Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Ultimate Fighter 28 HeavyweightTITLE FIGHTPerformance of the Night5 rounds scheduled
WIN
Juan Espino
El Guapo
11-2-0
RESULT

Juan Espino def. Justin Frazier (Submission)

Submission · Round 1 · 3:36
Justin Frazier
The Grizzly Bear
10-3-0
Saturday, December 1, 2018
The Pearl - The Palms Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas, United States

Juan Espino defeated Justin Frazier by Submission in round 1 (3:36) in the Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight bout of The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 Finale: Dos Anjos vs Usman, held Saturday, December 1, 2018 at The Pearl - The Palms Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas.

Fight stats

Juan Espino
Justin Frazier
0
Knockdowns
0
22 of 23
Significant strikes
4 of 6
96%
Sig. strike accuracy
67%
44 of 52
Total strikes
17 of 19
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
100%
Takedown accuracy
-
2
Submission attempts
0
0
Reversals
0
3:20
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
19 of 20
Head
0 of 2
3 of 3
Body
4 of 4
0 of 0
Leg
0 of 0
0 of 0
Distance
0 of 1
5 of 5
Clinch
4 of 5
17 of 18
Ground
0 of 0

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
0
22 of 23
Sig. str.
4 of 6
44 of 52
Total str.
17 of 19
2 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
2
Sub. att
0
3:20
Ctrl
0:00

Betting Odds

Juan Espino
-115
53% implied win probability
Open: -155Best: +150
Justin Frazier
+115
47% implied win probability
Open: +123Best: +157

Average moneyline across 3 sportsbooks.

Line Movement

Juan EspinoJustin Frazier
40%50%60%Nov 29Nov 30Nov 30Dec 1Nov 29, 8:12 AM UTC · Juan Espino -155 (61%)Nov 29, 8:12 AM UTC · Juan Espino -150 (60%)Nov 29, 8:15 AM UTC · Juan Espino -103 (51%)Nov 29, 2:18 PM UTC · Juan Espino -107 (52%)Nov 29, 2:24 PM UTC · Juan Espino -103 (51%)Nov 29, 2:27 PM UTC · Juan Espino -107 (52%)Nov 29, 10:27 PM UTC · Juan Espino -101 (50%)Nov 29, 11:09 PM UTC · Juan Espino -116 (54%)Nov 30, 8:48 AM UTC · Juan Espino -117 (54%)Nov 30, 10:12 PM UTC · Juan Espino -119 (54%)Dec 1, 3:24 AM UTC · Juan Espino -122 (55%)Dec 1, 4:27 AM UTC · Juan Espino -119 (54%)Dec 1, 7:39 AM UTC · Juan Espino -120 (55%)Dec 1, 7:48 AM UTC · Juan Espino -119 (54%)Dec 1, 8:09 AM UTC · Juan Espino -120 (55%)Dec 1, 8:18 AM UTC · Juan Espino -120 (55%)Dec 1, 8:36 AM UTC · Juan Espino -122 (55%)Dec 1, 8:42 AM UTC · Juan Espino -120 (55%)Dec 1, 8:45 AM UTC · Juan Espino -122 (55%)Dec 1, 11:42 AM UTC · Juan Espino -117 (54%)Dec 1, 1:00 PM UTC · Juan Espino -113 (53%)Dec 1, 1:00 PM UTC · Juan Espino -115 (53%)Dec 1, 1:03 PM UTC · Juan Espino -113 (53%)Dec 1, 1:06 PM UTC · Juan Espino -115 (53%)Dec 1, 1:09 PM UTC · Juan Espino -113 (53%)Dec 1, 1:12 PM UTC · Juan Espino -115 (53%)Nov 29, 8:12 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +125 (44%)Nov 29, 8:12 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +120 (45%)Nov 29, 8:15 AM UTC · Justin Frazier -111 (53%)Nov 29, 2:18 PM UTC · Justin Frazier -104 (51%)Nov 29, 2:24 PM UTC · Justin Frazier -111 (53%)Nov 29, 2:27 PM UTC · Justin Frazier -104 (51%)Nov 29, 10:27 PM UTC · Justin Frazier -107 (52%)Nov 29, 11:09 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Nov 30, 8:48 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Nov 30, 10:12 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Dec 1, 3:24 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +107 (48%)Dec 1, 4:27 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Dec 1, 7:39 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Dec 1, 7:48 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Dec 1, 8:09 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +106 (49%)Dec 1, 8:18 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +108 (48%)Dec 1, 8:36 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +112 (47%)Dec 1, 8:42 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +108 (48%)Dec 1, 8:45 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +112 (47%)Dec 1, 11:42 AM UTC · Justin Frazier +111 (47%)Dec 1, 1:00 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +110 (48%)Dec 1, 1:00 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +115 (47%)Dec 1, 1:03 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +110 (48%)Dec 1, 1:06 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +115 (47%)Dec 1, 1:09 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +110 (48%)Dec 1, 1:12 PM UTC · Justin Frazier +115 (47%)-115+115
SportsbookJuan EspinoJustin Frazier
Bookmaker-185+157
Bovada+150-185
sports-interaction-185+140

