Kelly vs Mochetti Result: Mochetti wins by UD · Cage Warriors 202, Sat, Mar 14, 2026

Cage WarriorsCage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown

Sam Kelly

“The Mighty Mole” · 6-5-0

UDSUBSUB

RESULT

Unanimous Decision

ROUND 3 · 5:00

Bantamweight5 rounds scheduled

Full card

Pietro MochettiWIN

“The Italian Stallion” · 5-3-0

KOUDSUB

Saturday, March 14, 2026BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Pietro Mochetti defeated Sam Kelly by Unanimous Decision in round 3 (05:00) in the Bantamweight bout of Cage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown, held Saturday, March 14, 2026 at BEC Arena, Manchester. The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Pietro Mochetti won the decision.

The result

Pietro MochettiWIN

def. Sam Kelly

Unanimous Decision

Round 3 · 05:00

Judges30-2729-2829-28

Referee: Rich Mitchell
Time format: 5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)

Who called it

Every forecast, graded against the result

Sam KellyPietro Mochetti

47%Power Index✓ Called it53%

52%Market · 10 sportsbooks✗ Missed48%

Model opinion, not betting advice. 18+. See the full Power Index

Betting Odds

Average moneyline across 10 sportsbooks.

Sam Kelly

-123

55% implied win probability · Open: -138

Pietro Mochetti

-103

51% implied win probability · Open: +108

Every sportsbook is in the Odds tab.

Tale of the tape

6-5-0

Record

5-3-0

5'9" · 175 cm

Height

5'8" · 173 cm

69" · 175 cm

Reach

68" · 173 cm

Win Streak

1564

Power Index

1582

1-4

Last 5

3-2

Green marks the edge where one exists: younger, taller, longer, the streak, the higher rating and the better recent form. Record and stance are facts, not edges.

Judges' Scorecards

Paul Barton

#	Kelly	Mochetti
1	9	10
2	9	10
3	9	10

Total2730

Ben Cartlidge

#	Kelly	Mochetti
1	9	10
2	10	9
3	9	10

Total2829

David Lethaby

#	Kelly	Mochetti
1	9	10
2	10	9
3	9	10

Total2829

Betting Odds

Sam Kelly

-123

55% implied win probability

Open: -138Best: -115

Pietro Mochetti

-103

51% implied win probability

Open: +108Best: +114

Average moneyline across 10 sportsbooks.

Sportsbook	Sam Kelly	Pietro Mochetti
Bet105	-137	+114
BetAnything	-115	-115
BetOnline	-115	-105
BetUS	-115	-115
Betway	-150	+110
Bookmaker	-115	-115
Bovada	-120	-110
Cloudbet	-118	-104
DraftKings	-130	+110
mybookie	-124	-111

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Insights

Pietro Mochetti stops 100% of takedowns, better than 97% of UFC fighters.
Sam Kelly absorbs 4.93 significant strikes a minute, more than 87% of UFC fighters.
Pietro Mochetti lands 6.65 takedowns per 15 minutes, more than 99% of UFC fighters.

Sig. strikes by zone

Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes

64%

Head

61%

15%

Body

33%

21%

Leg

Time in position

Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground

Sam Kellylast 3 fights

67%23%10%

Pietro Mochettilast 2 fights

27%21%52%

■ Distance■ Clinch■ Ground

How good, really

Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words

Sam Kelly· from fights outside the UFC Pietro Mochetti· from fights outside the UFC

Strikes landed / min

2.973.10

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Below avg · better than 35% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Below avg · better than 39% of UFC fighters

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

4.931.01

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Poor · better than 13% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Elite · better than 99% of UFC fighters

Takedowns landed / 15 min

1.416.65

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Average · better than 55% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Elite · better than 99% of UFC fighters

Takedown accuracy

18%64%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Poor · better than 14% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Elite · better than 92% of UFC fighters

Takedown defence

67%100%

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Good · better than 60% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Elite · better than 97% of UFC fighters

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.500.90

PoorBelow avgAverageGoodElite

Sam Kelly · Average · better than 54% of UFC fightersPietro Mochetti · Good · better than 77% of UFC fighters

Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.

