:40 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -456 (82%)Jul 15, 10:35 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -426 (81%)Jul 15, 10:40 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -426 (81%)Jul 15, 1:34 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -426 (81%)Jul 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -233 (70%)Jul 18, 2:50 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -186 (65%)Jul 18, 6:50 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -223 (69%)Jul 18, 12:50 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -170 (63%)Jul 18, 10:50 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -150 (60%)Jul 19, 6:50 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -189 (65%)Jul 19, 2:50 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -117 (54%)Jul 19, 8:50 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -106 (51%)Jul 20, 2:50 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -110 (52%)Jul 20, 6:50 AM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -108 (52%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -104 (51%)Jul 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Uran Satybaldiev -104 (51%)Jul 11, 10:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -4900 (98%)Jul 12, 9:54 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -3233 (97%)Jul 12, 1:25 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1900 (95%)Jul 12, 2:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -3233 (97%)Jul 12, 3:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 12, 4:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1900 (95%)Jul 12, 5:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 12, 5:24 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 12, 7:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 12, 7:25 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -809 (89%)Jul 12, 9:20 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -669 (87%)Jul 12, 10:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 12, 11:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 12, 11:30 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -567 (85%)Jul 13, 1:20 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -488 (83%)Jul 13, 2:20 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -456 (82%)Jul 13, 4:19 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -400 (80%)Jul 13, 5:15 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -669 (87%)Jul 13, 6:20 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -355 (78%)Jul 13, 7:25 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -335 (77%)Jul 13, 9:15 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -567 (85%)Jul 13, 9:25 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -525 (84%)Jul 13, 10:31 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -488 (83%)Jul 13, 11:26 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -809 (89%)Jul 13, 1:20 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 13, 2:26 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 13, 3:16 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1900 (95%)Jul 13, 3:51 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 13, 4:31 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 13, 5:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 13, 6:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 13, 7:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 13, 8:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 13, 8:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 13, 9:24 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 13, 10:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 14, 12:19 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 1:24 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 3:24 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 4:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 5:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 5:24 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 8:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 14, 8:24 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 9:19 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 10:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 14, 11:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1567 (94%)Jul 14, 11:19 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 12:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1329 (93%)Jul 14, 2:35 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 4:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 4:19 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 14, 6:20 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 14, 7:14 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 8:15 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 14, 8:25 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 14, 11:24 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 12:14 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 15, 2:15 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 15, 2:24 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 5:25 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 6:15 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1150 (92%)Jul 15, 7:15 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 8:40 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -809 (89%)Jul 15, 10:35 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 15, 10:40 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -900 (90%)Jul 15, 1:34 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -1011 (91%)Jul 17, 9:40 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -113 (53%)Jul 18, 2:50 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby +108 (48%)Jul 18, 6:50 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -108 (52%)Jul 18, 12:50 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -122 (55%)Jul 18, 10:50 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -122 (55%)Jul 19, 6:50 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -209 (68%)Jul 19, 2:50 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -178 (64%)Jul 19, 8:50 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -152 (60%)Jul 20, 2:50 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -106 (51%)Jul 20, 6:50 AM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -106 (51%)Jul 20, 12:51 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby -106 (51%)Jul 20, 4:50 PM UTC · Dustin Jacoby +100 (50%)-104+100
SportsbookUran SatybaldievDustin Jacoby
Kalshi+100-104
Polymarket-108+104

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io