Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Bantamweight3 rounds scheduled
WIN
Danny Sabatello
The Italian Gangster
9-1-0
RESULT

Danny Sabatello def. Naoki Inoue (Decision)

Split Decision · Round 3 · 5:00
Wednesday, December 31, 2025
Saitama Super Arena, Saitama, Japan

Danny Sabatello defeated Naoki Inoue by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri, held Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at Saitama Super Arena, Saitama.

Betting Odds

Danny Sabatello
-108
52% implied win probability
Open: -140Best: +115
Naoki Inoue
-122
55% implied win probability
Open: +103Best: -117

Average moneyline across 4 sportsbooks.

SportsbookDanny SabatelloNaoki Inoue
BetOnline+115-135
Betway-118-118
MyBookie-117-117
Stake-118-118

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Danny Sabatello vs Naoki Inoue?

Danny Sabatello defeated Naoki Inoue by Split Decision in round 3 (5:00) in the Bantamweight bout of Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri, held Wednesday, December 31, 2025 at Saitama Super Arena, Saitama.

Referee
Minoru Toyonaga
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Danny Sabatello 37%63% Naoki Inoue

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

9-1-0
Record
11-1-0
1769
Power Index rating
1864
5
Win Streak
1
33
Age
29
5'10"
178 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
71"
180 cm
Reach
71"
180 cm
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bantamweight
Weight Class
Bantamweight
United States
Nationality
Japan

Striking Profile

2.07
SLpM
3.67
57%
Str. Acc.
35%
0.20
SApM
3.37
25%
Str. Def.
60%

Grappling Profile

3.00
TD Avg.
0.00
75%
TD Acc.
0%
100%
TD Def.
60%
1.00
Sub. Avg.
2.50

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Danny Sabatello · 5-0
  • W
    Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 15 · Jul 18, 2026
    Knockout · R3 · 0:40 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 13 · Apr 12, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri · Dec 31, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Rizin 51 · Sep 28, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    RIZIN: Otoko Matsuri · May 4, 2025
    TKO · R3 · 0:20
Naoki Inoue · 4-1
  • W
    PFL Brussels: Habirora vs. Henderson · May 23, 2026
    Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Featherweight
  • L
    Rizin FF - Shiwasu no Cho Tsuwamono Matsuri · Dec 31, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    Rizin FF - Super Rizin 4 · Jul 27, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
  • W
    RIZIN 50 · Mar 30, 2025
    Decision · R3 · 5:00
  • W
    RIZIN 48 · Sep 29, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 3:55

Career Averages

Based on 1 fight · 3 fights
31.0
Avg sig. strikes
76.0
3.00
Avg takedowns
0.00
14:06
Avg control time
3:05
31
Career high strikes
118
3
Career high TDs
0

Strike Distribution

Danny Sabatello
Strike target
Naoki Inoue
81%
Head
79%
19%
Body
4%
0%
Leg
17%
Danny Sabatello
Strike position
Naoki Inoue
6%
Distance
85%
0%
Clinch
6%
94%
Ground
9%