Lightweight5 rounds scheduled
RESULT
Usman Nurmagomedov def. Alfie Davis (Submission)
Submission · Round 3 · 4:41
Saturday, February 7, 2026
Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai, United Arab Emirates
Usman Nurmagomedov defeated Alfie Davis by Submission in round 3 (4:41) in the Lightweight main event of PFL Dubai: Nurmagomedov vs. Davis, held Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai.
Fight stats
Usman Nurmagomedov
Alfie Davis
0
Knockdowns
0
83 of 134
Significant strikes
30 of 52
62%
Sig. strike accuracy
58%
83 of 134
Total strikes
43 of 66
2 of 4
Takedowns
0 of 0
50%
Takedown accuracy
-
1
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
3:35
Control time
0:00
Significant strikes by target
20 of 47
Head
7 of 13
42 of 55
Body
15 of 27
21 of 32
Leg
8 of 12
40 of 85
Distance
28 of 50
3 of 3
Clinch
0 of 0
40 of 46
Ground
2 of 2
By round
ROUND 1
0
KD
0
17 of 38
Sig. str.
5 of 8
17 of 38
Total str.
7 of 10
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
1:01
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 2
0
KD
0
19 of 38
Sig. str.
13 of 25
19 of 38
Total str.
13 of 25
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:00
Ctrl
0:00
ROUND 3
0
KD
0
47 of 58
Sig. str.
12 of 19
47 of 58
Total str.
23 of 31
1 of 2
Takedowns
0 of 0
1
Sub. att
0
2:34
Ctrl
0:00
Betting Odds
Usman Nurmagomedov
-2903
97% implied win probability
Open: -1120Best: -1587
Alfie Davis
+1113
8% implied win probability
Open: +732Best: +1800
Average moneyline across 14 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Usman Nurmagomedov | Alfie Davis |
|---|---|---|
| Bet105 | -3175 | +1179 |
| BetAnything | -3000 | +935 |
| BetMGM | -3000 | +1150 |
| BetOnline | -4000 | +1800 |
| BetUS | -2800 | +1250 |
| Betway | -1587 | +800 |
| Bookmaker | -2000 | +1041 |
| Bovada | -2500 | +700 |
| Cloudbet | -3125 | +1167 |
| DraftKings | -2800 | +1200 |
| FanDuel | -4500 | +1200 |
| Pinnacle | -3111 | +1170 |
| Stake | -5000 | +900 |
| SXBet | -3536 | +1094 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Frequently asked questions
Who won Usman Nurmagomedov vs Alfie Davis?
Usman Nurmagomedov defeated Alfie Davis by Submission in round 3 (4:41) in the Lightweight main event of PFL Dubai: Nurmagomedov vs. Davis, held Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Coca-Cola Arena, Dubai.
Referee
Kerry Hatley
Pre-fight comparison▾
Win probability
Usman Nurmagomedov 69%31% Alfie Davis
What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index
Tale of the Tape
22-0-0
Record
20-7-1
1884
Power Index rating
1741
4
Win Streak
0
28
Age
34
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'11"
180 cm
72"
183 cm
Reach
70"
178 cm
-
Stance
-
Lightweight
Weight Class
Lightweight
Russia
Nationality
England
Striking Profile
5.82
SLpM
2.76
59%
Str. Acc.
58%
1.85
SApM
4.31
45%
Str. Def.
39%
Grappling Profile
1.63
TD Avg.
0.00
50%
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
33%
0.80
Sub. Avg.
0.00
Recent form (last 5 fights)
Usman Nurmagomedov · 5-0
Alfie Davis · 3-2
- L
- LPFL Dubai: Nurmagomedov vs. Davis · Feb 7, 2026Submission · R3 · 4:41 · Lightweight
- WPFL World Tournament 9: 2025 Finals · Aug 15, 2025Decision · R5 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - 2025 PFL World Tournament 6: Semifinals · Jun 19, 2025Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
- WProfessional Fighters League - 2025 PFL World Tournament 3: First Round · Apr 17, 2025TKO · R1 · 2:12 · Lightweight
Head-to-Head History
Career Averages
Based on 2 fights · 5 fights
53.5
Avg sig. strikes
41.0
1.00
Avg takedowns
0.20
1:48
Avg control time
0:00
83
Career high strikes
52
2
Career high TDs
1
Strike Distribution
Usman Nurmagomedov
Strike target
Alfie Davis
35%
Head
46%
44%
Body
32%
21%
Leg
22%
Usman Nurmagomedov
Strike position
Alfie Davis
60%
Distance
53%
3%
Clinch
1%
37%
Ground
46%