

Farshad Nazarnia defeated Geoff Pavey by Submission in round 1 (03:51) in the Middleweight bout of Cage Warriors 199, held Saturday, December 6, 2025 at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle.
Geoff Pavey vs Farshad Nazarnia
Fight stats: totals
Same scale left and right on every row; the pale tail behind a bar is attempts
Where it happened
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
Round by round
Significant strikes landed per round
Bars share one scale across rounds. The side that landed more is solid.
Betting Odds
Average moneyline across 8 sportsbooks.
| Sportsbook | Geoff Pavey | Farshad Nazarnia | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet105 | +230 | -292 | |
| BetAnything | +290 | -350 | |
| BetOnline | +285 | -350 | |
| BetUS | +235 | -325 | |
| Betway | +163 | -225 | |
| Bookmaker | +219 | -280 | |
| Bovada | +250 | -350 | |
| DraftKings | +280 | -355 |
Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io
Insights
- Geoff Pavey absorbs 6.08 significant strikes a minute, more than 96% of UFC fighters.
- Geoff Pavey's last two losses were both stopped early.
Sig. strikes by zone
Where each fighter lands, as a share of significant strikes
Time in position
Share of fight time at distance, in the clinch and on the ground
How good, really
Each stat against every UFC fighter, in plain words
Ranked against 1498 UFC fighters with five or more UFC fights.
Striking & grappling
Same scale left and right on every row
Bars in a row share one scale. The stronger side is solid; the pale tail behind takedowns is attempts.
Where the strikes land
Range × target
The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.
The range × target cross-tab is logged for UFC fights only.
Share of significant strikes landed by range and target · landed / attempted in each cell.
When it ends
Every early finish of their careers, placed at the minute it ended
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Geoff Pavey vs Farshad Nazarnia?
Farshad Nazarnia defeated Geoff Pavey by Submission in round 1 (03:51) in the Middleweight bout of Cage Warriors 199, held Saturday, December 6, 2025 at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle.