Ultimate Fighting Calendar
Catchweight5 rounds scheduled
Tim Wilde
The Experiment
18-7-1
RESULT

Michael Pagani def. Tim Wilde (TKO)

TKO · Round 1 · 04:09
WIN
Michael Pagani
Sniper
8-3-0
Saturday, June 28, 2025
BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Michael Pagani defeated Tim Wilde by TKO in round 1 (04:09) in the Catchweight bout of Cage Warriors 191, held Saturday, June 28, 2025 at BEC Arena, Manchester.

Fight stats

Tim Wilde
Michael Pagani
0
Knockdowns
1
20
Significant strikes
30
-
Sig. strike accuracy
-
66
Total strikes
69
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
-
Takedown accuracy
-
0
Submission attempts
0
-
Reversals
-
0:38
Control time
0:46
Significant strikes by target
10
Head
30
4
Body
0
6
Leg
0
20
Distance
18
6
Clinch
17
0
Ground
12
Time in position
3:50
Distance
3:50
1:17
Clinch
1:17
0:07
Ground
0:07

By round

ROUND 1
0
KD
1
20
Sig. str.
30
66
Total str.
69
10
Head
30
4
Body
0
20
Distance
18
6
Clinch
17
0 of 0
Takedowns
0 of 0
0
Sub. att
0
0:38
Ctrl
0:46
Time in position
3:50
Distance
3:50
1:17
Clinch
1:17
0:07
Ground
0:07

Betting Odds

Tim Wilde
+108
48% implied win probability
Open: +100Best: +130
Michael Pagani
-137
58% implied win probability
Open: -131Best: -130

Average moneyline across 7 sportsbooks.

SportsbookTim WildeMichael Pagani
Bet105+109-134
BetAnything+100-140
BetOnline+110-130
BetUS+100-130
Betway+105-138
Bovada+105-135
DraftKings+130-155

Odds are for information only. · Odds data: fightodds.io

Frequently asked questions

Who won Tim Wilde vs Michael Pagani?

Michael Pagani defeated Tim Wilde by TKO in round 1 (04:09) in the Catchweight bout of Cage Warriors 191, held Saturday, June 28, 2025 at BEC Arena, Manchester.

Time format
5 Rnd (5-5-5-5-5)
Pre-fight comparison

Win probability

Tim Wilde 48%52% Michael Pagani

What the model gave each fighter going into the fight, from their pre-fight UFCalendar Power Index ratings. See the full Power Index

Tale of the Tape

18-7-1
Record
8-3-0
1668
Power Index rating
1679
1
Win Streak
0
39
Age
27
5'11"
180 cm
Height
5'9"
175 cm
74"
188 cm
Reach
69"
175 cm
-
Stance
-
Catchweight
Weight Class
Catchweight
England
Nationality
Italy

Striking Profile

-
SLpM
-
-
Str. Acc.
-
-
SApM
-
-
Str. Def.
-

Grappling Profile

-
TD Avg.
-
-
TD Acc.
-
-
TD Def.
-
-
Sub. Avg.
-

Recent form (last 5 fights)

Tim Wilde · 2-3
  • W
    Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged · Nov 21, 2025
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 05:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Cage Warriors 191 · Jun 28, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 04:09 · Catchweight
  • L
    Bellator Champions Series London: McCourt vs. Collins · Sep 14, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 5:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Bellator Champions Series Belfast: Anderson vs. Moore · Mar 22, 2024
    TKO · R1 · 4:48 · Lightweight
  • W
    Bellator 301: Amosov vs. Jackson · Nov 17, 2023
    TKO · R3 · 2:47
Michael Pagani · 2-3
  • L
    Cage Warriors 202: Silva vs. Brown · Mar 14, 2026
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 05:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Cage Warriors 191 · Jun 28, 2025
    TKO · R1 · 04:09 · Catchweight
  • L
    Cage Warriors 183 · Mar 8, 2025
    Split Decision · R3 · 05:00 · Lightweight
  • L
    Cage Warriors 175 · Jul 25, 2024
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 05:00 · Lightweight
  • W
    Cage Warriors 158: Rome · Jul 29, 2023
    Unanimous Decision · R3 · 05:00 · Lightweight

Career Averages

Based on 2 fights · 5 fights
50.0
Avg sig. strikes
36.6
1.00
Avg takedowns
1.00
3:03
Avg control time
2:21
80
Career high strikes
63
2
Career high TDs
2

Strike Distribution

Tim Wilde
Strike target
Michael Pagani
40%
Head
80%
32%
Body
16%
28%
Leg
3%
Tim Wilde
Strike position
Michael Pagani
50%
Distance
45%
35%
Clinch
36%
15%
Ground
20%