Striking & grappling

Same scale left and right on every row

2.97

Strikes landed / min

3.10

4.93

Strikes taken / minfewer is better

1.01

1.41 / 7.8

Takedowns landed / 15 min

6.65 / 10.4

18%

Takedown accuracy

64%

67%

Takedown defence

100%

1:36

Control time / fight

5:19

0.50

Submission attempts / 15 min

0.90

Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.

Where the strikes land

Range × target

Sam Kelly3 fights · by range and by target

Range

89%Distance · 94

10%Clinch · 11

1%Ground · 1

Target

64%Head · 61

15%Body · 14

21%Leg · 20

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Pietro Mochetti2 fights · by range and by target

Range

23%Distance · 22

48%Clinch · 45

29%Ground · 27

Target

61%Head · 30

33%Body · 16

6%Leg · 3

The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.

Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.

When it ends

Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended

Sam Kelly9 of 12 ended early · 75%3 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

2 early stoppages have no logged time

Pietro Mochetti3 of 8 ended early · 38%5 went the distance

R1R2R3R4R5

1 early stoppage has no logged time

finished the opponent got finished· placed at the minute the fight ended

Recent form · last 5

Sam Kelly1-4

L
Pietro Mochetti
Cage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown · Mar 14, 2026
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
W
Giovanni Fernandez
Cage Warriors 193 · Sep 13, 2025
Submission · R1 · 2:44 · Bantamweight
L
Richard Kallos
Cage Warriors 185 · Mar 15, 2025
Submission · R1 · 1:45 · Bantamweight
L
Alessandro Giordano
Cage Warriors 168 · Mar 16, 2024
TKO · R3 · 4:17 · Bantamweight
L
Gianluca Scottoli
Cage Warriors 158: Rome · Jul 29, 2023
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Catchweight

Full record · 12 fights

W
Pav Sahota
Cage Warriors 151 · Mar 24, 2023
TKO · R1 · 0:11 · Bantamweight
W
Jack Eglin
Cage Warriors 146 · Nov 12, 2022
Submission · R2 · 3:40 · Bantamweight
W
Diego Gallardo
UK Fighting Championships 19 · May 14, 2022
Submission · Bantamweight
L
Daire Toman
UK Fighting Championships 16 · Oct 9, 2021
Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
W
Ricardo Moraes
Celtic Gladiator 30 · Sep 12, 2021
TKO · R1 · 0:16 · Featherweight
W
Pacey Greene
MMA Uncaged FC · May 8, 2021
Submission · Bantamweight
W
Hayden Sherriff
MMA Uncaged FC · May 8, 2021
Submission · R1 · 1:07 · Bantamweight

Pietro Mochetti3-2

L
Ollie Sarwa
Cage Warriors 208: Bagley vs. Lee · Jun 27, 2026
Knockout · R1 · 2:46 · Bantamweight
W
Sam Kelly
Cage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown · Mar 14, 2026
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
W
Dimitrios Tzeiranidis
Cage Warriors 189 · May 31, 2025
Submission · R1 · 0:48 · Bantamweight
W
Yohan Salvador
Cage Warriors 183 · Mar 8, 2025
Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Bantamweight
L
Fabia Sintes
WOW 14: Madrid · May 25, 2024
Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight

Full record · 8 fights

W
Davide Manente
DITC 6 · Mar 2, 2024
Unanimous Decision · Bantamweight
L
Scott Harvey
Cage Conflict 9 · Apr 1, 2023
TKO · Bantamweight
W
Vinicius Ramires
LIONS FC 9 · Oct 23, 2021
DEC · Bantamweight

Full comparison →

Frequently asked questions

Who won Sam Kelly vs Pietro Mochetti?

What were the judges' scorecards for Sam Kelly vs Pietro Mochetti?

The judges scored it 30-27, 29-28, 29-28, Pietro Mochetti won the decision.