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Juan Espino vs Justin Frazier?

Juan Espino defeated Justin Frazier by Submission in round 1 (3:36) in the Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight bout of The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 Finale: Dos Anjos vs Usman, held Saturday, December 1, 2018 at The Pearl - The Palms Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas.

Referee
Mark Smith
Time format
3 Rnd + OT (5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Juan Espino 56%44% Justin Frazier

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

11-2-0
Record
10-3-0
1719
Power Index rating
1679
0
Win Streak
0
45
Age
37
6'3"
191 cm
Height
6'0"
183 cm
80"
203 cm
Reach
75"
191 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight
Weight Class
Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight
Spain
Nationality
United States

Striking Profile

2.38
SLpM
1.11
70%
Str. Acc.
66%
1.95
SApM
6.11
40%
Str. Def.
4%

Grappling Profile

8.93
TD Avg.
0.00
78%
TD Acc.
0%
50%
TD Def.
0%
2.40
Sub. Avg.
0.00

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Juan Espino · 3-1-1
  • D
    La Despedida · Mar 23, 2024
    Decision · Heavyweight
  • L
    UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
    Split Decision · R3 · 1:05 · Heavyweight
  • W
    UFC 253: Adesanya vs Costa · Sep 26, 2020
    Submission · R1 · 3:48 · Heavyweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 Finale: Dos Anjos vs Usman · Dec 1, 2018
    Submission · R1 · 3:36 · Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 · Aug 15, 2018
    Submission · R1 · 1:55 · Heavyweight
Justin Frazier · 3-2
  • L
    RDC 21 · Sep 6, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 2:54 · Heavyweight
  • W
    Pyramid Fights 12 · Jun 22, 2019
    Submission · R1 · 0:58 · Heavyweight
  • W
    C3 Fights 47 · Jan 12, 2019
    Unanimous Decision · Heavyweight
  • L
    The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 Finale: Dos Anjos vs Usman · Dec 1, 2018
    Submission · R1 · 3:36 · Ultimate Fighter 28 Heavyweight
  • W
    The Ultimate Fighter Season 28 · Aug 15, 2018
    TKO · R1 · 4:23 · Heavyweight

Career Averages

Based on 3 fights · 1 fight
14.7
Avg sig. strikes
4.0
3.67
Avg takedowns
0.00
2:57
Avg control time
0:00
22
Career high strikes
4
5
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Juan Espino
Strike target
Justin Frazier
82%
Head
0%
14%
Body
100%
5%
Leg
0%
Juan Espino
Strike position
Justin Frazier
20%
Distance
0%
20%
Clinch
100%
59%
Ground
0%